IsentropicLift Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Looks like we stay dry for the forseeable future...pollen counts are going to be awful. Not sure what you're expecting. The northern jet is retreating early and the southeast ridge is pumping. The good news if you want some active weather is that we should be in a southwest flow so any convection that blows up over the TN/OH Valley's could try and advect into the region, but that's always a crap shoot. I'm not giving up on that tropical system either. Anytime you have a system near the Carolina coast it needs to be monitored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Not sure what you're expecting. The northern jet is retreating early and the southeast ridge is pumping. The good news if you want some active weather is that we should be in a southwest flow so any convection that blows up over the TN/OH Valley's could try and advect into the region, but that's always a crap shoot. I'm not giving up on that tropical system either. Anytime you have a system near the Carolina coast it needs to be monitored. I agree there could be some pop stuff here and there, but I wouldn't expect a widespread rain event through the end of next week. I'd give the tropical system a small chance of giving us some rain, if it even develops at all. Models have had a lot of fantasy storms in the longer range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I agree there could be some pop stuff here and there, but I wouldn't expect a widespread rain event through the end of next week. I'd give the tropical system a small chance of giving us some rain, if it even develops at all. Models have had a lot of fantasy storms in the longer range It pains me to say that you're probably right, however all of the globals have had this system, and for several days in a row, so confidence is higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 It pains me to say that you're probably right, however all of the globals have had this system, and for several days in a row, so confidence is higher. Gives us something to track during this boring time of the year weather wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Upper ridging is set to dominate our pattern for a good part of the first half of May. Expect above average temperatures and mostly dry conditions. Any rainfall will probably be scattered in nature with frontal passages. https://twitter.com/WSI_Energy/status/593775190498246656 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Looks like we stay dry for the forseeable future...pollen counts are going to be awful. Fire+pollen are going to be a big problem as temps heat up and fuels stay very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 The latest Euro weeklies continue mostly above normal temperatures for the first half of the month and closer to or still above normal for the second half of May. So the CFS idea of the whole month averaging above normal looks good. On May 12th the weeklies will extend from 32 to 46 days which should really be fun in the winter. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/weekly-long-range-forecast-model-update-13/46499125 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Looks like we go 4 for 4 in the weekend weather department for the spring/summer. Just splendid out there. Allergies are kicking my but though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 Beautiful outside 70 degrees. We'll probably get to 75 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 41 here this morning...maybe last day to use heat in house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 Sea breeze kicked in. Down to 60 from a high of 73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Down to 73 off a high of 76 here. A gem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It'll go from pleasant to hot by tomorrow and into early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah, here's an observation - It's freaking cold downtown! Turn the downslope back on please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Today's highs NYC: 74 EWR: 70 LGA: 69 JFK: 61 ISP: 63 New Brunswick: 76 TTN: 73 PHL: 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Today's highs NYC: 74 EWR: 70 LGA: 69 JFK: 61 ISP: 63 New Brunswick: 76 TTN: 73 PHL: 74 Amazing plummeting of temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 This week should feel quite warm, but at least we aren't entering an early stretch of 90s - that is hard to get used to. I am sure we will have plenty of heat in the summer as hot summer predictions are not usually a bad bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Today's highs NYC: 74 EWR: 70 LGA: 69 JFK: 61 ISP: 63 New Brunswick: 76 TTN: 73 PHL: 74 Yesterday's 63 at ISP happened in the morning. Sea breeze kicked in and temp was 53 by 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Still chilly morning down to 41 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 41 here this morning...maybe last day to use heat in house?My heat has been off up here, I open the windows to warm the house up during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Up to 71 here. Should crack 80 in these parts next 3 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 We could see the first 85 or higher readings of the season Monday from Central NJ to Newark. This forecast sounding looks similar to our recent warm and dry downslope days even though the flow is SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Park up to 73 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 We may be approaching 90F in the coming days, this airmass looks very warm to hot. Forecast has highs in the mid 80s but we'll have to add on a few degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Park up to 73 already 77 now. Do we hit 80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 1PM round up TEB: 76 NYC: 78 EWR: 76 LGA: 75 JFK: 63 ISP: 63 New Brunswick: 77 TTN: 75 PHL: 76 ACY: 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 77 now. Do we hit 80? Id think today - tue is 80+. Isolated upper 80s in spots mon/tue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Between hour highs so far NYC....79 EWR...78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 The sea breeze front cooling things down now shows up really well on radar. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 Down to 70 after a high of 82 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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