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Severe & Flooding Potential: May 3-6, 2015


Quincy

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
335 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...  
 
* UNTIL 400 PM CDT  
 
* AT 335 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF  
IONIA...OR 24 MILES NORTHWEST OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20  
MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

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AT 329 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO...JUST WEST OF CHICKASHA. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WEST SIDES OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO BETWEEN 430 PM AND 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND TORNADOES WITH THESE STORMS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION AND UPDATES AS THESE STORMS APPROACH.

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I'd say that the threat for tornadoes from the Chickasha cell will diminish as it enters the higher LFC to its northeast and as 500-mb winds increasingly veer, promoting a back-veer-back pattern that will engender more cell mergers. The strongest upward forcing has already passed anyway.

 

Yeah, I noticed the VBV profile as well.  It's hung on longer than I thought it would though.

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