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Severe & Flooding Potential: May 3-6, 2015


Quincy

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
636 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHWESTERN BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...  
NORTHEASTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...  
CENTRAL MAJOR COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...  
 
* UNTIL 700 PM CDT  
 
* AT 636 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF  
CANTON LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
 
 
HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND VEHICLES.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
FAIRVIEW...RINGWOOD...CLEO SPRINGS...LONGDALE...ORIENTA...ISABELLA  
AND CANTON LAKE.

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A large majority of convection allowing models are showing isolated to scattered supercells through central KS and OK by 00z this evening. The only real weakness in the background environment is questionable flow aloft, mainly around H5 down south and H2-H3 up north. I'm very surprised at the lack of enthusiasm in the weather and chasing world today. It seems highly probable that at least one or two storms will initiate in a high-end environment; as the previous SWODY1 said, any sustained storm would be associated with a very real SigTor threat, even before 00z. I think we'll have several tornado reports by 8-9pm, and wouldn't be shocked if it were more than several. We shall see -- I'm very optimistic about this week as a whole, and seem to be an outlier among chasers/forecasters for now.

When you're pumped everyone should be pumped.
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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL CADDO...SOUTH CENTRAL CANADIAN AND NORTHERN GRADY COUNTIES...  
      
AT 645 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED NEAR LAKE CHICKASHA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.  
 
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
 
SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
 
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO   
         HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
         DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.   
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
TUTTLE...MINCO...VERDEN...AMBER...POCASSET AND LAKE CHICKASHA.

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