geddyweather Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 This is bad...numerous -49 to -52 m/s inbound pixels and the tornado motion isn't even up-radial. Not good. my_little_friend.PNG Just missed the office. Damage reported near by though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Looks like there's an unwarned spin-up tornado potentially heading right into Lake Lafayette, MO ATTM.And further south down in OK, like Tony mentioned, it does look like a fast moving potential tornado tracked from near Inola NE between Clarendon and Pryor, OK.Here are a couple quick grabs of the potential spin-up in MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Actually it looks like there have been two potential spin-up tornadoes up in NW MO that look to be on-going - still no TOR warning for either.Three straight frames showing consistent concentrated velocities with reflectivity presentation to support the velo scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Persistent QLCS circulation continues as it approaches the OK/MO line, now with a noticeable area of rotation near Wyandotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Possible spin up looks to go just south of Joplin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I counted about 4 areas of rotation up in MO along the line - none of which were TOR warned. A few, if not all, appear over at least 2-3 scans with significant rotation on BV scans and BR presentation of a hook echo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Tornadic circulation passed south of Joplin. Appears there's possible tornado damage near Fairland, OK as they have homes damaged and the circulation passed near there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Had two great views of the Elmer-Tipton sigtor crossing the road from close range! Hope everyone else out today had some luck. Pretty much another day in 2015, just finally nailed the storm choice today after failing to do so through the whole 5/6-5/10 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokey_mountain_vols Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 If any of you guys are curious as to what happened here in Broken Arrow I can fill you in tomorrow. Tornado was about a mile away from me. I knew it was going to happen because when I looked on the radar the storm had previously spun up a tornado to the southwest of me. One house was leveled and when my moms friend and I went to see what else had happened there was debris and downed powerlines everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Great video! Love the "dance" of the vortices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Interesting event. South (or south of south) play ftw this year. Seems like these ejecting s/w's have too much forcing ahead of it, so the best spots have been on the srn and SE side of them. You still have the height falls in those areas, but also better turning with height and less forcing combined with a good cap. So while not the end of days hype, some good storms there last night. Minnesota had a nice little outbreak too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I saw the Elmer tornado as well, but only glimpses of it. No chase partner yesterday, so I played things very conservatively. There was only one bridge over the North Fork Red River (which I think was the bridge seen in Brett's video), so I made sure to get east of that very early to avoid any bottlenecks there. I could see the left edge of it briefly from where I was sitting for a while S of Tipton (where I actually met Sam Lillo/forum member OKpowdah), but after that I was constantly driving so I didn't get a chance to get any good pictures or video of it. Good chase overall for me, but it could have been even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Seems like these ejecting s/w's have too much forcing ahead of it, so the best spots have been on the srn and SE side of them. You still have the height falls in those areas, but also better turning with height and less forcing combined with a good cap. So while not the end of days hype, some good storms there last night. Minnesota had a nice little outbreak too. Yeah.. the next few larger troughs seem to be a little less supercharged. Maybe that'll help. Looks like some more EML showing up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 If any of you guys are curious as to what happened here in Broken Arrow I can fill you in tomorrow. Tornado was about a mile away from me. I knew it was going to happen because when I looked on the radar the storm had previously spun up a tornado to the southwest of me. One house was leveled and when my moms friend and I went to see what else had happened there was debris and downed powerlines everywhere. I saw the houses that had sustained roof damage. Max damage seemed pretty localized to a few streets. Didn't this happen just south of the 2013 Broken Arrow tornado? This same storm probably put down a tornado from time to time as it made it's way into SW MO as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Here is what we got to see yesterday...more to come but here is Victor's timelapse of the Elmer-Tipton supercell. We were in Elmer but it was struggling at low levels off to our WSW then got east to west of Tipton and stopped off the highway on south side and was able to watch this for awhile. It began to really tighten up right before we stopped. We could see the wedge in the distance before the cone came into better view. The structure was amazing. A must watch: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Looks to me as though the pattern for the last couple of weeks is about to repeat itself. Calmer/less severe weather today...drier midweek...threat of storms returns...severe days Friday - Sunday possible again next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Looks to me as though the pattern for the last couple of weeks is about to repeat itself. Calmer/less severe weather today...drier midweek...threat of storms returns...severe days Friday - Sunday possible again next weekend. Huh? Chasing begins again tomorrow and Tuesday looks terrific in the TX PH. Then more days after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Huh? Chasing begins again tomorrow and Tuesday looks terrific in the TX PH. Then more days after that I meant on a more widescale 'threat' kind of thing, not one direct state of area. Isn't tommorrow just looking like a fairly normal batch of storms/showers? It's not a widespread severe threat chase day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 El Reno had 298 mph gate to gate. Thanks. I didn't realize it was that high. I haven't downloaded the El Reno radar data yet. I guess I should do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I meant on a more