Quincy Posted September 18, 2015 Author Share Posted September 18, 2015 Eyes on the lower Missouri Valley tomorrow, but will have to check back in the morning to see how things are evolving. No signal at this point to believe anything other than another 2015 underperforming setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Lol 2015, like friggin clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 We managed a PDS tornado warning and brief touchdown in MO today. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 711 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015 MOC037-190030- /O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0036.000000T0000Z-150919T0030Z/ CASS MO- 711 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL CASS COUNTY... AT 710 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER FREEMAN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.... 0010 FREEMAN CASS MO 3862 9451 TORNADO REPORTED WITH SNAPPED POWER LINES AND TREES. MINOR STRUCTUAL DAMAGE TO HOMES REPORTED. (EAX) 0008 FREEMAN CASS MO 3862 9451 TORNADO REPORTED IN FREEMAN WITH DAMAGE TO ROOFTOPS (EAX) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 some September tornadoes near KC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 23, 2015 Share Posted September 23, 2015 Council Bluffs IA just got 9" of rain and a flash flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Fairly rare October tornado today in NW IA near Hospers. Took on a wedge shape at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 535 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 600 AM CDT * AT 535 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER PEARLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SOUTH HOUSTON...SOUTH BELT / ELLINGTON...ELLINGTON FIELD AND EDGEBROOK AREA AROUND 545 AM CDT. CLEAR LAKE AROUND 550 AM CDT. DEER PARK...MORGAN'S POINT AND HOUSTON SHIP CHANNEL AROUND 600 AM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 Now a confirmed one... Tornado WarningSEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX601 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015TXC071-201-291-311115-/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-151031T1115Z/CHAMBERS TX-HARRIS TX-LIBERTY TX-601 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT FORNORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS...EAST CENTRAL HARRIS AND SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTYCOUNTIES...AT 600 AM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SAN JACINTOSTATE PARK...OR OVER LA PORTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. AT 550AM PASADENA FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A TORNADO AT GENOA AND REDBLUFF ROADS IN PASADENA.HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BAYTOWN AND HIGHLANDS AROUND 610 AM CDT. BARRETT AROUND 615 AM CDT.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO ABASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDYBUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...ORIN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECTYOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 The Drama! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Apparent tornado hit a subdivision in my town of Lindale in E TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 6, 2016 Author Share Posted January 6, 2016 A couple of reports of damaging winds across coastal central to Southern California today. At the moment, a healthy-looking bowing segment is approaching the area just north of San Diego. A pair of discrete supercells formed out in front just offshore. Have already seen one report of a waterspout. An MD was just issued. 5% watch probabilities. Mentioning a couple of damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 It looks like central California had a tornado yesterday. No official word on anything in Southern California yet. EF-0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE HIGHWAY 152-HIGHWAY 156 INTERCHANGE ... APPROXIMATELY 7 MILES NORTH OF HOLLISTER. THERE WAS INTERMITTENT DAMAGE ALONG A 1 MILE PATH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 27, 2016 Author Share Posted March 27, 2016 Could see a few hail-producing storms tonight on either side of the Red River from northwest Texas into southern Oklahoma. HRRR continues the theme of moderate instability tonight, that the SPC was doubting from earlier NAM progs. Based on mesoanalysis and trends, some pockets of >1000 J/kg CAPE could be realized this evening. Given very steep mid-level lapse rates/cold air aloft, hail is the main threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Well, doesn't look like there will be much activity for a week or two. Gives me time to work on a few things setup-wise. Hope the next rounds of severe weather are in chaseable areas, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Nice sup in N. Mexico... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 20, 2016 Share Posted May 20, 2016 Couple of strong LEWPs and a nasty MCV in that MCS moving across S LA right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 20, 2016 Share Posted May 20, 2016 possible tornado (or maybe just a huge wind gust) west of New Orleans. base velocity shown here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knitwx Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 There is a severe thunderstorm nearly stationary over Custer State park in the South Dakota Black Hills right now. 3" hail was reported. Vehicles are said to be stuck in accumulating hail. Flash flooding may be ongoing.I don't know how to post the warnings. It is the Rapid city SD weather office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 There is a severe thunderstorm nearly stationary over Custer State park in the South Dakota Black Hills right now. 3" hail was reported. Vehicles are said to be stuck in accumulating hail. Flash flooding may be ongoing.I don't know how to post the warnings. It is the Rapid city SD weather office. