Typhoon Tip Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 wow, GGEM has an upslope snow event for Powder', then back into the 70s a 2 days later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 12z Euro continues D5.5 thru 10 string of toppers... Even a bit of heat signal in the latter half of that, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 And no rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 I wondered what model would be first to back off on the southward extend of the 0C 850 mb isotherm mid week... GGEM wants us to believe we're N of -2! But this Euro nicks at this point...backing off some 1 or 2. I suspect that may continue. Looks to me like 4 days of superb outdoorsy weather mid week through the end of the Euro run, which I happen to think is more believable than any GFS run since ...early March. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 And no rain D8 - 10 starts in with elevating DPs so maybe convection could kick in... We aren't under the core of the heights so inhibition shouldn't be out of control... speculation at this range, notwithstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 I wondered what model would be first to back off on the southward extend of the 0C 850 mb isotherm mid week... GGEM wants us to believe we're N of -2! But this Euro nicks at this point...backing off some 1 or 2. I suspect that may continue. Looks to me like 4 days of superb outdoorsy weather mid week through the end of the Euro run, which I happen to think is more believable than any GFS run since ...early March. We'll see. A beast of a high pressure building in next week on all models. That has high diurnal swings written all over it. "Brochure" type weather where you have deep blue skies, great visibility with no haze, puffy cumulus floating around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 A beast of a high pressure building in next week on all models. That has high diurnal swings written all over it. "Brochure" type weather where you have deep blue skies, great visibility with no haze, puffy cumulus floating around... Exactly... meanwhile: /O.CAN.KUNR.WS.W.0003.150510T0000Z-150511T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KUNR.BZ.W.0001.150510T0000Z-150511T0000Z/ BUTTE-NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS- SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLE FOURCHE...FAITH...WALL... UNION CENTER 241 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...AND THEN INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH FOR SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH WILL OCCUR THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. * MAIN HAZARD...9 TO 15 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. THE STRONG WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS FROM HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOW COULD ALSO DOWN TREE BRANCHES WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL LEAVE CALVES AND LAMBS VULNERABLE TO HYPOTHERMIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 D8 - 10 starts in with elevating DPs so maybe convection could kick in... We aren't under the core of the heights so inhibition shouldn't be out of control... speculation at this range, notwithstanding... I was hoping models would start increasing qpf for Tuesday..but they've pretty much taken it all away in SNE..all dynamics north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Big big heat signal on Euro and ensembles next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Less than .50 inches of rain for most of SNE thru 240 hours....getting serious quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Less than .50 inches of rain for most of SNE thru 240 hours....getting serious quickly Keeps the mosquito population from exploding though so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Keeps the mosquito population from exploding though so there's that. I'd rather get West Nile than have my lawn burn out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Keeps the mosquito population from exploding though so there's that. Yeah easy trade off...we'd have to go another 6 weeks without rain for drought to really be an issue anyway. New England droughts are even harder to escalate than our severe wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Yeah easy trade off...we'd have to go another 6 weeks without rain for drought to really be an issue anyway. New England droughts are even harder to escalate than our severe wx. I was traveling with one of my co-workers (based in Iowa). I had mentioned the word 'drought' and quickly pointed out that when we talk about droughts here in the northeast, we really don't know what we're talking about. She laughed knowing exactly what I was referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 I'd rather get West Nile than have my lawn burn out LOL!!! Priorities are in order. I did get swarmed with black flies for a little bit mowing yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Less than .50 inches of rain for most of SNE thru 240 hours....getting serious quickly Looks sort of wet in NNE at least...haha.But all that has to do is shift a bit and it's wet in SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Yeah easy trade off...we'd have to go another 6 weeks without rain for drought to really be an issue anyway. New England droughts are even harder to escalate than our severe wx. Not good for the fire fighters though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Looks sort of wet in NNE at least...haha. But all that has to do is shift a bit and it's wet in SNE too. No way! Upstate NY and NNE are going to steal ALL the rain and nobody can stop us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Not good for the fire fighters though.Job security Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Euro ensembles have a pretty decent heat signal for D8-10. That one could come with dewpoints...so that might make Kevin happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Who's getting a BDCF tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Who's getting a BDCF tomorrow? This guy. (Essex county) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 When does the thunder arrive? Jesus this transition to summer.....wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Euro ensembles have a pretty decent heat signal for D8-10. That one could come with dewpoints...so that might make Kevin happy. # 2 of heat and dews on the young summer season..Does that extend thru Mem Day weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Man all business in the EC ensembles for the most part. Looks like a mild up day 9 or so, but trended cooler from yesterday and have a nice trough in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Read models more, post less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Read models more, post less. Considering how I've done the last few weeks..I don't think you have any room to say a thing to me.. I don't see a cool pattern at all. I see 2-3 days of potential 90 again early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Considering how I've done the last few weeks..I don't think you have any room to say a thing to me.. I don't see a cool pattern at all. I see 2-3 days of potential 90 again early next week I never said cool. Your calls have been over the top as usual. I know your thermometer reads too cold, but you can't always justify calls by using ORH in the winter and an inaccurate BDL thermometer in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Interesting though, BAF was the hotspot yesterday and many sights hit 90. Kevin's agressive calls were reasonable yesterday but Friday 90 was only very localized and Saturday he was too warm. Regardless, its been hot in this valley and I can understand people out this way wanting to put in AC. but in most cases people probably waited, seeing extended forecast highs in the 60s and 70 s for later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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