Bob Chill Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Do people still think this is like last year? Definitely warmer. But not crazy or anything. We hit 90+ during the first half of May last year once. Hard to say if we do it this year. Wed-Fri could be in the low-mid 70's so some of the + departure will get knocked down. Warmer first half compared to last is prob a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 EPS and GEFS both suggest the trough next week is transient. Convective regime in the WPAC/IO is nothing like last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 I think there were some similarities earlier and maybe a few still but pattern across CONUS is more typical Nino maybe. Sure looks like the tendency for warm is going to persist a while. Not to say it will into heart of summer but definetly some different things going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 I think there were some similarities earlier and maybe a few still but pattern across CONUS is more typical Nino maybe. Sure looks like the tendency for warm is going to persist a while. Not to say it will into heart of summer but definetly some different things going on. The west looks cool and stormy for the foreseeable future. Which makes sense. They've been so warm and dry for months that things have to regress eventually. Luckily the pattern for us looks warm but not terribly humid on the means. I can deal with m-u 80's when soup isn't being served as a side dish. Storm track (if there are any) looks west of us so maybe we can get some storms before fronts. Too bad the center of circ from Ana is going to stay east. Could have been more interesting if it got pushed further inland before getting the boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 The west looks cool and stormy for the foreseeable future. Which makes sense. They've been so warm and dry for months that things have to regress eventually. Luckily the pattern for us looks warm but not terribly humid on the means. I can deal with m-u 80's when soup isn't being served as a side dish. Storm track (if there are any) looks west of us so maybe we can get some storms before fronts. Too bad the center of circ from Ana is going to stay east. Could have been more interesting if it got pushed further inland before getting the boot. For sure. I for one would have enjoyed a washout for the weekend, and more yard flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Do people still think this is like last year? nope, this is way more like 2010 than 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 LWX afternoon AFD seems like they are saying we will get some rain/storms from Ana Sunday night into Monday... but I am a bit confused because this morning in their AFD they said this: Morning AFD SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO NC MONDAY AND SOUTHERLYWINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A 5PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM ANA ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC. AT THIS TIME...ANA WILL LIKELY BECOME A DEPRESSION AS ITWEAKENS OVER LAND. ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKEBAY MONDAY NIGHT AND QUICKLY MOVE OUT TO SEA BY TUESDAY MORNING.HEAVY RAIN SHOULD STAY WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION AND NOHAZARDOUS IMPACTS FROM ANA ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SEE COASTALFLOOD SECTION BELOW. In the afternoon AFD, they changed it to this: SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA SLOWLY MOVES NORTH INTO NC SUNDAY NIGHT INTOMONDAY AS IT WEAKENS. ANA WILL MOVE OVER THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKEBAY MONDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONMONDAY...AS WELL AS BREEZY CONDITIONS. ANA WILL QUICKLY MOVE OUT TOSEA BY TUESDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Back to our climatological torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Awful morning of clouds and fog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Muggggy 68/64 under clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Back to our climatological torch. Start off gray and drizzly, end up +10. Easy-peasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Went to Frederick today, nice day outside, but it was miserable in the car on my way back since the A/C broke down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Any precip on the Euro for next weekend? Going camping for my daughter's b-day. GFS looks pretty iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 69/68 to start the day. Summer muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 10, 2015 Author Share Posted May 10, 2015 69/68 to start the day. Summer muggy. 22/20 where I am this am, super unmuggy. Nice and white too haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 76/69 Very soupy out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 22/20 where I am this am, super unmuggy. Nice and white too haha! Took a peek at a basin cams. Place is packed. 14" of snow in a couple days. Great late season this year. Enjoy the views! I'm jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Not bad..81/64 with plenty of sky-cover. This would actually be considered a win by midsummer standards. Soon we'll be sitting at 95/75 every afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 85 / 67. Horrible outside. 7 days into a heat-wave and looking at still 6 more weeks of climbing sun. Hurry up, Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 As of today, KOKV is +9.9F on highs for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 10, 2015 Author Share Posted May 10, 2015 Took a peek at a basin cams. Place is packed. 14" of snow in a couple days. Great late season this year. Enjoy the views! I'm jealous Abasin was shuttling people from Keystone parking lots today, thier parking lots overloaded. Sorta glad I decided against getting on slopes, I probably would have hurt somebody....haha! Did go up to pass and hiked trail around south side over towards Loveland ski area. Went up above my knees in a couple of spots where it had drifted, MUCH deeper it you went off trail.Amazed at the number of people 'earning turns' at pass. I can officially say now that I am back in the valley that May sun angle is an absolute killer on snow! haha Anything south or SW facing has had all snow removed by sun, and there was about 3-4 here in valley (Dillon Frisco area) this am. Still plenty in shade as temp just has crossed freezing, up to 34 here in valley, it was 16 on top of pass by car's therm when I got there and 22 when I left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Heat wave....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 85 / 67. Horrible outside. 7 days into a heat-wave and looking at still 6 more weeks of climbing sun. Hurry up, Wednesday. its been dry too. terribly dry. parched even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 I would like some storms today please... In addition, I wish we had some more shear, 06z NAM soundings looked a bit better than meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Looks like DCA will tie the record high minimum temp for the day at 71 (1979). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Tue night thru the end of the week (maybe into the weekend) looks glorious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Nice day to be near the continental divide in CO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Been enjoying the weather this week/weekend. Low 80s everyday, but a little humid. Today will be the hot day -- Already up to 75 at 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 12z NAM likes some storms for tonight... even though shear sucks, decent sounding anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 74 showery, jungle humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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