IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 HRRR for later tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 HRRR for later tonight You think the warm front will get thru? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 You think the warm front will get thru? Yes, the main limiting factor appears to be timing, with the cold front not approaching the area until well after 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Yes, the main limiting factor appears to be timing, with the cold front not approaching the area until well after 00z. I just wanna see some good thunderstorm action. Hopefully we get enough instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Whole area getting a crush job at the moment. Short range models have this batch holding on until early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Crazy nasty walk to work today. Severe weather is meant for when I'm at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Whole area getting a crush job at the moment. Short range models have this batch holding on until early afternoon. If it does, we'll get the big amounts. I'm not convinced it does, look at the Mt Holly radar, back edge moving pretty quickly out of Philly. Hard to imagine how it hangs on unless it stalls out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 New HRRR for tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 If it does, we'll get the big amounts. I'm not convinced it does, look at the Mt Holly radar, back edge moving pretty quickly out of Philly. Hard to imagine how it hangs on unless it stalls out The comma head area over NNJ is forecasted to be the focusing point as the rain to the south pivots northeast, and now the HRRR is looking very interesting after 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 The comma head area over NNJ is forecasted to be the focusing point as the rain to the south pivots northeast, and now the HRRR is looking very interesting after 00z. if we get a pivot there, NNJ NYC will do well in the rainfall dept. If it doesn't, rainfall will be capped around .75 or maybe an inch at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 0.66" in the bucket so far at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 50 with heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Very windy out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Round 2 Round 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 SPC has placed Western areas and Southern areas in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms today, with an enhanced threat for parts of PA and S NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 wind driven heavy rain here, 46. Back edge nearing NYC...looks like no pivot on this batch....radar's pretty quiet to the SW as well, so appears we'll have a break in the action for awhile before another batch gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Could easily pick up another inch tonight if the HRRR is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Nearby weather station (Woodbridge Township) picked up 0.99" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Definitly had legit strong winds on the Island this morning. There is half a large tree down on the entrance to the wantagh parkway by my house. I would have to think it's gusted above 50 at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 The Euro has over an inch of rain for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 still raging here. Back edge keeps rebuilding over the NY/CT line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 still raging here. Back edge keeps rebuilding over the NY/CT line. It's still raining here in Bergen County despite very poor radar returns overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 What causes the current light rain to not register on the radar? There are no returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 What causes the current light rain to not register on the radar? There are no returns. Very often with warm fronts you can get lower level moisture that is below the radar beam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Fog with visibility beteeen 1/4-half a mile as I'm driving through the rockaways. Dense fog advisory issued for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Each consecutive run of the HRRR continues to show rain rebuilding over the region before the cold front arrives this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Very often with warm fronts you can get lower level moisture that is below the radar beam. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Latest and greatest from the HRRR for round 2. This round should remain primarily West of NYC proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Tornado watches in Philadelphia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Tornado Watch for much of the Philly area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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