franklin NCwx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Have you seen the estimated totals for you?yeah, I have been following it. We are going camping over the weekend too. It looks like the bulk of the qpf will be east of the divide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 yeah, I have been following it. We are going camping over the weekend too. It looks like the bulk of the qpf will be east of the divide.Yeah I'm really on the fence of if we get hammered or not. There is a lot of uncertainty seems like with this set up. I hope it busts but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 yeah, I have been following it. We are going camping over the weekend too. It looks like the bulk of the qpf will be east of the divide. Are you serious, franklin? That's going to be one miserable camping trip if you're in a tent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Are you serious, franklin? That's going to be one miserable camping trip if you're in a tent.Lol the same thing I was thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Posted this on FB a little while ago. Guys I think things are going to get dangerous around WNC and the Upstate(and of course the rest of SC). Water is already turning to instant runoff in Asheville and this is just the beginning. Those totals from the Blk mtn site are a precursor to a mudslide. I am a little uneasy looking at model output and know the elevation change around these parts. Water does serious damage that devastates families and I would hate to see our communities go through what we experienced in 2004 again. Might be time to say a prayer that this holds off.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Posted this on FB a little while ago. Guys I think things are going to get dangerous around WNC and the Upstate(and of course the rest of SC). Water is already turning to instant runoff in Asheville and this is just the beginning. Those totals from the Blk mtn site are a precursor to a mudslide. I am a little uneasy looking at model output and know the elevation change around these parts. Water does serious damage that devastates families and I would hate to see our communities go through what we experienced in 2004 again. Might be time to say a prayer that this holds off..Ward are you Ashevillewx on Facebook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Are you serious, franklin? That's going to be one miserable camping trip if you're in a tent.lol.. I have a camper. Will be inside watching football and playing games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 lol.. I have a camper. Will be inside watching football and playing games.Put some pontoons under that suckered bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Ward are you Ashevillewx on Facebook? Yeah man thats me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Lol goodluck with this one guys.. especially worried about my folks in McDowell.. im up in Danville, VA now where we have our own flooding issues to worry about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 lol.. I have a camper. Will be inside watching football and playing games. That's not camping. That's luxuriating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Well. We missed out on any moisture today but we at least got a chance to dry out from this weekend. We ended up with about 11.5-12 from last Thursday to Tuesday. Now, the creeks are still higher than normal and my shoes still sink into the ground in some places. Ready to see how this weekend goes. Should be an interesting ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Yeah man thats meSweet bro. I like your updates man. We should get together sometime since we live pretty close to each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Well. We missed out on any moisture today but we at least got a chance to dry out from this weekend. We ended up with about 11.5-12 from last Thursday to Tuesday. Now, the creeks are still higher than normal and my shoes still sink into the ground in some places. Ready to see how this weekend goes. Should be an interesting ride Not as much rain as you but has been raining steady since 5 here. Ground is just soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Sweet bro. I like your updates man. We should get together sometime since we live pretty close to each other. Thanks man I really appreciate that! I am 100% down, PM me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Thanks man I really appreciate that! I am 100% down, PM me.Will do. Nice map and really a concern with us having so much rain in the past week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 That's not camping. That's luxuriating. pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 lol.. I have a camper. Will be inside watching football and playing games. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Maybe. Lol making water logged memories! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 Steady to moderate rain all night here. Looks like over an inch fell overnight and looks like this is here to stay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 1.2 inches in the gauge this morning. Ready to see how this plays out, although I could do without the return of the pond in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Steady to moderate rain all night here. Looks like over an inch fell overnight and looks like this is here to stay.been pouring here all night and morning. Gonna have to scratch the camping trip, I don't think it will make it out the driveway. My wife's van sunk a foot deep into a section I had widened over the summer. Don't think a 12000 pound camper would fair any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 been pouring here all night and morning. Gonna have to scratch the camping trip, I don't think it will make it out the driveway. My wife's van sunk a foot deep into a section I had widened over the summer. Don't think a 12000 pound camper would fair any better.Lol good call and good luck with the van. If we get any of that coming off the Atlantic we are screwed. That is some heavy stuff and with the mountains creating lift then that means even more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 1.2 inches in the gauge this morning. Ready to see how this plays out, although I could do without the return of the pond in my backyard.Yeah just about what we have here as well. Let the floods begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Lol good call and good luck with the van. If we get any of that coming off the Atlantic we are screwed. That is some heavy stuff and with the mountains creating lift then that means even more rain. Orographics to start to really kick in when we see 25 mph at a perpendicular angle to a ridge line. Looks rather marginal right now but tomorrow we should get a full 50 knots slamming into the mountains out of the East which should make things very interesting indeed with some locally extreme amounts possible considering all the forcing, the record high PW's, and the duration of the event. The escarpment areas around Lake T. and Highlands should do quite well for sure. My mountain top should receive about 1/2 of whatever falls on the escarpment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 The rivers here are about 3 feet above normal with moderate rain. The 12z gfs just hammers the mountains tomorrow into Sunday. Not a good look for flooding concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I had historic light rain this morning with historic drizzle since with a 100 year cloud deck for a historic .21 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 I had historic light rain this morning with historic drizzle since with a 100 year cloud deck for a historic .21 inches. Sounds like some devastating drizzle. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 The radar looks pathetic but we are getting moderate rainfall currently and have been getting rain all day. About 2 inches so far already. That line coming from the Atlantic looks scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Here in Boone we are up to 12.1" since last Thursday night when the rains started. Looking forward to seeing the totals through Sunday Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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