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Modicum Mauler (II) - April 8, 2015


NorEastermass128

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It's interesting how far south the RAP is with the heavy precip late this afternoon and early evening...and it basically has a marginal snow sounding north of the pike. That would probably puke aggregates for a while if that verified. But the confidence on heavy precip is low.

Yeah, strong echos or bust. Nice to see mesos have it but it is only 1pm and those model runs are volatile. Still several hours from them to lose their bullish look.

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I gotta imagine radar is going to be looking more robust than reality all afternoon and evening with the bright banding and various p-types.  Those sleet showers are going to be showing up as like 30+ dbz areas of precip that are probably really like 15dbz if it were dry mid-winter snow.

 

Looks pretty showery in nature right now

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AUG at 1 PM had TD of 2, temp 38.  Given modest qpf and how much will get eaten by that dry air, we're not expecting much accum but whatever reaches the ground should be frozen.  Our sleetfest comes tomorrow evening.

 

Same temp here, 38°F,  Dews are running around 7°F

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