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Severe Potential: April 22-25, 2015


andyhb

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^That's a bit odd. Velocities don't seem that strong to me.

Yeah that seems a little trigger happy considering the lack of anything on CC and the cell merger that is about to occur.

Tornado was reported per latest LSR, at the time they upped the warning.

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only takes one intense supercell to make things memorable... And seems like we MIGHT have that coming soon, as this supercell will begin to develop E/NE into an increasingly favorable environment... Counting on that the merger on fact doesn't ruin it. Nonetheless within the next three or so hours this will/would move into a highly populated area.

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Everything in Texas looks like crap except for the main supercell southwest of Dallas, which continues to have potential, and a storm farther south in southwest Houston county.

Even that one has grown into a sloppy mess now. Really looked like it was going to do something earlier in it's life cycle though.

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0440.html

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0440
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0601 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH TX

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 100...

   VALID 242301Z - 250000Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 100 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...AN ENHANCED DMGG WIND THREAT WILL AFFECT SRN PORTIONS OF
   THE DFW METROPLEX 23-00Z.

   DISCUSSION...AN ORGANIZED BOWING CLUSTER WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLULAR
   CHARACTERISTICS WAS RAPIDLY ADVANCING ENEWD ACROSS
   ERATH...HOOD...AND SOMERVELL COUNTIES AT AROUND 50 KT. ESTIMATED
   GUSTS OF 70-80 MPH WERE REPORTED WITH THIS CLUSTER...AND DOWNSTREAM
   ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR THIS THREAT TO PERSIST SHORT-TERM.
   SRN PORTIONS OF THE DFW METROPLEX...INCLUDING JOHNSON...ELLIS...AND
   PERHAPS SRN TARRANT AND DALLAS COUNTIES...COULD SEE AN ENHANCED DMGG
   WIND THREAT THROUGH 00Z. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

   ..ROGERS.. 04/24/2015


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...

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