SomeWeatherGeek Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Already up to 80F by 11, I think 90F is very likely.definitely not happening in Central Park. 86 possible but nothing more than that. The humidity levels are dropping and the winds will increase by the hour now so I doubt we get anything above 86 maybe Newark may hit 89. Also this weekend I think we will get rain! Half an inch is possible we really need it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2015 Author Share Posted May 12, 2015 definitely not happening in Central Park. 86 possible but nothing more than that. The humidity levels are dropping and the winds will increase by the hour now so I doubt we get anything above 86 maybe Newark may hit 89. Also this weekend I think we will get rain! Half an inch is possible we really need it! Wouldn't that do the opposite and help increase the temps. Its already 80 at the park. 90 might happen. 88 seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Agreed , We look good through Sat . Will worry about Sunday in a day or 2 . Yeah, it's been a persistent El Ninoish ridge over the area with the best rains south and west where the STJ moisture feed has been setting up. Classic ridge to the north getting undercut by troughing south that we see in El Nino patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Eventually it's going to rain, and when it does, I hope that we make up the entire deficit in one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Oh Darn looks like some cloud cover could spoil our chance at 90F, up to 82F right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Oh Darn looks like some cloud cover could spoil our chance at 90F, up to 82F right now. Yeah very cloudy now. But still will be close as there will likely be bigger breaks in the 2 - 4 pm period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Cloudy here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Spin it anyway you want. I think Saturday has a chance of being a washout if the front stalls in the right spot. Big if. If it stalls well to the north, we're not seeing much of anything and then another warm/dry stretch commences. You can see on the GFS how it could miss to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Big if. If it stalls well to the north, we're not seeing much of anything and then another warm/dry stretch commences. You can see on the GFS how it could miss to the north. 12z GFS ticked South Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Dry begets dry...the beat goes on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Dry begets dry...the beat goes on And it all balances itself out in the end. We'll go from extremely dry to extremely wet at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2015 Author Share Posted May 12, 2015 Mostly cloudy and temps of 83 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 77 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 84 and sunny here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 It's highly unlikely that this dry / very dry pattern persists in the longer-term given the emerging/strengthening El Nino. I don't see any near-term signs of a shift to a wetter than normal pattern, although we'll probably get some precipitation over the next week. If the current CFS V2 is correct, the wet regime over the Plains will persist and spread to the East Coast for the month of June. It was fairly accurate with the Northeast US dry signal for May from the April forecast. May forecast from April: Current June forecast: Temperatures are forecasted cooler than this month relative to normal, but still near/slightly above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Agree on the wetter June scenario. Granted 2009 was extreme, but that June was very wet with the strong nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Agree on the wetter June scenario. Granted 2009 was extreme, but that June was very wet with the strong nino We've seen plenty of occasions go from one extreme to the next lately so it wouldn't surprise me for June to see a massive flip in terms of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Dry begets dry...the beat goes onthat's not true in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 86 here, warmest day of the year so far. And I'm hoping June isn't wet and gloomy, if any rain isn't accompanied by thunder and lightning you can keep it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 87 now at Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 FWIW the Farmers Almanac was spot on about a hot and dry May and is forecasting a warm June with lots of convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2015 Author Share Posted May 12, 2015 85 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 FWIW the Farmers Almanac was spot on about a hot and dry May and is forecasting a warm June with lots of convection. Welcome to the dark side! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Lots of wishing for wet June lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 86 here, warmest day of the year so far. And I'm hoping June isn't wet and gloomy, if any rain isn't accompanied by thunder and lightning you can keep it. I also hate healthy crops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Lots of wishing for wet June lol It doesn't have to be wet, just let it be near normal. Some convection would be nice too with a little bit of severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 83 here. We need rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 83 here. We need rain.We got lucky here yesterday and had 0.43" with a t-storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 the euro got much warmer and drier for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2015 Author Share Posted May 12, 2015 86 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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