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May Obs And Daily Disco


wxdude64

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Humid. Hot. Sigh. Anyone spare some rain?

You are welcome to some of our rain down here in South Central Texas. We have yet another MCS full of heavy rain making its way across Texas, lol.

 

In some parts of TX this is starting to get ridiculous. Houston got waterboarded with 11 inches in ONE FRIGGIN' NIGHT a few days ago. We have seen at least 7 inches in the past 8 days, with about 12-16 inches this MONTH geeze. There is standing water EVERYWHERE!

 

We're progged to get another 3 inches tonight, then more storms forming along an old boundary tomorrow night, then a front will come south Saturday night and get hung up over the Austin/Buda Corridor and more rain will form along that boundary into Sunday morning.

 

You can have our rain any time you like.

 

I gotta get started on my Ark lmfao.

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ugh. models trending away from a good Sunday/Monday soaking here. still think that most areas will get at least some rain, and some areas will probably cash in nicely, but the chances for widespread heavy rain seems to be diminishing.

Yeah, my point and click forecast was for rain and thunderstorms. Now it's mostly sunny with a 40% chance of a storm. I know how that usually plays out. I have a feeling it's going to be a long summer.
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Alright, I'm done.  Too hot.  October yet?

 

This is shaping up to be an absolute disaster.

 

It's May 30 and it's already been deep summer for a solid month and I'm already in solid drought conditions.  The "cool-down" for next week has already turned into upper 70s and mostly dry.  I know how that goes here; it ends up mostly sunny and +5F warmer than forecast.  

 

Still nearly 4 months of summer yet to go.

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ugh. models trending away from a good Sunday/Monday soaking here. still think that most areas will get at least some rain, and some areas will probably cash in nicely, but the chances for widespread heavy rain seems to be diminishing.

12Z models bring the rain back.... 1-2 inches across the DC/Balto metro areas over the next 2-3 days.

MDstorm

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The trend I'm seeing on the ensembles is a westward retrogression of the circulation in the NPAC in the long run, with high heights developing in the GOA/NE-PAC. That's a double edged sword, in my opinion, because while it'll lead to a few backdoor style troughs here initially, it'll also begin building higher heights so our south/southeast in the long run, which is a much different beast than a ridge centered to our north, at least when it comes to heat/humidity.

We all know the drill there..once that return-flow starts up after the 1st or 2nd backdoor high, the SW flow initiates and we melt. This is pretty much what happened in June of 2012.

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