Geos Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 83°/44° for today's high and low. Still 70° right now with a S breeze still blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Don't forget..this thing has a cold side: Guess I'll have pics with everything covered in snow when I'm there on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 The Black Hills always seem to get dumped on late in the season...yet in midwinter they can be 70F or warmer. Weird climate. Cooler here this morning. Looks like we drop all the way into the mid 50Fs on Tues for highs. Yesterday was more like July...i think i had low 70Fs when i took my sun to school, and it was still upper 70Fs late last night before the line of storms came through... Amazing amount of growth the last few days on my trees... crazy how fast plants respond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Pretty sweet sat image over the plains/midwest...my image space is all full so i can't post... Definetly much muggier this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Pretty sweet sat image over the plains/midwest...my image space is all full so i can't post... Definetly much muggier this morning... yep, big airmass change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Indeed ALEK.... Pretty fascinating set up as a whole now and through the next few days...from a national viewpoint. Looks like an uptick NW of St Louis...could be some decent rumblers in LOT later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Indeed ALEK.... Pretty fascinating set up as a whole now and through the next few days...from a national viewpoint. Looks like an uptick NW of St Louis...could be some decent rumblers in LOT later i'm semi-bullish on a solid complex into the area later this afternoon/evening. not severe or anything, just quality garden variety Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 It appears we have a couple days off over here. The wind has switched to the north and today's disturbance will largely, if not completely, miss to the southeast. Next week is looking a bit chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 i'm semi-bullish on a solid complex into the area later this afternoon/evening. not severe or anything, just quality garden variety Latest HRRR says you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 i'm semi-bullish on a solid complex into the area later this afternoon/evening. not severe or anything, just quality garden variety My thought also...but a quick review of OBS and satte....there might be a case for a few sneaky cells...not widespread severe, but wouldn't shock me to see a warning or two in area...i'm happy with either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 79 at 1030 AM? Feels like mid june Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Nice day here...upper 60Fs on tap... The rain really didn't pan out last night... .03 Should be dry the next couple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Chilly enough to calculate a wind chill of 45F here right now. Overcast and damp from the torrential rains yesterday afternoon. More rain on Sunday/Monday with 'flakes possible'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 My thought also...but a quick review of OBS and satte....there might be a case for a few sneaky cells...not widespread severe, but wouldn't shock me to see a warning or two in area...i'm happy with either decent instability building ahead of the complex, especially the SE CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 decent instability building ahead of the complex, especially the SE CWA Yeah....nice pocket of cleaner skies headed toward the eastern half of LOT....favoring the SE portions as you mentioned... when the sun shines locally here it is full on july mugginess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Some cells trying to fire up between Decatur and Danville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Danville cell over 50k... Pockets of 2500 SB CAPE now showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Danville cell over 50k... Pockets of 2500 SB CAPE now showing up HRRR with popcorn all over the CWA early this evening, looks like a soaker is a lock combine this with another round or two through monday and we can safely put any D0 talk in the rearview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 83°F so far with Dew's around 60. Very mid-summerlike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 THE MAIN CONCERN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT IS THE THREAT FOR VERYHEAVY RAINFALL. A VERY WARM AND UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN IOWA. BOTH KILX AND KDVN 12 UTC RAOBS ALREADY INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.3 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 1.6 INCHES NOTED ON THE SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI RAOB...WHICH IS OVER 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AN AREA OF SHOWERS...WITH THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING AT THE PRESENT INTO WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND AN ENHANCED AREA OF LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER MISSOURI. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THIS APPROACHING DISTURBANCE BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE REGION. MODIFYING THE LATEST AMDAR SOUNDING OUT OF KMDW FOR FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON YIELDS AROUND 1600 J/KG OF SBCAPE. OVERALL...MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR APPEARS POOR ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...SO THE THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL APPEARS LOW IN MOST AREAS. HOWEVER...A SLIGHTLY BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SOME SCT SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MY SOUTHEASTERN CWA AS THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FIELD BEGINS TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS APPROACHING WAVE. IT APPEARS THAT A COUPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD RIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CHICAGO METRO AREA INTO TONIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT AN ENHANCE LOW LEVEL JET IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS APPROACHING DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN SHARP PLUME OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND CONVERGENCE RIGHT ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA THIS EVENING. THIS SHOULD HELP PWATS INCREASE UP CLOSER TO 1.6 INCHES...SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS MEASURED OVER SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...STORMS SHOULD BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS...AND COULD BEGIN TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING BEFORE THINGS BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THAT THIS AXIS OF HEAVER RAINFALL COULD OCCUR RIGHT ACROSS THE CHICAGO METRO AREA THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME FLOODING ISSUES. AT THE PRESENT WE HAVE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT INSTEAD HAVE ISSUED AN ESF TO HIGHLIGHT THIS CONCERN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 good write up....hydro the bigger story today/tonight.... Nice soaker looks like a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 training evening thunderstorms = the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Real rough day with the dewpoint falling from the mid 50's to the mid 40's this evening. This is child's play. Check back with me when it's 90˚/78˚. We're kinda due for some 80 degree dews, but I doubt I'll still be here if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Wow 91 officially here 20 miles south of Toledo Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 90 at KYIP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 last batch of sun before overcast and showers/storms move in. seeing some tops pop up on visible sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Starting to look pretty gnarly to my south and west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 90 at KYIP As always Maxed out at 87 here which tied the record for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Starting to look pretty gnarly to my south and west... Some nasty looking cells in the old hood. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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