Chicago Storm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Tor east of Trinidad, CO not too long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 OFB's galore around/west of Omaha. Interested to see if this impacts the anticipated severe weather tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Look out near AMA: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0900.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 MD for essentially 3 counties? That seems unusual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Finally a few severe storms getting going east of Denver. No tornado warnings in northern or central CO that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Note: NWS Billings has surveyed an EF-3 tornado at Baker MT a couple of days ago. Details are available on the NWS Billings web page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Tornado warning now for Fort Morgan, CO for radar indicated rotation, two cells are merging just SW of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Tor warned storm north of the AMA area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 TOG recently with that storm NE of the AMA area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 14, 2016 Author Share Posted June 14, 2016 I was on that Amarillo storm for seemingly ever. It spat out a few funnels early on, then reorganized and eventually produced a tornado right in front of me. The contrast was low and lighting was poor, but it's the best I could manage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Nice work Quincy! Looking back at my Colorado post, I kind of brushed over the main outflow boundary buried south (in West Texas). Subtle other boundary lifted north for the Trinidad TOR. However it was the main OFB (farther south) from the Oklahoma MCS that lifted north through AMA. With enough upper air support, and a responding LLJ, enjoy Texas Panhandle magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Photos of the previously severe storms in NW Kansas. First was from directly south of them along I70. The second is looking east from Burlington, CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 19, 2016 Share Posted June 19, 2016 Unreal the amount of severe weather up in Montana, Wyoming and the Dakotas for this season. Another enhanced risk on the docket for today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted June 22, 2016 Share Posted June 22, 2016 Unreal the amount of severe weather up in Montana, Wyoming and the Dakotas for this season. Another enhanced risk on the docket for today it's actually been a pretty quiet up here thus far honestly.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2016 Share Posted June 22, 2016 I'd definitely be chasing ND on Friday if I was out there. Moderate WSW flow aloft with strong instability and a well developed southerly LLJ feeding low 70s dewpoints into the area on both the GFS and NAM. Seems a couple of impulses ejecting ahead of the main upper low could provide enough forcing for ascent for CI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 22, 2016 Author Share Posted June 22, 2016 I'd definitely be chasing ND on Friday if I was out there. Moderate WSW flow aloft with strong instability and a well developed southerly LLJ feeding low 70s dewpoints into the area on both the GFS and NAM. Seems a couple of impulses ejecting ahead of the main upper low could provide enough forcing for ascent for CI. I'm planning on it. A bit iffy with initiation, but can probably get something to go up in that environment. For those not familiar with the area, there's still daylight until at least 10 p.m. this time of the year, even later than that as you go north, so there's a good window... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 I'm considering making the drive up to North Dakota for Friday's setup - but I'm still iffy based on the potential for things to be north of the border and iffy convective initiation potential. Its a 13-14 hour drive up to Grand Forks from Norman so I'll have to decide by about 8 AM this morning to get in position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 I'd definitely be chasing ND on Friday if I was out there. Moderate WSW flow aloft with strong instability and a well developed southerly LLJ feeding low 70s dewpoints into the area on both the GFS and NAM. Seems a couple of impulses ejecting ahead of the main upper low could provide enough forcing for ascent for CI. Me too but I will be working instead. Be looking for my warnings! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted June 24, 2016 Share Posted June 24, 2016 I'm planning on it. A bit iffy with initiation, but can probably get something to go up in that environment. For those not familiar with the area, there's still daylight until at least 10 p.m. this time of the year, even later than that as you go north, so there's a good window... Def call us if you see anything interesting! Spotter network reports don't always get through to us. And daylight till about 10:30 now Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted June 30, 2016 Share Posted June 30, 2016 Another quality tornado (and awesome structure to boot) just E of OMA this afternoon in a MRGL risk with no tornado probs. 2016... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 30, 2016 Share Posted June 30, 2016 Another quality tornado (and awesome structure to boot) just E of OMA this afternoon in a MRGL risk with no tornado probs. 2016... More like Lieowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 4, 2016 Share Posted July 4, 2016 Pretty decently sized ENH risk/30% hatched for tomorrow nearly centered on the Twin Cities. 12z WRF-ARW/NMMB were pretty bullish with a few supercells across that area in the late afternoon, perhaps tracking near the warm front and its enhanced low level SRH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 Pretty decently sized ENH risk/30% hatched for tomorrow nearly centered on the Twin Cities. 12z WRF-ARW/NMMB were pretty bullish with a few supercells across that area in the late afternoon, perhaps tracking near the warm front and its enhanced low level SRH. Just posted on the Minnesota forecaster site that chances of a tornado seems to be increasing for the Twin Cities metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2016 Share Posted July 5, 2016 There will be 5000-6500 J/kg of CAPE in southern Minnesota tomorrow, along with 30-40 kt of shear and some areas of 200-300 m2/s2 of SRH. If storms develop near this region, there would bring about a pretty high chance of large hail for any cell that develops, and this is also conducive for tornadoes and wind damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Nice couplet with the tor warned embedded supercell well SW of Faith, SD. Nice tor warned storm NE of Alliance, NE as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 A few tors reported with the storm NW of Hyannis, NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 super strong now. gotta be dropping a serious wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 The 18z NAM/GFS are advertising some extreme supercell parameters in areas of ND/MN tomorrow (ENH Risk for tomorrow.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 10, 2016 Share Posted July 10, 2016 Zack, I hope you're chasing tomorrow (or at least working at the office), could be a pretty significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Interesting article by Ian Livingston (a member of this forum,) about NWS Severe Warnings. Discusses: zero-population warnings, millions-population warnings, statistics of warnings vs. population, timeline of warnings throughout 2014-2016. Number of short-fuse warnings per CWA. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/07/07/what-the-national-weather-service-social-media-warning-stream-has-shown-us/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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