Solak Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Kate is a legitimate TS now.. 1000 PM EST MON NOV 09 2015Kate's cloud pattern is well organized this evening. Thecenter is located beneath a small central dense overcast featurewith prominent banding features noted over the northern semicircle.Earlier NOAA reconnaissance data indicated that Kate hadstrengthened to about 45 kt. Since the plane departed the storm,the satellite presentation has continued to improve, so theintensity is increased to 50 kt. The tropical storm is forecast toremain within a low-to-moderate shear environment and over warmwater for another 12 to 18 hours, which should allow for additionalstrengthening. It is even possible that Kate will become ahurricane on Tuesday before the southwesterly shear becomes strongand the cyclone moves over cooler waters. Kate is forecast tobecome a post-tropical cyclone in a couple of days and is expectedto be absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone and frontal systemover the north Atlantic by day 3.Kate has made the expected northward turn, and will be steerednortheastward on Tuesday between a deep-layer ridge over thecentral Atlantic and a short-wave trough that is approaching theeast coast of the United States. The cyclone should acceleratenortheastward or east-northeastward by Tuesday night as it becomesembedded in the fast mid-latitude westerlies. The updated track issimilar to the previous advisory and near a blend of the GFS andECMWF models.FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 10/0300Z 27.2N 76.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 10/1200Z 29.5N 75.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 11/0000Z 32.5N 71.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 11/1200Z 35.3N 65.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 12/0000Z 38.0N 58.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 13/0000Z...ABSORBED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Making a run at becoming a Hurricane! 1000 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015...KATE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD......FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT...SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...30.2N 74.7WABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINAABOUT 600 MI...970 KM W OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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