rolltide_130 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 I could see the SIG expanding south if the high-res models continue to/begin to show initiation in western Oklahoma. Anywhere between Elk City to El Reno and points north could get a rude surprise if a cell develops and tracks in a bad direction this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 I could see the SIG expanding south if the high-res models continue to/begin to show initiation in western Oklahoma. Anywhere between Elk City to El Reno and points north could get a rude surprise if a cell develops and tracks in a bad direction this afternoon. I am actually a bit surprised there wasn't an upgrade in tornado probs in the southern enhanced area. Most models are consistent in ramping up low level shear rapidly this evening along most of the dryline and the better upper level flow is in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Yeah, I really like the corridor between I-40 and the OK/KS border the best as of now. Neither the H5 nor anvil-level flow is prohibitively weak in and around that area, and CAMs are consistently pegging it for initiation of at least one or two storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 SPC seems to be hugging the storm scale ensemble https://twitter.com/gcarbin/status/595994366168043520 Of course the 500 vort is best in that northern area but was kind of surprised the hatching so far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 SPC seems to be hugging the storm scale ensemble https://twitter.com/gcarbin/status/595994366168043520 Of course the 500 vort is best in that northern area but was kind of surprised the hatching so far north. Personally I do think it's a bit far north, especially into southern Nebraska. Drove south from there this morning and it's a fairly thick overcast. Can't imagine too much destabilization is able to take place. Storm mode could get quite messy north of I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Personally I do think it's a bit far north, especially into southern Nebraska. Drove south from there this morning and it's a fairly thick overcast. Can't imagine too much destabilization is able to take place. Storm mode could get quite messy north of I-70. Yeah I could maybe see it to the KS/NE border to be safe but north of that not sure... I'd prob go for the KS/OK border target as well.. though the SW OK/Red River area might be tempting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jameswx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 15z HRRR throws up a nice looking sup in OK between I-40 and Hwy 412 around 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Definitely an interesting day setting up with any storm that fires up in OK/KS capable of producing significant severe weather. Even parts of Northwest Texas could get in on the fun later today with impressive low level shear. I'm about to head out to the KS/OK border about two counties west of I-35 most likely to stay in play for southern Kansas but also an eye on any storms that fire up in W OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 First cell of the day is already SVR warned north of Lawton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Tornado watches up and down the ENH risk corridor, and it's only 2:00 Central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 KSC105-061945- /O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150506T1945Z/ LINCOLN KS- 228 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY... AT 228 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LINCOLN...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 AT 232 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER LINCOLN...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 AT 232 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER LINCOLN...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. The whole "over Lincoln" part is a bit ominous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 240 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 315 PM CDT * AT 240 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LINCOLN...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BARNARD AROUND 250 PM CDT. # PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 KSN Live stream http://ksn.com/video/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 245 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 315 PM CDT * AT 245 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR APACHE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ANADARKO...APACHE...CYRIL...VERDEN...CEMENT...NORTHERN LAKE ELLSWORTH AND STECKER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 From that northern KS cell: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Weak tornado on the ground Caddo County OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The phrase "large and extremely dangerous tornado" does not have the same meaning this year apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 http://kfor.com/on-air/live-streaming/ Chopper on the TOR warned storm. Not on the ground but likely cycling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 TOG on KFOR stream now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 This cell is also rotating per OUN. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK303 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHEASTERN MAJOR COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...* UNTIL 345 PM CDT* AT 303 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CANTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OKEENE...AMES...ISABELLA...SOUTHARD AND HOMESTEAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 If this new wall cloud wraps up, this time it may put down a decent sized tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 KFOR saying large tornado forming now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 That supercell is starting to turn right a bit. Moore in about 1-2hrs? Might as well take cover now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 KFOR saying large tornado forming now. That's just Morgan being Morgan. It does look good on radar though, no impedance, and winds backing a little ahead of it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Verdun OK storm has very strong velocity couplet at 10,000 ft above ground, decent size RFD/hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 It still seems weird not hearing Gary England when watching the news 9 stream... looks like the cell near Verden has weakened some, but with it on a track to possibly hit the metro at rush hour still a very very close watcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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