dendrite Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 12:36 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Uh-oh Wxrisk.com beginning to re think the Summer 2015 forecast... east of the Mississippi river may end up being hotter / drier than previously thought Sweet dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2015 Author Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 12:36 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Uh-oh Wxrisk.com beginning to re think the Summer 2015 forecast... east of the Mississippi river may end up being hotter / drier than previously thought My favorite DT forecast this year was his mid April call of no more Frost on the East CoastURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 358 PM EDT WED MAY 13 2015 MAZ005-011-013-017-018-026-140400- /O.EXA.KBOX.FR.Y.0002.150514T0600Z-150514T1100Z/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...SPRINGFIELD... FOXBORO...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...AYER 358 PM EDT WED MAY 13 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 AM EDT THURSDAY. * LOCATION...EASTERN HAMDEN COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF METRO- WEST METRO-WEST AND THE I-495 CORRIDOR IN MASSACHUSETTS. PARTICULARLY OUTSIDE OF URBAN CENTERS. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST MAY DAMAGE TENDER VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 1:03 AM, dendrite said: Sweet dreams image.jpg We torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 I don't see any indication that the rainfall is going to miss us later Friday night and Saturday morning to the south. Widespread .10-.25. We rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:25 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: I don't see any indication that the rainfall is going to miss us later Friday night and Saturday morning to the south. Widespread .10-.25. We rain. They'll be areas more than that too, given the look. Might even get a few rumbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:32 AM, CoastalWx said: They'll be areas more than that too, given the look. Might even get a few rumbles. Per the qpf queen, through this weekend and then through next Sunday. Get the fertilizer down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:25 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: I don't see any indication that the rainfall is going to miss us later Friday night and Saturday morning to the south. Widespread .10-.25. We rain.I see kind of a 7-10 split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 I don't understand the whole argument about the rain missing us to the south when there is a high pressure system off the Mid Atlantic coast, that is a pretty strong warm front with some pretty impressive moisture and PWATS trying to advect into the region. things will definitely get squashed to the southwest once the Maritime high pressure system and the back door front start building down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2015 Author Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:42 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: I don't understand the whole argument about the rain missing us to the south when there is a high pressure system off the Mid Atlantic coast, that is a pretty strong warm front with some pretty impressive moisture and PWATS trying to advect into the region. things will definitely get squashed to the southwest once the Maritime high pressure system and the back door front start building down Yea the dry period is eroded, back to normal stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Let's put it this way.. I wouldn't be putting any fertilizer down thinking that significant rain was coming to wash it in. Why anyone would lean wet or soaker in this pattern is a bit odd to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Who said soaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2015 Author Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:49 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Let's put it this way.. I wouldn't be putting any fertilizer down thinking that significant rain was coming to wash it in. Why anyone would lean wet or soaker in this pattern is a bit odd to me because the pattern is changing, get on the bus before it leaves the station. In the meanwhile enjoy what is surely a day of picture taking photo ops for all businesses to put in their brochures, visibility in the hundreds of miles, crisp cool clean polar air. Purrrrfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 11:52 AM, Ginxy said: because the pattern is changing, get on the bus before it leaves the station. In the meanwhile enjoy what is surely a day of picture taking photo ops for all businesses to put in their brochures, visibility in the hundreds of miles, crisp cool clean polar air. Purrrrfect.I don't quite understand what you mean? The pattern is changing? From what to what? Warm and dry to hot and dry? To cold and wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Well it's not a wet pattern for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 12:03 PM, CoastalWx said: Well it's not a wet pattern for now.Ill tell you one thing. As we get closer to holiday weekend, it really is shaping up to be a nice one as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 well most of the modeling is trying to indicate some type of dip in the jet or trough over New England. Hopefully any Southern stream energy or coastal lows stay offshore and its pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 12:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Ill tell you one thing. As we get closer to holiday weekend, it really is shaping up to be a nice one as modeled I'm not sold on it being dry, but looks decent overall. Some signs a WF tries to approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 What a May Eric Fisher @ericfisher 1h 1 hour ago Today also the 12th straight of above average temps. A toasty pattern flip for the Northeast this May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 2:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What a May Eric Fisher @ericfisher 1h 1 hour ago Today also the 12th straight of above average temps. A toasty pattern flip for the Northeast this May. Coast FTW yesterday...interior was below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 2:07 PM, ORH_wxman said: Coast FTW yesterday...interior was below average. Yeah I thought that seemed wrong. Def was not AN for ORH/BDL etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Quite a bit of elevated instability on Saturday per the NAM. With those shortwaves rotating through that could easily turn out to be a bit of a soaker in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 2:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What a May Eric Fisher @ericfisher 1h 1 hour ago Today also the 12th straight of above average temps. A toasty pattern flip for the Northeast this May. May 1-13 were all AN (compared to my own averages) by at least 2F. Given this morning's upper 20s and a 5/14 avg of 51.4, the streak ends today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 The signs are there.. The dealer is showing his hand. Trouble ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 abnormally dry doesn't mean crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Read their write up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Gfs is drier in CT on Fri night / Saturday. Euro is in between and CMC and NAM look wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 Hi res NAM looks drier than 12 km. Regardless , I'm thinking .10-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 COC Memorial Day weekend on the Euro. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 7:30 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Hi res NAM looks drier than 12 km. Regardless , I'm thinking .10-.25Ive been planning on most of SnE seeing .10 or less. I could see SW CT with .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 On 5/14/2015 at 7:40 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: COC Memorial Day weekend on the Euro. We take.Widespread 75-82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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