Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Severe threat still there next Tuesday..Cold front cools us down to normal then looks like warmth quickly rebuilds post day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Severe threat still there next Tuesday..Cold front cools us down to normal then looks like warmth quickly rebuilds post day 10 Euro trending south with the mon/tue front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 sometimes you make me so upsetI enjoy a good sultry min if I have AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Euro trending south with the mon/tue front Keep an eye on the TS..That will determine when and how far south front gets..My hunch is it ends up over NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 next week looks chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 next week looks chilly Pretty good agreement now on that trough moving in mid-week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 I thought summer set in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 65-70 is now chilly? Ok then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 65-70 is now chilly? Ok then It would be cooler than that, verbatim on most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 It would be cooler than that, verbatim on most models.Seems like a few days of normal mid week and then we go right back above again past day 10. That's what ensembles say anyway. I mean 65-70 will feel chilly compared to the summer heat we have now , so in that regard i guess it's chilly . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 It would be cooler than that, verbatim on most models. Don't even try....I've stopped. At any rate, if things go well, we could get a nice rain event...we could use it. Hopefully prior to the front we can get something, but it's iffy at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Seems like a few days of normal mid week and then we go right back above again past day 10. That's what ensembles say anyway. I mean 65-70 will feel chilly compared to the summer heat we have now , so in that regard i guess it's chilly . It will certainly be cooler than that verbatim, especially in higher elevations. That's like sub 546 thicknesses coming down. It will warm up after, but the true warmth in this pattern is more W and SW for now. We may be prone to fropas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Don't even try....I've stopped. At any rate, if things go well, we could get a nice rain event...we could use it. Hopefully prior to the front we can get something, but it's iffy at the moment. If nothing else the pollen is really coming out. Could use a nice atmospheric flushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 yes we will probably have a correction to slightly below normal after being way above normal for like 10 days. Basically like the stock market rallying 500 to 600 points and then having a 50 point correction downward Some of us are going to be at + 10 in the high temperature departure after the first 10 days of MAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Don't even try....I've stopped. At any rate, if things go well, we could get a nice rain event...we could use it. Hopefully prior to the front we can get something, but it's iffy at the moment. You aren't always right. And neither am I or anyone else. But it's ok for hobbyists to offer their thoughts on here without feeling the need to make them feel badly or inferior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 You aren't always right. And neither am I or anyone else. But it's ok for hobbyists to offer their thoughts on here without feeling the need to make them feel badly or inferior There's a distinct difference between hobbyists posting thoughts and making blatently wrong statements about models in the model thread. If model interpretation is a weak skill for anyone, then I think sound advise would be to read more and post less in the model thread until those skills have been developed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 You aren't always right. And neither am I or anyone else. But it's ok for hobbyists to offer their thoughts on here without feeling the need to make them feel badly or inferior C'mon, you know what you are doing. You bait all of us all the time, . You know what to write to illicit responses, usually by taking a model interpretation and going extreme with it to the point that someone feels the need to respond, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 New nam NAMRR http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/jcarley/namrr/CONUSNEST/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 New nam NAMRR http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/jcarley/namrr/CONUSNEST/index.html Maybe someday they will release a NAM that doesn't suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Maybe someday they will release a NAM that doesn't suck. how do you know it does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 how do you know it does?Just sayin'. Hopefully this will do the trick. I won't hold my breath though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 New nam NAMRR http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/jcarley/namrr/CONUSNEST/index.html Is that like a rapid refresh NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Just sayin'. Hopefully this will do the trick. I won't hold my breath though. I doubt it. Maybe it's better for convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Is that like a rapid refresh NAM?I can't wait for "20Z NAMRR is NW of 19Z" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Is that like a rapid refresh NAM? Yes non operational until winter, expect it to suck appropriately as judgement has been made in its first day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 BOX AFD which yesterday had flooding concerns next week to just light nuisance rainfall.. ugh..just what we were afraid of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 BOX AFD which yesterday had flooding concerns next week to just light nuisance rainfall.. ugh..just what we were afraid of COC day after COC day AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 COC day after COC day AWT If 90 and sticky all weekend is COC..ok Eric Fisher @ericfisher 16m 16 minutes ago Humidity will start to creep up this weekend. Starting to feel muggy Sunday/Monday with very warm temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 If 90 and sticky all weekend is COC..ok Eric Fisher @ericfisher 16m 16 minutes ago Humidity will start to creep up this weekend. Starting to feel muggy Sunday/Monday with very warm temps. um, I responded to your post about next week, meat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 If 90 and sticky all weekend is COC..ok Eric Fisher @ericfisher 16m 16 minutes ago Humidity will start to creep up this weekend. Starting to feel muggy Sunday/Monday with very warm temps. link to the model with 90 please, TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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