powderfreak Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 What can I say- April and May are when I jackpot. April, 27th 2010 for the win there...didn't you have like 14-17" in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 With the shear intensity and weight of that polar dome pressing/nosing/damming/cadding whatever the f ageostrophic wall we want to call it, I have a hard time believing the NAM's decision to go N with that lift axis like that has much validity. Looks a tad too far over the top of the airmass before initiating moist adiabatic process there. I can see going lighter, sure, but not farther N... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 With the shear intensity and weight of that polar dome pressing/nosing/damming/cadding whatever the f ageostrophic wall we want to call it, I have a hard time believing the NAM's decision to go N with that lift axis like that has much validity. Looks a tad too far over the top of the airmass before initiating moist adiabatic process there. I can see going lighter, sure, but not farther N... I think that's the risk. Lighter precip that probably argues for glaze, vs deep layer lift through 700mb to help force snow. You'll have plenty of lift near 850, but I would like to see it deeper than that. The s/w for tomorrow is currently triggering convection over SE MN. I mentioned earlier that it could be messing around with the models in that the actual synoptics to create widespread stratiform precip might have a hard time being modeled properly. Loop the NAM and follows that precip currently out there. Perhaps it's right, but it wouldn't be the first time we see modeling errors from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Even on the GFS BUFKIT, the lift is doing funky things to the point it actually has snow at 9z Thursday for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Meh. seasons in seasons, just a bit colder. Cold miserable rain in April instead of the usual cool April rain. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF MIXED RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHTAND EARLY WEDNESDAY.THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT RAIN MAY MIX WITH SLEET ORFREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHESTRISK FOR THIS IS ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND THECENTRAL HILLS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Meh. seasons in seasons, just a bit colder. Cold miserable rain in April instead of the usual cool April rain.sleety meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Southern VT is looking good for at least a few inches, at least in the higher elevations. I'll be headed to Stratton tomorrow until Friday, hopefully most of the precip remains frozen and I'm not skiing in the rain...latest indications is that it will. I've never skied in sleet or freezing rain either so that should be interesting if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Southern VT is looking good for at least a few inches, at least in the higher elevations. I'll be headed to Stratton tomorrow until Friday, hopefully most of the precip remains frozen and I'm not skiing in the rain...latest indications is that it will. I've never skied in sleet or freezing rain either so that should be interesting if that happens.sleet is pretty fun after it falls, freezing rain is not bad but absolutely blows on the lifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 April, 27th 2010 for the win there...didn't you have like 14-17" in that one? IIRC it was 15.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Heading to Ludlow VT Thurs morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Heading to Ludlow VT Thurs morning Okemo? Mt snow was doing $46 tix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 The 18z runs were somewhat of a downer for me here. Without the better lift and precipitation rates and a somewhat weaker cold push I'm probably left relegated to a few pingers or a touch of zr but mainly a 33 degree rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 NAM is coming back to its senses compared to 18Z, but still many from the PIKE North through hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Yeah a bit colder than 18z and back south somewhat with the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Nam starts earlier with the precip compared to it's 18z run. Also, looks like it will be colder because the vorticity of the secondary doesn't seem as strong near the Del Marva as 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Still need another bump south here, the 12Z Euro solution was best down this way and even that was marginal, but definitely more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Probably need to slash this by 1/3rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 The 0z NAM looks great for CNE. Decent for those north of the Pike and especially north of Rt. 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 NAM looks like a paint-peeler for the pike region tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Probably need to slash this by 1/3rd http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/ So that leaves me with 1/3 of 1/3 of an inch, how exciting!!!! quote] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Probably need to slash this by 1/3rd http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/ So that leaves me with 1/3 of 1/3 of an inch, how exciting!!!! quote] lol, I really don't see this being exciting for very many really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 lol, I really don't see this being exciting for very many really Nope... I'm not going to pretend to know much, but it seems a bit fickle. These are the types of events that easily flop in the wrong direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Nope... I'm not going to pretend to know much, but it seems a bit fickle. These are the types of events that easily flop in the wrong direction Or just flops period, Unless this rips with heavy rates over an area or falls at night, Its going to be tough to accumulate outside of grassy surfaces, Happened up here this past weekend, Someone may get lucky, But i would want some elevation in this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Man that is a paint peeler around here tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 Man that is a paint peeler around here tomorrow night.Here as in Weymouth or as in your work in Andover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Here as in Weymouth or as in your work in Andover? Well here at home, but up in Andover it could be parachutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 So a sprinkle of sleet, a touch of zr and a dusting of snow.....wooo whoo......maybe I'll jackpot for SNE for once this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 0z RGEM looks like it went north from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 4 months to melt this glacier and we're going to pile on more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 4 months to melt this glacier and we're going to pile on more. lol, You could sense this a month ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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