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Model discussion for May


Ginx snewx

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Maybe in the first week of May we can sneak a very warm day or two in (mid-70's or higher) but thicknesses generally aren't tremendously high and if anything we may end up more with a NW flow as opposed to a W or SW.  The Euro though does offer more potential for a much warmer and potentially more humid pattern.  

 

The pattern though looks sort of boring.  Could see some severe weather events though in the southern Plains extending into the TN/MS and perhaps OV regions b/c with the ridging into AK we should see periodic troughs work into the west and central Plains but doesn't appear they will be significant.  

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Looks like euro op cooled significantly which isn't s surprise. Still looks very nice. Maybe our first 80 for some.

I'm shocked a long range euro prog would change.

If there's one thing worse than hugging OP model solutions in the long range during the winter, it is doing it during the spring and summer when model scores are even worse.

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I'm shocked a long range euro prog would change.

If there's one thing worse than hugging OP model solutions in the long range during the winter, it is doing it during the spring and summer when model scores are even worse.

 

Even better...judging the pattern on an op run by pretty orange colors at 18,000ft.  :lol:

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