Brian5671 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 summery night out there-cool full moon rising in the east shrouded in orange. if that precip over S NY doesn't make it in here, we're dry til next week in all liklihood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 85 NYC: 85 EWR: 86 LGA: 81 JFK: 82 ISP: 79 New Brunswick: 87 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 85 NYC: 85 EWR: 86 LGA: 81 JFK: 82 ISP: 79 New Brunswick: 87 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 86 dry conditions helping nyc stay close to ewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 A look at May's the last 2 decades NYC Year. Dep (highest temp) 2014: +1.6 (2x 86) 2013: +0.4 (2x 90) 2012: +2.7 (89) 2011: +2.1 (89) 2010: +2.9 (92) 2009: +0.1 (86) 2008: -2.3 (83) 2007: +2.8 (91) 2006: +0.7 (88) 2005: -3.5 (79) 2004: +2.8 (87) 2003: -3.7 (79) 2002: -1.7 (85) 2001: +1.2 (92) 2000: +1.1 (93) 1999 : +0.4 (89) 1998: +1.8 (87) 1997: -3.1 (83) 1996: -1.3 (96) 1995: -0.3 (87) 1994: -0.3 (91) 1993: +3.2 (92) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 What a terrible day to work outside. Too warm for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 I once again got to 87 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Temp rising in the city, up to 73 at the last ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Temp rising in the city, up to 73 at the last ob. Sounds right. Im at 72 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Temp rising in the city, up to 73 at the last ob. 59 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 59 here Doesn't get more comfortable than that, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Just some light showers in NYC with the RH at a dry 33%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 What's the warmest May on record? The departures look to be ridiculously high through mid month at least. We might be at a +8 or +9 by the 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Just some light showers in NYC with the RH at a dry 33%. nothing reaching the ground here despite decent radar returns. Dry begets dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 What's the warmest May on record? The departures look to be ridiculously high through mid month at least. We might be at a +8 or +9 by the 14th. The greatest deviation above normal for May is about +6.5 degs. for an entire month. Temps will dip at mid-month for about 3 days then ridging again, possibly ending with a trough on the 22nd. I think the deviation by the 14th will be closer to just 7 degs. If correct, second half of the month could not average much above normal without this becoming a top ten hottest May, since that seems to be just +3.0 degs. above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The GFS is finally coming around to the Euro idea of the dry pattern continuing for at least another 10 days here. The good news is that it's showing some much need drought relief for TX and OK. Looks like a very active pattern for JM to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 What's the warmest May on record? The departures look to be ridiculously high through mid month at least. We might be at a +8 or +9 by the 14th. 1991 with an average of 68.7... May......................................................................... warmest.........coolest...........wettest............driest...... 68.7 in 1991...54.3 in 1917...10.24" in 1989...0.30" in 1903 67.9 in 1880...55.2 in 1967.....9.74" in 1984...0.34" in 1887 67.0 in 1944...55.2 in 1907.....9.15" in 1978...0.57" in 1964 67.0 in 1896...56.6 in 1882.....9.10" in 1990...0.62" in 1880 66.4 in 1965...57.3 in 1924.....8.51" in 1908...0.72" in 1905 66.4 in 1959...57.4 in 1901.....8.39" in 1972...0.89" in 1939 66.0 in 1986...57.7 in 1869.....8.00" in 2013...0.95" in 1877 65.8 in 1975...57.8 in 1891.....7.61" in 1940...1.05" in 1935 65.7 in 1993...58.0 in 1888.....7.58" in 1948...1.09" in 1899 65.6 in 1980...58.2 in 1893.....7.06" in 1968...1.18" in 1944 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The GFS is finally coming around to the Euro idea of the dry pattern continuing for at least another 10 days here. The good news is that it's showing some much need drought relief for TX and OK. Looks like a very active pattern for JM to track. gfs_namer_240_precip_ptot.gif The only difference this run was that the southeast ridge was just a tick stronger. And whatever happens or doesn't happen with that TC into the Carolina's is going to make a big difference. The 12z GGEM likes the idea of moisture streaming North towards our area this weekend. How often do you get a TC landfall into the Carolinas and not receive any measurable precip out of it here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The only difference this run was that the southeast ridge was just a tick stronger. And whatever happens or doesn't happen with that TC into the Carolina's is going to make a big difference. The 12z GGEM likes the idea of moisture streaming North towards our area this weekend. How often do you get a TC landfall into the Carolinas and not receive any measurable precip out of it here? Plenty of times when there is a strong ridge over the area like we have now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Plenty of times when there is a strong ridge over the area like we have now. Exactly. That moisture will hit a brick wall in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 You'll can believe what you want. The 12z Euro is now moving towards a wetter solution with the closed center from the TC beginning to interact with the approaching front on day 5. Still doesn't spit out much QPF wise but it's a good setup if enough moisture can advect northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 we're more likely to hit 90 than get rain from that disturbance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 we're more likely to hit 90 than get rain from that disturbance It looks as though you are getting younger; which is eminently preferable to going in the other direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Welcome be thou, faire, fresshe May...___Chaucer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 This looks like it's going to be only the 5th spring at NYC with a March average temperature below 40.0 degrees and a May above 65.0 degrees. 1993 1944 1896 1880 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Chances for rain look slim....15 straight days now with no measurable precip here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 This looks like it's going to be only the 5th spring at NYC with a March average temperature below 40.0 degrees and a May above 65.0 degrees. 1993 1944 1896 1880 Interesting stat and quite the turnaround from much below normal to much above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Chances for rain look slim....15 straight days now with no measurable precip here. Next 4-5 day look bone dry outside of some fog/mist. Temps soaring here, already up to 68 before 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 models now only brush the carolinas with the subtropical low as it sharply recurves out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 If NYC finishes May at +3.0 or greater, then it will only be the 4th month since July 2013. Sometimes we can get a warm -EPO pattern with a strong ridge here like July 2013. Dec 14....+3.0 Oct 13.....+3.3 July 13....+3.3 will be interesting to see what the 2nd half of the month does-some longer term models now showing a cold trough in the NE starting around 5/14 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 in 2000 it was 93 on this date...the hottest temp for that year...1967 had heavy rain with a max of 44...I saw wet snow flakes the day before in Brooklyn...1970 had a min. of 38...a few days later it was 90...today is a perfect Spring day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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