CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 But as Will alluded to earlier....we need the good thump of QPF and not some shredded, showery look to radar while 30DBZ echoes move across CNE or something like that. However, that's a great CAD situation and thermal packing. That should help generate echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On the Euro it almost looks like a tongue of colder air at 850 sneaks right down the valley with my location right at 0 much of the event and surface temps right near freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 5:21 PM, tamarack said: Only if it's like 1996 or 2007, or better yet 1982, does April snow have real meaning. Not in the cards for this month. Nope, Don't see any of those walking in the door right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:15 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: On the Euro it almost looks like a tongue of colder air at 850 sneaks right down the valley with my location right at 0 much of the event and surface temps right near freezing. It's a pounding sleet fest for N Ct going over to fairly significant icing. I'm not sure if it would favor valley or elevations or both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: It's a pounding sleet fest for N Ct going over to fairly significant icing. I'm not sure if it would favor valley or elevations or both Any icing would favor elevations in this setup since the soundings cool significantly until they reach around 900mb. Most of our icing events are like this...with the exception of some of those marginal ones where like 30-31 air gets trapped in the valleys for a few hours. There def could be decent glaze tomorrow night. Won't be enough qpf to cause power issues or anything I wouldn't think, but the fact we could see any glaze at all in April is pretty interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: It's a pounding sleet fest for N Ct going over to fairly significant icing. I'm not sure if it would favor valley or elevations or both Fwiw, 850's looked slightly colder here but you're surface temps were slightly colder on the EURO. I could go over to 33 degrees and raining while you are 31 and Zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 I went on a field trip and come back to this... I prefer my crow with BBQ sauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: Any icing would favor elevations in this setup since the soundings cool significantly until they reach around 900mb. Most of our icing events are like this...with the exception of some of those marginal ones where like 30-31 air gets trapped in the valleys for a few hours. There def could be decent glaze tomorrow night. Won't be enough qpf to cause power issues or anything I wouldn't think, but the fact we could see any glaze at all in April is pretty interesting. I know up in ORH area Theres been a few Zr events in Napril before. But I'm racking my brain and I can't think of any Napril icing events around here at all?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Man what a change going from Thur to Friday ...wow. Also, most impressive Euro run for extinction of continental cold yet... Gotta get through it first, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:38 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I went on a field trip and come back to this...I prefer my crow with BBQ sauce Hold your ground, drop a few meh' bombs. I like that the EC had heavier precip. a bit further W. I'm definitely intrigued for this area even if it's just 1-2" of paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Didn't N ORH have an icing/mixed event last year in April? Wish I could remember the date..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 6:41 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I know up in ORH area Theres been a few Zr events in Napril before. But I'm racking my brain and I can't think of any Napril icing events around here at all?? I don't recall any nor in ORH but remember the April 2003 event in Albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:18 PM, Whineminster said: Didn't N ORH have an icing/mixed event last year in April? Wish I could remember the date..... I had a mix of snow and sleet on the night of the 15th into the 16th. 0.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:21 PM, CoastalWx said: I had a mix of snow and sleet on the night of the 15th into the 16th. 0.7" yea think orh reported freezing drizzle that night too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:18 PM, Whineminster said: Didn't N ORH have an icing/mixed event last year in April? Wish I could remember the date..... There was one on April 12, 2013...sleet in that one actually. That was a daytime event too. The progs on that one though were definitely warmer than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 The mesos are really cold. Not to get data overload, but the WRF NMM is quite a bit of sleet and snow at BOS and snow just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:29 PM, CoastalWx said: The mesos are really cold. Not to get data overload, but the WRF NMM is quite a bit of sleet and snow at BOS and snow just north. It's never data overload when they lean cold and snowier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 I seem to very vaguely remember some zr dz around here in some recent April event the more I rack my brain. I think it was in the evening or at night. Doesn't seem that long ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:34 PM, SouthCoastMA said: It's never data overload when they lean cold and snowier! Well it can be...lol. But, if you have a suite of models sort of going in one direction..it helps confidence. Then again the only model (and it didn't even do that well) to go for a decent snow event on 2/14 was the GFS. The other models were really meh on that event if you recall. We know how that turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:34 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I seem to very vaguely remember some zr dz around here in some recent April event the more I rack my brain. I think it was in the evening or at night. Doesn't seem that long ago You know what i take that back, I looked back at the April 16th post fropa snow storm, I had posted this I actually saw glaze on the hillsides in Griswold CT when the sun came up on my slippery ride in,that alone for April 15 on the CP is notable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: There was one on April 12, 2013...sleet in that one actually. That was a daytime event too. The progs on that one though were definitely warmer than this one. Was it all daytime though? I remember seeing some heavy glazing on trees in the early morning. I do remember seeing some sleet on the grassy surfaces though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 You probably want a brisk NE wind too. That helps out with advection of cooler and drier air and would help fight off solar insolation which wants to warm surfaces like branches etc. If anyone gets ZR, it's probably on the windward side of trees and things like that, especially during the daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Well I think we still want the 18z and 00z runs to either remain steady or get more bullish to really go hard. If any pull back, it probably quickly becomes a pedestrian late season event for higher spots. You need a lot going for you this time of year, so it's important for all the ingredients to come together. Obviously a little more easier in higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Can't recall significant daytime icing in April, but in 1984 we had 0.1"-0.2" accretion atop 2" snowfall overnight into Cinco de Mayo (at 970' in Ft. Kent.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Well I think we still want the 18z and 00z runs to either remain steady or get more bullish to really go hard. If any pull back, it probably quickly becomes a pedestrian late season event for higher spots. You need a lot going for you this time of year, so it's important for all the ingredients to come together. Obviously a little more easier in higher elevations.I'm still leaning that way but to have a wide variety of guidance suggesting a decent event I am paying more attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 7:38 PM, Ginxy said: You know what i take that back, I looked back at the April 16th post fropa snow storm, I had posted this I actually saw glaze on the hillsides in Griswold CT when the sun came up on my slippery ride in,that alone for April 15 on the CP is notable I think you posted a picture of the trees too from the museum if my old memory serves me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 18z NAM has almost no QPF in SNE through 00z. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 8:15 PM, CoastalWx said: 18z NAM has almost no QPF in SNE through 00z. LOL. It's all north...warmer too. Finally gets some precip in after 00z, but probably not much snow south of the NH border...still close call in NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 On 4/7/2015 at 8:20 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's all north...warmer too. Finally gets some precip in after 00z, but probably not much snow south of the NH border...still close call in NE MA. Closer to GFS. Wonder what the RGEM will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Still looks like some pellets in there too down to the pike. Dam cold at 925. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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