Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 2:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah the further NE you go. In this case..I think the farther west and south you are in SNE sees the least. Most of the stuff shows pike north with most of the qpf and then NYC southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 2:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: In this case..I think the farther west and south you are in SNE sees the least. Most of the stuff shows pike north with most of the qpf and then NYC southwest Totally contradicts you're earlier statements of SW CT most,likely to get .25. Originally you said the moisture would be shunted SW of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 3:39 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Totally contradicts you're earlier statements of SW CT most,likely to get .25. Originally you said the moisture would be shunted SW of the region. On 5/15/2015 at 3:39 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Totally contradicts you're earlier statements of SW CT most,likely to get .25. Originally you said the moisture would be shunted SW of the region. What do you expect from him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 3:39 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Totally contradicts you're earlier statements of SW CT most,likely to get .25. Originally you said the moisture would be shunted SW of the region. lol but hey I am the one that is irrational Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Man, what a Mem weekend on the GFS op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 3:39 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Totally contradicts you're earlier statements of SW CT most,likely to get .25. Originally you said the moisture would be shunted SW of the region.Yes I had to adapt to the change on models.. Though it's always appeared Sw CT or NYC south and west had the best shot. The stuff pike north is new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 4:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Man, what a Mem weekend on the GFS op.And more dry.. Someone said pattern change ??@growingwisdom: Latest GFS has a warm and very dry weather pattern for the next 10 days. http://t.co/bqev0mc3Yc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 4:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yes I had to adapt to the change on models.. Though it's always appeared Sw CT or NYC south and west had the best shot. The stuff pike north is newsounds like too much modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 4:56 PM, dendrite said: sounds like too much modelology. Interesting weenie methodology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Looks like we might just squeak through the weekend day-light hours having avoided the BD impact on sensible weather. Sunday night is most of that impetus, and Monday should dawn with wobbling flags from the NE and about 15 F knocked off Sunday's highs, particularly at the coast. In fact, could be some 87 to 57's. I was impressed to see the mid 80s on the majority of the U.S. MOS products for interior zones on Sunday. ...But, now that I think about it, those pre-BD sort of warmth troughs tend to cook... And that's what that is. The BD more than less then subsumes the nadir of the heat trough/genesizes right there. In fact, it's almost more of a BD for the upper MA than for us. But, given to the shortwave trajectory SE through the GOM, that's pretty classic looking in the mid levels. Appears the tele's have finally turned the season corner into a waste of time... Everything appears typically out of sync and N/S// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Oh itś coming...just delayed. I guess while I was on vacation a discussion happened in our office. I won't name names, but an employee stated that backdoor cold fronts don't exist. I'm wondering how many other sleeper cells Kevin has across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 That NW PA MCC blob thingy looks promising for CT. Right now anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 6:17 PM, OceanStWx said: I guess while I was on vacation a discussion happened in our office. I won't name names, but an employee stated that backdoor cold fronts don't exist. I'm wondering how many other sleeper cells Kevin has across the region. Must be Ekster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 6:25 PM, #NoPoles said: Must be Ekster You know how he can get. Pics or it didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Euro is wet. We rain. Widespread 10-.25. Isolated higher in convective elements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 6:54 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Euro is wet. We rain. Widespread 10-.25. Isolated higher in convective elements. Take the under and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Seems that late holiday weekend and beyond period gaining more support for big heat and dews. 12z Euro continues theme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 7:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said: On 5/15/2015 at 6:54 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Euro is wet. We rain. Widespread 10-.25. Isolated higher in convective elements. Pretty normal, looks like 70s Sunday after the rain on Sat, next week the same. couple of chilly nights thrown in, nothing extreme, Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 7:55 PM, Ginxy said: Pretty normal, looks like 70s Sunday after the rain on Sat, next week the same. couple of chilly nights thrown in, nothing extreme, Spring Sunday is mid-upper 80's. and don't be shocked if BDL /CEF approach 90..and next week was always supposed to be 70's until later in the holiday weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 8:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Sunday is mid-upper 80's. and don't be shocked if BDL /CEF approach 90..and next week was always supposed to be 70's until later in the holiday weekend. which model shows mid to upper 80s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Add on a few degrees for dry ground and compressional heating ahead of front. No brainier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 8:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Add on a few degrees for dry ground and compressional heating ahead of front. No brainier its going to rain Sat though , couple valley spots touch lower 80's, hills where you live 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 Don't think light shower or sprinkles will do anything. Very very meh rain if any even conservative BoX has me in low 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 9:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Don't think light shower or sprinkles will do anything. Very very meh rain if any even conservative BoX has me in low 80's congrats, hopefully you get a 4KM Nam solution for your lawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 9:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Don't think light shower or sprinkles will do anything. Very very meh rain if any even conservative BoX has me in low 80's Everyone is conservative when you always run with the extremes haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 9:18 PM, Ginxy said: congrats, hopefully you get a 4KM Nam solution for your lawnHope you are right with your soaker idea. Really need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 9:25 PM, powderfreak said: Everyone is conservative when you always run with the extremes haha. Would like to see another .25 this week, last weeks .25 amazingly enough really greened up things. Bet we see some .25 to .5 scattered about, pretty dreary Saturday none the less. Sunday is the pick of the weekend it appears. Was going to stain the deck tomorrow, looks like Sunday it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 9:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hope you are right with your soaker idea. Really need it i never called for a soaker?????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2015 Author Share Posted May 15, 2015 On 5/15/2015 at 11:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Hmm..didn't some poster on here yesterday talk about pattern change and recurving typhoon meaning cool in east? wouldn't that be ten days from last Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2015 Share Posted May 15, 2015 I dunno... looks like a shockingly climo week in store here. Mid 80s Sunday...then a BD air mass of ...some attenuating strength just sort of turns into a post fropa nws drying flow of 850s supporting just about smack on climo numbers for much of the remainder of the week. Things can change but for now blase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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