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 SDC033-103-210145- /O.CON.KUNR.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160521T0145Z/ CUSTER SD-PENNINGTON SD- 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CUSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN PENNINGTON COUNTIES... AT 728 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CUSTER STATE PARK TO KEYSTONE...AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND MANY INCHES OF ACCUMULATED HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. SEVERAL INCHES OF HAIL HAS ACCUMULATED IN THE KEYSTONE AND IRON MOUNTAIN AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 This storm has dropped an estimated 5.5" on the Black Hills mountaintops-- this is probably causing raging creeks and rivers, perhaps threatening a few rural areas and campgrounds. I hope there weren't any hikers caught in that. That's some major water and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 SDC033-103-210145- /O.CON.KUNR.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160521T0145Z/ CUSTER SD-PENNINGTON SD- 728 PM MDT FRI MAY 20 2016 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CUSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN PENNINGTON COUNTIES... AT 728 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CUSTER STATE PARK TO KEYSTONE...AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND MANY INCHES OF ACCUMULATED HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. SEVERAL INCHES OF HAIL HAS ACCUMULATED IN THE KEYSTONE AND IRON MOUNTAIN AREA. The UNR LSR indicates that 8 inches of hail had accumulated. Holy cow. 0416 PM HAIL 3 S KEYSTONE 43.85N 103.42W 05/20/2016 E1.75 INCH CUSTER SD LAW ENFORCEMENT 8 INCHES OF HAIL ACCUMULATED. MOTORISTS STRANDED ON IRON MOUNTAIN ROAD. SNOW PLOWS HAVE BEEN CALLED OUT TO CLEAR ROADS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knitwx Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 This storm has dropped an estimated 5.5" on the Black Hills mountaintops-- this is probably causing raging creeks and rivers, perhaps threatening a few rural areas and campgrounds. I hope there weren't any hikers caught in that. That's some major water and lightning. This brings to mind the 1972 Rapid city flood. It started in the Hills near keystone. There were 15'' of rain in 6 hours and the flood killed 239 people. I don't think it is likely to happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 The Crazy Horse memorial and Mt. Rushmore probably got some lightning nearby - maybe even on the presidents' heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Is this pic tweeted out by Emily Sutton real? Pretty crazy! another view from @DoughertyNews9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildwestpb Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 It was real. Multiple reports and photos from the area around Minco/Amber/Pocasset. They were spin ups associated with the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 There are some more severe storms popping in eastern Montana right now, with hail up to 2" reported. And just for the fun of it-- this is an HRRR sounding from just east of Pierre SD this afternoon... 5 digits in the CAPE category. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 The MCC in Oklahoma has created a train wreck this morning (Monday). Still a chance things recover in Colorado; note 12 hours of sunlight to go as I type. Temps/Dews should be adequate by late afternoon. LLJ looks just-in-time JIT but tries late afternoon. With the main outflow boundary buried to the south Palmer Divide topography may have to work on its own. Outflow lifting back north may be better aligned with Raton Mesa topography late this afternoon. Despite JIT recovery, I think it is at least a local set-up in Colorado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 For tomorrow: SPC introduced an Enhanced risk for eastern Kansas, western Missouri, and parts of IA and NE. With such high CAPE and some possibility of very low LCLs in Kansas, as well as reasonable SRH and 35kt of shear, this might a signal for >5% tornado risk in some section of eastern Kansas. Eastern Oklahoma may need to have the slight risk also. Edit: also 50-55kt winds at 300mb could help sustain supercells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Line coming out of foothills moving way too fast, not enough time for warming after initial stratus/crud in the Denver metro area. Might end up being a bust- any time/energy for another round later? Figures, I actually got buckets over the roses, the cars in the garage and the glass patio table under the roof before I left this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2016 Share Posted June 13, 2016 Line coming out of foothills moving way too fast, not enough time for warming after initial stratus/crud in the Denver metro area. Might end up being a bust- any time/energy for another round later? Figures, I actually got buckets over the roses, the cars in the garage and the glass patio table under the roof before I left this AM. Some areas are probably developing thunder, from what used to be rain showers just a short time ago. Still nothing super organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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