PB GFI Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 The calls for region 3.4 to peak at +1.9C Lol that was only off by over a degree. Actual 3.4 weekly peak: +3.1C. The early peak calls were equally as horrifically dreadful WAS ALWAYS THE TRI MONTHLY WHICH THE CALL 6 MONTHS OUT WAS 1.8 TO 2 . GOT TO 2.3 YOU WERE 1.5 . EAST BASED SNOWLESS WINTER . NO PATTERN CHANGE NINO COLLAPSE WEST TO EAST PAC DOMINATING AIR THROUGHOUT THE WINTER . 90 PAGES OF LOL / AND YOUR WINTER FORECAST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2016 Author Share Posted January 30, 2016 WAS ALWAYS THE TRI MONTHLY WHICH THE CALL 6 MONTHS OUT WAS 1.8 TO 2 . GOT TO 2.3 YOU WERE 1.5 . EAST BASED SNOWLESS WINTER . NO PATTERN CHANGE NINO COLLAPSE WEST TO EAST PAC DOMINATING AIR THROUGHOUT THE WINTER . 90 PAGES OF LOL / AND YOUR WINTER FORECAST Your ENSO forecast was dreadful, epic total fail, it's comical that you think it was right, I'm literally laughing so hard right now I can barely type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 The calls for region 3.4 to peak at +1.9C Lol that was only off by over a degree. Actual 3.4 weekly peak: +3.1C. The early peak calls were equally as horrifically dreadful OCT 12 PM THE BEST CALL OF THE YEAR . Not going to ruin the thread by responding to your trolling but region 4 just dropped as well, just noise overall. But there will be major warming in the eastern regions over the next several weeks, it's undeniable, in fact if you look at the latest TAO, regions 3 and 1+2 are over +3 now, it will show on the next update. You just gave yourself a dose of karma. And I guarantee you, when there is an unrelenting blowtorch this winter and no snow, I will be laughing and singing "Please celebrate me home give me a number please celebrate me home.." Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Your ENSO forecast was dreadful, epic total fail, it's comical that you think it was right, I'm literally laughing so hard right now I can barely type. LOL 90 PAGES, AND EVERYONE CAN GO READ FOR THEMSELVES / FOR THE RECORD THEY HAVE AND OUTSIDE OF ONE OTHER IDIOT HERE , THE REST WILL AGREE IT WAS A JOB WELL DONE FROM START TO FINISH. PLEASE TELL US AGAIN HOW GREAT YOUR JAN FORECAST IS WORKING . YOU SOUND INSANE MY MAN . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 The calls for region 3.4 to peak at +1.9C Lol that was only off by over a degree. Actual 3.4 weekly peak: +3.1C. The early peak calls were equally as horrifically dreadful I can't tell if you're just trolling or in denial. With that said, I really wouldn't be trolling if my predictions were dead wrong. There's absolutely nothing wrong with being wrong. There's a lot wrong with calling others out for not being 100% accurate when your preditions were awful. PB and Bluewave did pretty dam good with their predictions in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Your ENSO forecast was dreadful, epic total fail, it's comical that you think it was right, I'm literally laughing so hard right now I can barely type. omfg. how in the world you are allowed to continue to post here when you are essentially slandering others is beyond me. you are a fool and a complete joke of a poster who has been wrong and blown every single call you have made this winter. it is a wonder you are even able to show your persona around here after how abysmal every single thing you have called for has turned out. You have zero credibility here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2016 Author Share Posted January 30, 2016 omfgAt what? Your SSW calls from November, and December? You have been horrific, beyond horrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 At what? Your SSW calls from November, and December? You have been horrific, beyond horrific THERE IS A MAJOR SSWE BEGINNING RIGHT NOW DUDE. LOOK AT THE GUIDANCE. FEBRUARY WILL FEATURE A LARGELY -AO AND THIS IS PARTIALLY WHY. Basically, you BLEW the ENSO call which was never east based and is now dying out east FIRST. Tropical forcing has setup around the dateline, yielding PAC ridging since late December and February will likely be BN, if not MUCH BN, as a result. We saw a HISTORIC BLIZZARD a couple of weeks after you opined about how we would see a record warm second half and little if any snow. YOU ARE A TROLL AND NOT GOOD AT THIS STUFF. POST LESS AND READ MORE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 It's just weather guys...Its not a competition... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 #eastbasedfail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Latest values:Nino 1.2: +1.0 (-0.4 continuing to plummet)Nino 3: +2.3 (-0.2 dropping fast)Nino 3.4: +2.5 (No change)Nino 4: +1.5 (+0.1) East to west collapse big time. