pazzo83 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 High of 80 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Today's HIghs TEB: 81 NYC: 80 EWR: 78 LGA: 76 JFK: 67 ISP: 65 New Brunswick: 81 TTN: 79 PHL: 81 ACY: 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Upper 60s here. So Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Starting off about 7-9 degrees warmer this morning. I'm thinking 84-88 today for most of the area cooler coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 60 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 4, 2015 Author Share Posted May 4, 2015 Already up to 69 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Inferno alert today. Feels like July. 65 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 72 in the park already and it's not yet 10 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Torch me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Torch me warm and dry as far as the eye can see. Maybe a shower tomorrow, but looks slim for that happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 warm and dry as far as the eye can see. Maybe a shower tomorrow, but looks slim for that happening It's going to rain tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 It's going to rain tomorrow. with this wording from Upton, I'm not too enthused: - MODELS STILL SUGGEST THAT WITH BEST FORCING GOING TO THE N...THAT ANY PRECIPITATION COULD BREAK UP AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY...FOR THIS REASON HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY... - however if the nam is right, maybe a few of us cash in... - HOWEVER...IF THE NAM IS CORRECT AND DO ACHIEVE SEVERAL HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS N/W INTERIOR ZONES THEN COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS...AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM COULD NOT BE 100 PERCENT RULED OUT IF THE NAM IS CORRECT. THE NAM BEING CORRECT IS PREDICATED ON THERE BEING SOME EXTENSIVE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN SLOWER TIMING OF THE FRONT...DID RAISE HIGHS...BUT NOT AS WARM AS THE NAM WOULD SUGGEST. APPEARS LOW LEVELS SHOULD BE TOO MOIST TO SUPPORT EXTENSIVE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 4, 2015 Author Share Posted May 4, 2015 Already up to 75 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 More fire danger today, I feel like we're gonna pay for all this warm and dry soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 72 in the park already and it's not yet 10 am. 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 The front comes through tomorrow. 12z NAM has 1"+ in spots. Of course convection is always a crap shoot. The 4k NAM has a nice squall line coming through tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 81 at Belmar,NJ with SW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 with this wording from Upton, I'm not too enthused: - MODELS STILL SUGGEST THAT WITH BEST FORCING GOING TO THE N...THAT ANY PRECIPITATION COULD BREAK UP AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY...FOR THIS REASON HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY... - however if the nam is right, maybe a few of us cash in... - HOWEVER...IF THE NAM IS CORRECT AND DO ACHIEVE SEVERAL HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS N/W INTERIOR ZONES THEN COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS...AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM COULD NOT BE 100 PERCENT RULED OUT IF THE NAM IS CORRECT. THE NAM BEING CORRECT IS PREDICATED ON THERE BEING SOME EXTENSIVE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN SLOWER TIMING OF THE FRONT...DID RAISE HIGHS...BUT NOT AS WARM AS THE NAM WOULD SUGGEST. APPEARS LOW LEVELS SHOULD BE TOO MOIST TO SUPPORT EXTENSIVE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AT THIS TIME. I agree, we need a good soaking up up here, a few showers aren't going to cut it, nor will a heavy downpour as most of it will simply run off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 We're going to be in a great spot for ring of fire convective activity as impulses rotate around the Bermuda ridge. I've been saying all along that this would be a dirty ridge. 06z GFS takes the tropical disturbance into South Carolina late this week and then rides northeast with gulf moisture thanks to the clockwise flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 4, 2015 Author Share Posted May 4, 2015 Up to 79 at the park and where I'm at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 That GFS prog is a week away. Fantasy. I'm going dry until I see something legit within 3-5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 While obviously not nearly as dramatic as Hurricane Sandy was, the 00z GGEM shows a scenario where a landfalling tropical system into the Carolinas is forced Northwest instead of coming North thanks to the strong block over NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 That GFS prog is a week away. Fantasy. I'm going dry until I see something legit within 3-5 days If that tropical system is legit and the block ends up just a hair weaker you're going to be above normal in rainfall by the middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 That GFS prog is a week away. Fantasy. I'm going dry until I see something legit within 3-5 days Agreed, virtual rain doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 This weather is annoying why can't it be 70 and stay there. I knew this would happen! Hate the heat! 81 outside my job and sweating already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Agreed, virtual rain doesn't count. Then why bother looking at any model if that's your philosophy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 The banter thread isnt for winter only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Hasn't that tropical system been pushed back and back? Seems like it's never any close than 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 This weather is annoying why can't it be 70 and stay there. I knew this would happen! Hate the heat! 81 outside my job and sweating already. When is it ever 70 and stay there around here? LOL. Want that, go to San Diego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Hasn't that tropical system been pushed back and back? Seems like it's never any close than 7 days It's been consistently showing up in the same time frame. It first started showing up a week ago and now we're inside of a 6 days on most guidance. 12z GFS has landfall Thursday night near Charleston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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