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Severe Potential: April 26-27, 2015


1900hurricane

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AT 348 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF COMANCHE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  
 
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
 
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO   
         HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
         DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.   
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
COMANCHE AND DE LEON.

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Softball sized hail possible near Gorman per SWS

 

 

AT 351 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GORMAN...OR 17  
MILES WEST OF DUBLIN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  
 
THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM.  
 
HAZARD...SOFTBALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.   
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.   
 
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED.   
         EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO   
         ROOFS...SIDING AND VEHICLES.   
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
STEPHENVILLE...COMANCHE...DUBLIN...DE LEON...GORMAN...HUCKABAY...  
MORGAN MILL AND CARBON.  
 

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I think it's rain-wrapped. Looks like a cone may be shrouded on the Minuteman stream.

 

There's been many reports of ground circulation, not fully condensed funnels that I've seen.  It's been rain-wrapped, minuteman stream has a great view of a large bowl in the rain.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
356 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  CENTRAL COMANCHE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS...  
 
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT  
 
* AT 356 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF COMANCHE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  
 
  THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.   

 
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
 
  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
 
  IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS   
           MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE   
           HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO   
           HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
           DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.   
 
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  COMANCHE AROUND 405 PM CDT.

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What's preventing these storms from going down? I saw it said in the warning that there was a Confirmed Tornado, but have yet to see any visuals yet.

 

I suspect the RFD is a bit cooler than optimal.  There is a pretty well-defined OFB that trails this storm, and supercells that produce well defined cold pools don't usually seem to be prolific tornado producers (again, due to the RFD/cold pool being too cool).  Also, 0-1 km SRH isn't particularly high.

 

Edit: the storm also appears to be moving just east of the region of highest effective SRH.

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The hail must be absolutely insane on that dublin storm, seeing reflectivity readings of 75+ dBZ on KDYX.

yep. and all the way to the 3.5 scan, which is 19+kft agl

 

ps: NWS-DFW needs to locally extend the tornado watch to Bosque, Summervell, and Hood Counties ASAP ahead of this storm.

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