dmillz25 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Just interested to see what everyone thinks will happen next winter even though it is 7 months away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Derechos, tornados, hurricanes, and high pressures will cause massive blizzards ranging from ten to twelve feet of snow each. Parking lot piles will last until winter of 2019-2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 To me it's alll about can we hang on to the -epo for a third winter. If so more cold an snow. If not with a moderate to possibly strong Nino it will probably be mild and wet. (Good interior snows) So if anyone says they know for sure without knowing those factors is lying. I think the one thing that is for sure is its a pitiful hurricane season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Warm and no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 22, 2015 Author Share Posted April 22, 2015 This is my take of it. My prediction is a couple cutters, several swfes, a -NAO that will last long enough for a KU to happen. A couple coastal huggers and about 4 miller As and Bs. Totals for NYC 55-65 inches more north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 It might actually be another prolific winter if the PDO setup holds and we get another -EPO regime. The El Niño will enhance storminess and I doubt the NAO and AO will be as positive as the past winter. Even though it's pure fantasy, I'd say there's a 60% chance of another 40"+ winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 A year ending in 5. http://m.news4jax.com/weather/a-year-ending-in-5-a-timely-warning/32479728 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 It will rain more here in the South if there's a decent or stronger El Nino. It will rain less if there isn't. And maybe we'll see fire and brimstone with the 1" of snow/sleet we have on average here in Austin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Its going to be cold and it will snow in Jan/Feb/March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Above normal temps below normal snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 I'm fairly certain in much less daylight come next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokey_mountain_vols Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Its gonna snow in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Going with a typical moderate El Nino Winter. Warmer and wetter than average. Great Winter for PA, Interior Upstate NY and NNE. Plenty of storm chances but with a lot of inland runners and coastal huggers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Going with a typical moderate El Nino Winter. Warmer and wetter than average. Great Winter for PA, Interior Upstate NY and NNE. Plenty of storm chances but with a lot of inland runners and coastal huggers. They are so due. This could be true but if the -epo is still ragging then all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 It will be colder and dryer than fall 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 The trend is undeniable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 23, 2015 Author Share Posted August 23, 2015 This is my take of it. My prediction is a couple cutters, several swfes, a -NAO that will last long enough for a KU to happen. A couple coastal huggers and about 4 miller As and Bs. Totals for NYC 55-65 inches more north and east. A few changes. Going with 35-45+ inches now. Factors are of course el niño and Atlantic and Pacific blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 A few changes. Going with 35-45+ inches now. Factors are of course el niño and Atlantic and Pacific blocking Well given its a complete crapshoot right now I'll say 15-20" with a lot of rainy nor'easters. If we see a more west based Nino or a stronger possibility of a -EPO then those amounts could be far greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 This will be the first snowless winter in NYC history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 This will be the first snowless winter in NYC history. Would be interesting to see from a historical perspective actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 This will be the first snowless winter in NYC history. You have to wonder if that's possible given the 2.8" in 72-73 and all of 97-98's snow came in late March. It may be a possibility in a warmer climate as I believe DCA only had 0.1" in 72-73. Definitely not a possibility in the northern suburbs where I live but for Central Park and other extreme coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 You have to wonder if that's possible given the 2.8" in 72-73 and all of 97-98's snow came in late March. It may be a possibility in a warmer climate as I believe DCA only had 0.1" in 72-73. Definitely not a possibility in the northern suburbs where I live but for Central Park and other extreme coastal areas.I'd say it is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 23, 2015 Author Share Posted August 23, 2015 You have to wonder if that's possible given the 2.8" in 72-73 and all of 97-98's snow came in late March. It may be a possibility in a warmer climate as I believe DCA only had 0.1" in 72-73. Definitely not a possibility in the northern suburbs where I live but for Central Park and other extreme coastal areas. I don't think even NYC will ever see a snowless winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 You have to wonder if that's possible given the 2.8" in 72-73 and all of 97-98's snow came in late March. It may be a possibility in a warmer climate as I believe DCA only had 0.1" in 72-73. Definitely not a possibility in the northern suburbs where I live but for Central Park and other extreme coastal areas. I mean, it would have to be like a one in 500 year event, a la Sandy or something. It's hard to imagine no snow in NYC for an entire winter, given its geographic location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Even at DCA it's a stretch, as you can always count on SOMETHING delivering at least 0.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Imo, if we can keep the -EPO/+PDO pattern most of the tri-state will see a colder winter (which leads to snow opportunities). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 I mean, it would have to be like a one in 500 year event, a la Sandy or something. It's hard to imagine no snow in NYC for an entire winter, given its geographic location. Lol, almost impossible. I'm pretty sure I will see at least 1 snowflake each year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Lol, almost impossible. I'm pretty sure I will see at least 1 snowflake each year. I think the definition would be "no measurable snowfall" for the sake of this thought experiment. It's going to be a long, long time before climo warms to where no accumulating snow is a realistic possibility at NYC, so we'd literally need a 'perfect storm' of conditions to make it happen... but should it occur in the reasonably near future, it'll be more interesting than any historical snowstorm/sequence IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Here are my early thoughts... The PDO will remain positive through the winter. The EPO will teeter between neutral and weakly negative. What will really help us out is that the AO / NAO is predominately negative. NYC receives 53 inches. Please don't trash me- its only a prediction/gut early call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Philadelphia recorded a few traces in 1972-73...the only winter without measurable snow for them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.