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst8110.for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Sorry about the delay, as I missed this message. I agree that this winter will end with a strong El Niño. A rapid shift into La Niño could promote an active hurricane season, as happened in 1998. A slow fade of the El Niño with a delayed onset of La Niña, though could dampen it, as occurred in 1983. Wasn't 1972-3 and 2010-11 rapid fades into La Niña? Both had lackluster hurricane seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Wasn't 1972-3 and 2010-11 rapid fades into La Niña? Both had lackluster hurricane seasons. 1973 featured very cool Atlantic SSTAs. 2011 was active (18 named storms though only 6 hurricanes, 3 of which were major). So far, the Atlantic SSTAs are much warmer than they were during both 1973 and 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Latest values: Nino 1.2: +1.2 (+0.2 continuing to usual fluctuation on the way down) Nino 3: +2.2 (-0.1) Nino 3.4: +2.6 (+0.1) Nino 4: +1.5 (No change) The western areas just don't want to decline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Latest values: Nino 1.2: +0.7 (-0.5) "East-based" lol Nino 3: +2.0 (-0.2) Nino 3.4: +2.5 (-0.1) Nino 4: +1.5 (No change) 3.4 and 4 have not declined in over a month and six weeks respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Latest values: Nino 1.2: +0.7 (-0.5) "East-based" lol Nino 3: +2.0 (-0.2) Nino 3.4: +2.5 (-0.1) Nino 4: +1.5 (No change) 3.4 and 4 have not declined in over a month and six weeks respectively. Didn't 3.4 and 4 change on Feb 1? That's when you last posted lol 3.4 had no change last time though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Didn't 3.4 and 4 change on Feb 1? That's when you last posted lol 3.4 had no change last time though I think he means they are currently at their value from a month and six weeks ago. But worded poorly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I think he means they are currently at their value from a month and six weeks ago. But worded poorly.Ah OK, thanks for making Mr Morris post understandable lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Latest values:Nino 1.2: +0.5 (-0.2) Nino 3: +1.9 (-0.1)Nino 3.4: +2.4 (-0.1)Nino 4: +1.4 (-0.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 By the Japanese definition, it looks like we are in an El Nino Modoki now, not so much because the east Pacific is cool, but just because it is so much cooler than the other "boxes" in the Tropical Pacific. http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/DATA/emi.monthly.txt Not even worth looking at anymore. March is here in a few days and met winter ends. The wheels are already in motion and have been for months. Any changes right now have a lag effect and would only effect spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Those who went warm for met winter score a big win. Depending on how the last 5 days of Feb goes, NYC has a shot at #1 for warmth. Likely to be #2 for warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Brian5671, on 23 Feb 2016 - 9:23 PM, said:Brian5671, on 23 Feb 2016 - 9:23 PM, said:Brian5671, on 23 Feb 2016 - 9:23 PM, said:Those who went warm for met winter score a big win. Depending on how the last 5 days of Feb goes, NYC has a shot at #1 for warmth. Likely to be #2 for warmth December was just so off the charts warm, that even a normal Jan and Feb would still have given the winter a +4 or so degree departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Latest values: Nino 1.2: +0.9 (+0.4 the usual fluctuation on the way down) Nino 3: +1.8 (-0.1) Nino 3.4: +2.1 (-0.3) Nino 4: +1.4 (unchanged) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 The nino is slowly weakening which may save from a hot summer and also a strong nina for next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 The nino is slowly weakening which may save from a hot summer and also a strong nina for next winter. Some Niño fade summers have been very hot; 1953, 1970, 1973, 1983, 2005 and 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Some Niño fade summers have been very hot; 1953, 1970, 1973, 1983, 2005 and 2010. 1998 which is closest strength wise to this year had a normal summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Some Niño fade summers have been very hot; 1953, 1970, 1973, 1983, 2005 and 2010. some big late season heat waves for those analogs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Those who went warm for met winter score a big win. Depending on how the last 5 days of Feb goes, NYC has a shot at #1 for warmth. Likely to be #2 for warmth Every forecast was for AN in here. Some just went with AN snow in NYC. That's the difference in here my man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Every forecast was for AN in here. Some just went with AN snow in NYC. That's the difference in here my man. Didn't you go with +1 for Dec-Feb with AN snow?The warmth was severely underestimated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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