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May 2015 Discussion & Observations


dmillz25

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We'll see if sections of Central and Northern NJ can score their first 90 of the season on Tuesday.

The deep WSW flow with steep low level lapse rates should lead to a very warm and windy day with

falling dewpoints and relative humidity.

 

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We'll see if sections of Central and Northern NJ can score their first 90 of the season on Tuesday.

The deep WSW flow with steep low level lapse rates should lead to a very warm and windy day with

falling dewpoints and relative humidity.

snd.gif

I think EWR makes it past 90.

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Looks like another dry and above normal temp week for the most part.  Amazing dry spell for this time of year

...boy..you can say that again..farmers out here on ELI complaining how dry its been..looks like 

late week (once Ana goes by and the cold front goes thru)we could be looking at red flag warnings 

come wed/thurs with gusty NW winds with low relative humidity..

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Looks like another dry and above normal temp week for the most part.  Amazing dry spell for this time of year

No precip. in CPK since April 22.  Could get to 23 days w/o measureable precip. if tomorrow fails too.   A wet(ter)?  period should start Sat. and maybe mess up some of holiday weekend too if it can continue during week #2.

This time of year is known for frequent precip., say 3 out of every 10 days, so we could miss a total of 7 events before it rains again.  The record of 17 consecutive days with  measurable rainfall >.01" or a T  happened in May 1943.

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yeah, looks like it's associated with the storm, had it been strong, we'd all have had a nice PRE.

 

We'll see if some of that STJ moisture can ride over the top of the ridge like the 12z Euro is showing for Saturday.

But we have experienced several beyond 120 hr forecasts not make it as models have backed off closer in.

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yeah, looks like it's associated with the storm, had it been strong, we'd all have had a nice PRE.

There's some pretty decent instability (1000-1500 jkg ML CAPE), and without that I think Ana's passage would have been even less notable. Little storms have been firing on northward-surging outflow boundaries from the TD.

 

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