Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 On 5/4/2015 at 6:51 PM, SnoSki14 said: I hope not. I want to see record breaking heat with several days of 100's and very high dews. I last thing I want is to have May-June really warm and July-Aug so-so. I would think the same pattern that brought us the cold winter will bring us another summer like last year. If you want heat, you better hope the Bermuda high backs in ala July 2013. Otherwise, I think you see a trough in the east allowing cool Canadian air for the bulk of this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 this year is still similar to 1934...May 5-7, 1934 had max temps's of 82, 89, 89...then 101 in late June... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 First 80 of the year here. Back down to 74 now, the high was 83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 I can't recall the last time that we had such a strong block with a TC system this close to the Carolina coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 On 5/4/2015 at 5:16 PM, pazzo83 said: I think the 84 in the park might be the warmest reading on the East Coast (tied with Tampa - KTPF).Bdl hit 87A few spots in sne were higher then NYC, probably because of late bloom in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 4, 2015 Author Share Posted May 4, 2015 On 5/4/2015 at 10:02 PM, Allsnow said: Bdl hit 87 A few spots in sne were higher then NYC, probably because of late bloom in SNE. I hit 87 as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 On 5/4/2015 at 9:04 PM, IsentropicLift said: I can't recall the last time that we had such a strong block with a TC system this close to the Carolina coast It would have been more interesting later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Chance of rain nearly everyday on the 18z GFS. That's the nature of Bermuda ridges in early May when the jet is still strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/4/2015 at 11:40 PM, IsentropicLift said: Chance of rain nearly everyday on the 18z GFS. That's the nature of Bermuda ridges in early May when the jet is still strong. other than tomorrow, when does it start showing rain chances increase? (I'm away from the computer) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 12:01 AM, Brian5671 said: other than tomorrow, when does it start showing rain chances increase? (I'm away from the computer)Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On most guidance that TC drifts north over the next four days before becoming embedded within the southwest flow. I would love to see that high slip a tick East which would allow the remnants to tap gulf moisture. The GFS has shown this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 88 NYC: 85 EWR: 87 LGA: 82 JFK: 74 ISP: 74 New Brunswick: 86 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 2:13 AM, SACRUS said: Today's Highs TEB: 88 NYC: 85 EWR: 87 LGA: 82 JFK: 74 ISP: 74 New Brunswick: 86 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 84 Solid. Just awesome weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 3:28 AM, pazzo83 said: Solid. Just awesome weather. That's the type of weather when I delay lunch leaving the office until the sea breeze kicks in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 3:41 AM, Morris said: That's the type of weather when I delay lunch leaving the office until the sea breeze kicks in And finally the sea breeze is refreshing and not cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 12 straight days no measurable precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 5, 2015 Author Share Posted May 5, 2015 Starting out at 67 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Looks like another drier warm downslope day where the models back off rainfall amounts the closer that we get get. We'll see how much moisture is left for the showers tomorrow. But this pattern has been drier than normal since April. The Euro has been doing better than the GFS and NAM which have been too wet recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 10:40 AM, bluewave said: Looks like another drier warm downslope day where the models back off rainfall amounts the closer that we get get. We'll see how much moisture is left for the showers tomorrow. But this pattern has been drier than normal since April. The Euro has been doing better than the GFS and NAM which have been too wet recently. Amazing...can't buy a raindrop of late. Was hoping to see some boomers today, timing would have been good for max heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 10:40 AM, bluewave said: Looks like another drier warm downslope day where the models back off rainfall amounts the closer that we get get. We'll see how much moisture is left for the showers tomorrow. But this pattern has been drier than normal since April. The Euro has been doing better than the GFS and NAM which have been too wet recently. Looks like we might get wet next week...we definitely need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 12:14 PM, Allsnow said: Looks like we might get wet next week...we definitely need it. Always a week away....let's get a threat to within 4-5 days and not see models dry it up as we get closer. case in point is today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 12:19 PM, Brian5671 said: Always a week away....let's get a threat to within 4-5 days and not see models dry it up as we get closer. case in point is today Next week looks like a better set up with a back door enhancement and front coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 12:23 PM, Allsnow said: Next week looks like a better set up with a back door enhancement and front coming through. Great setup next week for some prolonged wet weather. That's our tropical system still meandering near the Carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Already 74 here. Once these clouds get out of the way, it's off to the races Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 1:37 PM, IsentropicLift said: Great setup next week for some prolonged wet weather. That's our tropical system still meandering near the Carolina coast. Good luck with that same refrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 2:16 PM, winterwarlock said: On 5/5/2015 at 1:37 PM, IsentropicLift said: Great setup next week for some prolonged wet weather. That's our tropical system still meandering near the Carolina coast. Good luck with that same refrain If we don't get some rain soon we're going to be in a real bad drought situation come July/August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 1:39 PM, Brian5671 said: Already 74 here. Once these clouds get out of the way, it's off to the races Big jump last hour at Newark from 73 to 78 on the warmer downslope flow that is easily beating guidance again. 11 am update is 80 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 2:34 PM, IsentropicLift said: If we don't get some rain soon we're going to be in a real bad drought situation come July/August. People say that every year and everything ends up okay. This isn't California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 On 5/5/2015 at 3:06 PM, SnoSki14 said: People say that every year and everything ends up okay. This isn't California. Well we had a wet Winter so it's going to take a long, extended dry streak to put us into a drought, but this is normally the wet time of year and in another few weeks stratiform rain is going to become rare. Eventually this dry streak is going to end and we're going to pay the piper big time. Everything balances out in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 If the subtropical entity gets wrapped up in the frontal boundary that stalls over you guys, there could be some heavy rain amounts for sure. There's lots of tropical air around regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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