CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Beautiful trough over us Mem weekend. Looks awesome. Looks like Memorial Day itself turns warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2015 Share Posted May 16, 2015 Beautiful trough over us Mem weekend. Looks awesome. Looks like Memorial Day itself turns warmer. Yeah that seems to be the theme. COC 70's Fri-Sun and then we crank up HHH Monday and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Seems like we avoid any prolonged big heat or humidity. The teleconnections do have a bit of ridging off the coast of New England, but that NW Yukon.AK ridge just continues unabated. Not gonna get prolonged heat with that. Ensembles keep tempering any prolonged stretches. It doesn't mean a day or two of 87/65 can't sneak in, but it doesn't seem like a classic pattern for heat. More COC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Pretty much no end in sight to warm and dry..Nothing chilly..just continued early summer warmth ..and dry, dry dry Meteorologist Ryan Hanrahan 31 mins · Looking at the long range forecast charts - the weather continues to look spectacular through Memorial Day. At or above normal temperatures, lots of sun, and relatively low humidity. We really can't ask for much more (although some rain would be nice). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 COC pretty much as far as the eye can see. Maybe a brief day or two in between that it's quite as nice, but man, this May has been really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 COC pretty much as far as the eye can see. Maybe a brief day or two in between that it's quite as nice, but man, this May has been really nice.perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Will this extend brush fire season due to dry surface fuels or is the relative humidity getting to high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 Will this extend brush fire season due to dry surface fuels or is the relative humidity getting to high?it's green as Kermit now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Will this extend brush fire season due to dry surface fuels or is the relative humidity getting to high?Doesnt it last all summer in California? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 We may be settling ...or just beginning to sniff it out, into the notion of a low amplitude +PNAP type summer circulation. This type tends to shunt heat S and we see a predominating middle Canadian shield NW flow in the means. Much like last summer.. .In fact, both may merely be continuations of their preceding winters, just in modulated downward form consistent with weaker gradients et al. I discussed this at length in impromptu seasonal outlook type prose. The -EPO in the operational GFS is hard to ignore, and really does hearken to the winter. It doesn't mean the whole summer, but it shouldn't be there this late either. Stubborn...and this seemed to characterize last JJA, too. If you take that circulation ...middle/extended, and drop it 30 deg of latitude, it's right back into mid Feb all over again. There is a caveat tho, ..speculative. I have been noticing that the Bermuda semi-permanent geopotential positive region is a bit more robust ... I'm not sure if things central/W back off at times and then we see that sucker burgeon in an influence. That's bit different if using the two summers as comparatives. May just oscillated between the two facets. The other thing is that something truly bizarre is happened in the total AAM. Looks like calculation and/or instrumentation error, or both... but field's suddenly broken down and collapsed all together on both sides of the equator and latitudes. If there is any truth to a -AAM, then jet strengths over all should be weakening and that could also herald in subtropical ridge strengths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Frost Saturday morning in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Who cares more about coc k.. When will it rain again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 it's green as Kermit now I understand, but here is one thing I don't get; being down in FL it can be humid and green down here and they still burn. What is different about a New England green up which makes fire non existent after May, yet they get fires here in a somewhat tropical environment? Fuels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 I understand, but here is one thing I don't get; being down in FL it can be humid and green down here and they still burn. What is different about a New England green up which makes fire non existent after May, yet they get fires here in a somewhat tropical environment? Fuels? We get plenty of brush fires here if it's dry enough. Green fuels burn when the temp is hot enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 We get plenty of brush fires here if it's dry enough. Green fuels burn when the temp is hot enough.small minor understory stuff after green up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 small minor understory stuff after green up. For the most part, all I mean is that if big enough...leaves needles will combust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 I understand, but here is one thing I don't get; being down in FL it can be humid and green down here and they still burn. What is different about a New England green up which makes fire non existent after May, yet they get fires here in a somewhat tropical environment? Fuels?much more combustible vegetation very prone to minor dry periods, tropical grasses and plants need constant water and dry up very quickly during extended drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2015 Share Posted May 17, 2015 Pretty normal, looks like 70s Sunday after the rain on Sat, next week the same. couple of chilly nights thrown in, nothing extreme, Spring82 ORH88 BDL .02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 17, 2015 Author Share Posted May 17, 2015 My feeling is almost all of the rain stays well south of us. Like NYC south. I have a feeling we end up with a decent weekend with 70's and sun / clouds88 BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2015 Author Share Posted May 18, 2015 Top ten week. This is just fantastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Top ten week. This is just fantastic Why would you post the forecast for Boston when you don't live anywhere near there or their climate? Your local forecast have 70's all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Why would you post the forecast for Boston when you don't live anywhere near there or their climate? Your local forecast have 70's all week How is what he posted different then when you post Noyes's forecast? Noyes's forecast is more for the Boston area, yet you see his forecast and post a similar type statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 How is what he posted different then when you post Noyes's forecast? Noyes's forecast is more for the Boston area, yet you see his forecast and post a similar type statement. A 10 day region wide forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 A 10 day region wide forecast. Nice and accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Nice and accurate. yeah, that's pretty silly-one forecast high temp for ALL of New England. LOL. How often is every spot in NE within even 5 degrees of a given temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2015 Author Share Posted May 18, 2015 How is what he posted different then when you post Noyes's forecast? Noyes's forecast is more for the Boston area, yet you see his forecast and post a similar type statement.my zone forecast is practically identical, the boy has lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 yeah, that's pretty silly-one forecast high temp for ALL of New England. LOL. How often is every spot in NE within even 5 degrees of a given temp? Yeah I think the numbers are actually for Lowell, MA if I'm not mistaken? Some type of weighted geographic/population central part of New England. Thought I heard that somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 How is what he posted different then when you post Noyes's forecast? Noyes's forecast is more for the Boston area, yet you see his forecast and post a similar type statement. Noyes forecast is not for BOS..He's even said it..He averages out all go New Engalnd to get those numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2015 Author Share Posted May 18, 2015 Noyes forecast is not for BOS..He's even said it..He averages out all go New Engalnd to get those numbers Just ignore the fact the forecasts are nearly identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Man that looks cold for Friday night and Sat morning....record lows maybe in some spots? Not often we flirt with 534 thicknesses this late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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