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May 15th-16th Severe Events


andyhb

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I wouldn't expect these cells to produce anything significant/long-lived (other than brief tornadoes) for another hour or so because the VBV in the lower to mid levels is just so stubborn. I do expect things to change later on, but right now I foresee some more mergers. Currently the Jackson Co. cell is stubbornly but tenuously holding on to its discrete mode in an otherwise somewhat messy mixed storm environment.

 

Honestly, with what's going on near Elmer, OK, not a good time to post this.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
539 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
EASTERN SWIFT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...  
 
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT  
 
* AT 538 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DE GRAFF...OR  
20 MILES NORTHEAST OF MONTEVIDEO...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  

 

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I wouldn't expect these cells to produce anything significant/long-lived (other than brief tornadoes) for another hour or so because the VBV in the lower to mid levels is just so stubborn. I do expect things to change later on, but right now I foresee some more mergers. Currently the Jackson Co. cell is stubbornly but tenuously holding on to its discrete mode in an otherwise somewhat messy mixed storm environment.

Take a break. That Red River storm is probably a strong-violent tornado.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015  
 
OKC065-141-TXC487-162300-  
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150516T2300Z/  
JACKSON OK-TILLMAN OK-WILBARGER TX-  
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015  
 
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR  
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...NORTHWESTERN TILLMAN AND NORTH CENTRAL  
WILBARGER COUNTIES...  
 
AT 546 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED NEAR ELMER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
 
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
 
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY  
BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES  
WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO  
HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE  
DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
TIPTON...ELMER...HEADRICK...HUMPHREYS AND HESS.  

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