widescale 'threat' kind of thing, not one direct state of area. Isn't tommorrow just looking like a fairly normal batch of storms/showers? It's not a widespread severe threat chase day. Visit the SPC website Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 That brings up another point, which I mentioned yesterday to a specific person but it applies to everyone, can we please keep the banter down when we are trying to nowcast? There were a couple of pages right in the middle of the event that were borderline unreadable. Also, we don't need a play-by-play of everything that is happening on a given stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Major props given to a local met here in Des Moines. He's been home fighting an unknown disease for a few months (so weak to the point he couldn't walk to the bathroom, at its worst). Finding out that he went on air, from home, using his phone and laptop when a storm popped a tornado in the area at 3:30'ish am is some major dedication and showing he wasn't lying about missing being at work. https://www.facebook.com/frankscaglionekcciweather/posts/940223472695658 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 That brings up another point, which I mentioned yesterday to a specific person but it applies to everyone, can we please keep the banter down when we are trying to nowcast? There were a couple of pages right in the middle of the event that were borderline unreadable. Also, we don't need a play-by-play of everything that is happening on a given stream. I dunno its kinda useful to know which streams have the best view of a possible tornado, its the streams and whats happening in them to verify the radar images that gives the ability to nowcast. I didn't really ever feel there was a play by play of the feeds I suppose it was a different experience for you. I guess if enough people think it was or is a problem we should have a separate thread for streams and live feeds but honestly I don't think any of the threads where unreadable or hard to decipher or even that cluttered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 I dunno its kinda useful to know which streams have the best view of a possible tornado, its the streams and whats happening in them to verify the radar images that gives the ability to nowcast. I didn't really ever feel there was a play by play of the feeds I suppose it was a different experience for you. I guess if enough people think it was or is a problem we should have a separate thread for streams and live feeds but honestly I don't think any of the threads where unreadable or hard to decipher or even that cluttered. Maybe play-by-play was the wrong term to use, but there was a bunch of people just repeating the same things over and over from the stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Visit the SPC website Unless I'm missing something, we have 3 'slights' in a row. Not sure whether I'm getting myself mixed up but as far as I see, these look more local risk days, they aren't big potential days or as people mention 'high threshold' days where we are likely to see huge convergence of chasers - or MDT/HIGH risk events... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 Unless I'm missing something, we have 3 'slights' in a row. Not sure whether I'm getting myself mixed up but as far as I see, these look more local risk days, they aren't big potential days or as people mention 'high threshold' days where we are likely to see huge convergence of chasers - or MDT/HIGH risk events... You're kind of arguing semantics here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Tuesday looks pretty much fantastic in the W TX PH on the 12z NAM. Probably about time to start another thread, but I'll let someone else do the honors and figure out how to divvy up the dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 You're kind of arguing semantics here. Yeah, sorry - as I say I'm not meaning to step on any toes or whatever, I just figured that the pattern for the next real big severe chase with a huge chase day and MDT/Highs (which to me, signify a day worth following). As you say semantics, but that's just how I hold setups in regard. I'm not a novice by all means, so you guys telling me when I'm wrong is only going to help down the line. I'll go back to the charts now and take a look at Tuesday for Texas and see if/what I was missing...Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokey_mountain_vols Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I saw the houses that had sustained roof damage. Max damage seemed pretty localized to a few streets. Didn't this happen just south of the 2013 Broken Arrow tornado? This same storm probably put down a tornado from time to time as it made it's way into SW MO as well. Yeah thankfully nothing happened to me where I was at. Did you see downtown BA? I believe so, I don't think this tornado was as bad as that storm chaser who panicked made it out to be. I know there was a tornado all the way to Inola through to locusts grove. Wouldn't shock me if a tornado did reach Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I saw the Elmer tornado as well, but only glimpses of it. No chase partner yesterday, so I played things very conservatively. There was only one bridge over the North Fork Red River (which I think was the bridge seen in Brett's video), so I made sure to get east of that very early to avoid any bottlenecks there. I could see the left edge of it briefly from where I was sitting for a while S of Tipton (where I actually met Sam Lillo/forum member OKpowdah), but after that I was constantly driving so I didn't get a chance to get any good pictures or video of it. Good chase overall for me, but it could have been even better.Similar story, I was on the storm solo. I actually got into great position, but then had to drop a little south and lost radar. I got a glimpse of it for a while in a field just WSW of the center of Tipton. I thought I'd head east to follow the storm, but the road was washed out (appeared as if it was from prior rain). Then it was a fight to get out in one piece before the other dirt roads washed out due to rain on the back side of the tornado. The area near the valley wasn't great for visibility with a lot more trees than further north. Here's a somewhat clearer image than I uploaded last night: Had my windshield smashed from a stray hailstone while getting out of there. I couldn't say I was surprised, but just about all of the other hail I was encountering was sub-severe. Windshield getting replaced Tuesday morning and heading to the TX panhandle if model guidance is correct. I went down to Wichita Falls last night for another storm. It was cycling, but I saw some pretty awesome structure with it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.