Cold Miser Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Was always on board the rain train for my area. April being April. Ready to make the slow move towards the dreaded heat and humidity of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 TORCON Index: High.....Medium.....Sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Was always on board the rain train for my area. April being April. Ready to make the slow move towards the dreaded heat and humidity of summer. on a positive note you finished 70 inches above your expected 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Interesting MCS out in Ohio. Wonder how that plays out downstream wrt northern qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Was always on board the rain train for my area. April being April. Ready to make the slow move towards the dreaded heat and humidity of summer. You're pretty far down there... I think it was always a Mass Pike terminus for wintry expectations ...more N of course. It's a fascinating two day span of weather events. I'm looking over the NAM and seeing a front end wet snow/sleet thing for the intior (some further tainted version farther E)..transition into a drizzly sort of cool pre-warm frontal boundary mire; then LI's drop to -1 regionally ... LGA is over 20C in the 2-meter with a clear late spring sounding by Friday afternoon, and I suspect that the remainder of SNE E of EEN-HFD gets clipped by that air mass toward evening, at which time there could be a line of embedded thunder migrating through the area... After all this mess, Saturday is seasonally (not obnoxiously anomalous cold like heretofore tendencies...) cool, and it's seemingly no turning back... This next two days thus is analogous to going through the seasonal door. Interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Modeling is certainly interesting. From about Ray's latitude on north there is a shot at a sloppy inch or two. I'm a bit further north of Ray which helps and I'm closer to the NH border here. I might end up with a sloppy 2-3" gun to head if it works out correctly. SE NH looks like they could see slightly more? I'm catching up a little, and unsure how modeling has presented this event in the days prior. Boston sees flakes but zero accums, pretty much all of direct coast won't do too well. A place like Newburyport might be fine though due to how far NE they are. Certainly looks to be strictly north of the pike event. Meso models like RAP/HRRR seem bullish right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Jay, you aren't getting 3" and prob. not 2" imo. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 on a positive note you finished 70 inches above your expected 30 lol. True. I remember that 30" call. The horrors of December-mid January. Pretty epic season in the end. You're pretty far down there... I think it was always a Mass Pike terminus for wintry expectations ...more N of course. It's a fascinating two day span of weather events. I'm looking over the NAM and seeing a front end wet snow/sleet thing for the intior (some further tainted version farther E)..transition into a drizzly sort of cool pre-warm frontal boundary mire; then LI's drop to -1 regionally ... LGA is over 20C in the 2-meter with a clear late spring sounding by Friday afternoon, and I suspect that the remainder of SNE E of EEN-HFD gets clipped by that air mass toward evening, at which time there could be a line of embedded thunder migrating through the area... After all this mess, Saturday is seasonally (not obnoxiously anomalous cold like heretofore tendencies...) cool, and it's seemingly no turning back... This next two days thus is analogous to going through the seasonal door. Interesting... Yup. It's hard not to at least acknowledge the hype sometimes regardless of guidance. Getting truly, emotionally invested in weather is futile, and dumb, but still fun to ride the weenie waves of up and down's. It's what makes the place fun for the common folk like myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Jay, you aren't getting 3" and prob. not 2" imo. We'll see. So you're saying 6-10" is off the table for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 Jay, you aren't getting 3" and prob. not 2" imo. We'll see.I expect that slushy frozen precip accumulation about halfway up my windshield. Maybe three quarters of the way up before melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 41/8 up here... got some dry air to overcome I'd say with dews near 10F, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 So you're saying 6-10" is off the table for you? The CCB of dissapointment is making it's pivot and is ready to finally slide out after this deal. Been stalled for about two months owed to the big FML block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 HRRR continues to hammer extreme NE Mass and SNH. Its got a whole lot of frozen SN/IP in that area, with a jack of around 5" just over the Mass border into SNE. LWM gets like 0.6" QPF of pellets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 HRRR continues to hammer extreme NE Mass and SNH. Its got a whole lot of frozen SN/IP in that area, with a jack of around 5" just over the Mass border into SNE. LWM gets like 0.6" QPF of pellets. It's going to be interesting how this plays out at work. I'm right along the Merrimack so I have latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 ...And the pingers gonna ping ping ping ping ping. Peltfest commences here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Modeling is certainly interesting. From about Ray's latitude on north there is a shot at a sloppy inch or two. I'm a bit further north of Ray which helps and I'm closer to the NH border here. I might end up with a sloppy 2-3" gun to head if it works out correctly. SE NH looks like they could see slightly more? I'm catching up a little, and unsure how modeling has presented this event in the days prior. Boston sees flakes but zero accums, pretty much all of direct coast won't do too well. A place like Newburyport might be fine though due to how far NE they are. Certainly looks to be strictly north of the pike event. Meso models like RAP/HRRR seem bullish right now. Where near the MA border are you? The NAM/GFS seem to save the best rates for NH, but I'm still optimistic of a sleet fest here for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Rain mixed with a little sleet here in SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 A few wet flakes on my way home from a job in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Jay, you aren't getting 3" and prob. not 2" imo. We'll see. That's the ceiling. HRRR continues to hammer extreme NE Mass and SNH. Its got a whole lot of frozen SN/IP in that area, with a jack of around 5" just over the Mass border into SNE. LWM gets like 0.6" QPF of pellets. Where near the MA border are you? The NAM/GFS seem to save the best rates for NH, but I'm still optimistic of a sleet fest here for a time. North Andover, MA. Close to intersection of Turnpike and Elm Streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 15z is a good period of snow near and north of LWM. Printing out 6" over my fanny on the wxbell weenie maps that everyone knows and loves. Scott goes pants to ankles for that type of algorithm. 15z RAP is all around similar. Dynamically cools aloft nicely too. Between -5 to -10c actually at 850mb 2200 right over NE MA. Could see Rt 2 Hubby region doing well. RAP and HRRR both have that cooling aloft tonight after dark. NAM has that cooling over Lake Winni. Lol. 12z WRF BTV is on the RAP HRRR train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 12z GFS was colder and further south with frozen precip when compared to 6z. Remember strictly a north of pike event still obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Have any CT posters lost power yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Steady pingers now but not nearly as intense as radar looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Have any CT posters lost power yet? lol. I haven't heard a peep from the rev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Have any CT posters lost power yet? Very similar set-up to the ORH icestorm of December 2008. Hopefully they are ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Pelletfest in ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 The Southern Berkshires have been doing well this afternoon reporting snow /sleet and temperatures near freezing above 1500 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Steady pingers now but not nearly as intense as radar looks. image.jpg I gotta imagine radar is going to be looking more robust than reality all afternoon and evening with the bright banding and various p-types. Those sleet showers are going to be showing up as like 30+ dbz areas of precip that are probably really like 15dbz if it were dry mid-winter snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Looking over all the guidance... still looks like Killington, VT (high terrain over 1,500ft east of RUT) eastward through the Lakes Region of NH will have the best shot at a true plowable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 It's interesting how far south the RAP is with the heavy precip late this afternoon and early evening...and it basically has a marginal snow sounding north of the pike. That would probably puke aggregates for a while if that verified. But the confidence on heavy precip is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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