MidwestChaser Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I think the front went through, as my wx station temp and dews went up 5 degrees in 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 E. IA and the rest of IL gets ENH. 10% hatched TOR probs for N IL and Chi-town Yep, this is what I expected would be in place, also an extension of the 30wind/5tor into SW MI where the last risk had pulled it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Really like that 1630z outlook. Spot on in my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I really hope Peoria doesn't get any tornadoes because I know someone that is studying at Bradley University. I don't think any of the dorms and apartments have basements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Anyone know if ILX or DVN are planning 18Z soundings? I'm guessing yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 The 12z 4km NAM looks very intense. Develops a string of pearls with 03-km EHI values well over 3 in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 A quick OT, but where the heck is Hoosier in all of this. I haven't seen him post anything and this is practically in his back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 hoping we get an early afternoon update from LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 A quick OT, but where the heck is Hoosier in all of this. I haven't seen him post anything and this is practically in his back yard. accidentally banned himself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 A quick OT, but where the heck is Hoosier in all of this. I haven't seen him post anything and this is practically in his back yard. Possibly in real life issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 accidentally banned himself lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 hoping we get an early afternoon update from LOT yeah...was just thinking about that, but if a briefing may be done... starting to see some spotty breaks in the deck well off to my south and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I don't like the looks or location of that cell west of Joliet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 4k NAM looks very aggressive with the discrete cells, well into IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I don't like the looks or location of that cell west of Joliet... plainfield magnet ftl atmosphere recovery well underway despite persistent elevated convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Nice OFB from morning convection running from south of DSM to IOW to around Galena in NW. IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I really hope Peoria doesn't get any tornadoes because I know someone that is studying at Bradley University. I don't think any of the dorms and apartments have basements. My alma mater. Most all dorms and apts have a basement for utilities and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 My alma mater. Most all dorms and apts have a basement for utilities and such. Had to look up the definition for "alma mater". I found this definition: the school, college, or university that one once attended. Anyways, I was wrong when I said that the dorms and apartments have no basements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Liking the way things look. 20z outlook may get a bit more bullish if trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 I'd watch that line of broken cells starting to form from Osceola IA down to Kansas City Mo way and any discret cells forming out ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Rain has stopped on the northern side of Fort Wayne and we have jumped from 47 to 61 degrees in just a matter of two hours. Sun is now trying to peak through the cloud deck. Not having much luck yet but you can tell it's winning out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 first filtered sun of the day and a new MD out for the DVN cwa DISCUSSION...INTENSE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TODEVELOP/SPREAD ACROSS IA INTO SRN WI/NRN IL LATER THIS EVENING.THIS SHOULD ENCOURAGE/FOCUS ASCENT AHEAD OF DEEPENING SFC LOW AS ITTRACKS FROM NWRN MO...INTO SERN IA BY 21Z. LATEST VIS IMAGERYDEPICTS DEEPENING THERMALS ALONG N-S WIND SHIFT OVER IA/MO AND THISIS SUPPORTED BY RECENT INCREASE IN SHOWERS FROM NORTH OF MCI TO NEARLWD. AS BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM THERE IS INCREASINGCONFIDENCE THAT CONVECTION WILL DEEPEN AND TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP.STRONG SHEAR WILL LEAD TO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EARLY IN THECONVECTIVE CYCLE. FORECAST STORM MOTIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FORCONVECTION TO UTILIZE SHEAR ALONG E-W BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS IA/NRNIL AND TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STRUCTURES.TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NRN IL LATER THISAFTERNOON AND THIS THREAT WILL BE ADDRESSED WITHIN A FEW HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0246NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1229 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MO...SRN/ERN IA...NWRN ILCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELYVALID 091729Z - 091900ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENTSUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY 19Z FROM NORTHERNMO INTO NWRN IL.DISCUSSION...INTENSE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TODEVELOP/SPREAD ACROSS IA INTO SRN WI/NRN IL LATER THIS EVENING.THIS SHOULD ENCOURAGE/FOCUS ASCENT AHEAD OF DEEPENING SFC LOW AS ITTRACKS FROM NWRN MO...INTO SERN IA BY 21Z. LATEST VIS IMAGERYDEPICTS DEEPENING THERMALS ALONG N-S WIND SHIFT OVER IA/MO AND THISIS SUPPORTED BY RECENT INCREASE IN SHOWERS FROM NORTH OF MCI TO NEARLWD. AS BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM THERE IS INCREASINGCONFIDENCE THAT CONVECTION WILL DEEPEN AND TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP.STRONG SHEAR WILL LEAD TO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EARLY IN THECONVECTIVE CYCLE. FORECAST STORM MOTIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FORCONVECTION TO UTILIZE SHEAR ALONG E-W BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS IA/NRNIL AND TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STRUCTURES.TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NRN IL LATER THISAFTERNOON AND THIS THREAT WILL BE ADDRESSED WITHIN A FEW HOURS...DARROW/GRAMS.. 04/09/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Rain has stopped on the northern side of Fort Wayne and we have jumped from 47 to 61 degrees in just a matter of two hours. Sun is now trying to peak through the cloud deck. Not having much luck yet but you can tell it's winning out. Good. It's pretty muggy here in BG, may take 6 to 24 later barring development off to the west and timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0246 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1229 PM CDT THU APR 09 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MO...SRN/ERN IA...NWRN IL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 091729Z - 091900Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY 19Z FROM NORTHERN MO INTO NWRN IL. DISCUSSION...INTENSE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/SPREAD ACROSS IA INTO SRN WI/NRN IL LATER THIS EVENING. THIS SHOULD ENCOURAGE/FOCUS ASCENT AHEAD OF DEEPENING SFC LOW AS IT TRACKS FROM NWRN MO...INTO SERN IA BY 21Z. LATEST VIS IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEPENING THERMALS ALONG N-S WIND SHIFT OVER IA/MO AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT INCREASE IN SHOWERS FROM NORTH OF MCI TO NEAR LWD. AS BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT CONVECTION WILL DEEPEN AND TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP. STRONG SHEAR WILL LEAD TO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EARLY IN THE CONVECTIVE CYCLE. FORECAST STORM MOTIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO UTILIZE SHEAR ALONG E-W BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS IA/NRN IL AND TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STRUCTURES. TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NRN IL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS THREAT WILL BE ADDRESSED WITHIN A FEW HOURS. ..DARROW/GRAMS.. 04/09/2015 So it begins... Good. It's pretty muggy here in BG, may take 6 to 24 later barring development off to the west and timing Thats most likely a good call IF anything happens. Sun breaking out now further south down I-75. Haven't been outside yet to get readings but it looks pretty juicy. CAPE rising quickly further to my south as we get gaps in the clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NRN IL LATER THISAFTERNOON AND THIS THREAT WILL BE ADDRESSED WITHIN A FEW HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Anybody using the new HRRR browser web page on the SPC web site? Just curious. They introduced it in the fall or winter, but I've hardly ever used it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 So it begins... Thats most likely a good call IF anything happens. Sun breaking out now further south down I-75. Haven't been outside yet to get readings but it looks pretty juicy. CAPE rising quickly further to my south as we get gaps in the clouds Yeah it's pretty muggy right now. 64/61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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