uncle W Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 NYC needs to make it past April 20th with no 70 degree readings to join the latest 70 of spring club since 1940. Latest first 70 degree readings of spring for NYC since 1940 5/5/40...only May date 4/28/56 4/26/84 4/25/66 4/23/83 4/23/53 4/21/57 1876, 1883, 1884 had the first 70 degree day in May...I was tracking 1966 as it was happening...1983 came after a snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 Islip got their first 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 The 12z Euro likes the idea of no 70 degree days through the 20th at NYC. Latest first 70 degree readings of spring for NYC since 1940 5/5/40...only May date 4/28/56 4/26/84 4/25/66 4/23/83 4/23/53 4/21/57 six of seven years had a max summer temp 98 or higher...1984 was only 96...three years went over 100... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 The 12z Euro likes the idea of no 70 degree days through the 20th at NYC. Latest first 70 degree readings of spring for NYC since 1940 5/5/40...only May date 4/28/56 4/26/84 4/25/66 4/23/83 4/23/53 4/21/57 hey bud You or uncle w may answer this... Out of those years that we had a belated 70 degree day, were there any real hot and humid summers or were they mostly average to even below average summers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 Park up to 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 Just a gem of a day and a great spring weekend overall. Sunny and 68 here currently, spiked to 70 between 2 and 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 KNYC high is 66 so far today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 69 today...tomorrow pretty sure I notch my 2nd 70 this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 12, 2015 Share Posted April 12, 2015 Hit 70 now down to 66 here. Just a perfect Spring day. Next weekend doesnt look to repeat this one (as of now) but we'll see. We did have an exceptional string of great weekends last spring/summer and early fall. Hope that can continue this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 12, 2015 Author Share Posted April 12, 2015 My forecast high for tomorrow went from 72 to 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Went from 66 to 50 here. Sea breeze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Went from 66 to 50 here. Sea breeze? Yes.. you can see when it happened here around 2 pm after a high of 68 degrees.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Yes.. you can see when it happened here around 2 pm after a high of 68 degrees.... wxgDONCAT_temp_dewpt_20150412_20150413.png Awesome graph. Thanks for the info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 hey bud You or uncle w may answer this... Out of those years that we had a belated 70 degree day, were there any real hot and humid summers or were they mostly average to even below average summers? 5/05/40 4/28/56 4/26/84 4/25/66 4/23/83 4/23/53 4/21/57 year...90+...100+....max...warmest 30 days 1940...17......0.......98......78.6 1956...11......0.......99......75.1 1984...10......0.......96......76.7 1966...35......4......103.....81.0 1983...36......0.......99......80.9 1953...32......4......102.....78.8 1957...21......2......101.....78.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 Potentially wet week ahead. Right now we look to be on the northern edge but that could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Yes.. you can see when it happened here around 2 pm after a high of 68 degrees.... wxgDONCAT_temp_dewpt_20150412_20150413.png I was sunning myself in Coney Island and can verify the sea breeze broke through at 2:03PM but never became too strong, just annoying enough to forget about tanning further in just a bathing suit, which I had been doing for 90mins. On Sat. the wind was from the west, preventing the sea breeze from coming in to play, but temps. stayed in upper 50's and I never got into my bathing suit. Also I put my feet in the water and it seemed way warmer than the 42degs. being reported on a CI Tides/Weather site. Looks like a thin sliver of bn. temps along coast, while the GS is an. way off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Already 56 at the park. Today maybe the best chance to get to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Potentially wet week ahead. Right now we look to be on the northern edge but that could change. Rgem has <.25" for NNJ and NYC tomorrow morning. Closer to .10" for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 Rgem has <.25" for NNJ and NYC tomorrow morning. Closer to .10" for the city. The 12z NAM has over an inch for CNJ and nothing for NNJ. Rain will be convective in nature and tough to nail down. The NAM did jump about 50 miles North from 06z to the 12z run and the 09z SREF got wetter as well. Also we'll have a second chance at heavy rain later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 The 12z NAM has over an inch for CNJ and nothing for NNJ. Rain will be convective in nature and tough to nail down. The NAM did jump about 50 miles North from 06z to the 12z run and the 09z SREF got wetter as well. Also we'll have a second chance at heavy rain later in the week. I wish the threat of rain Friday night would be reduced. I'm supposed to do some astrophotography of the milky way. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 The 12z NAM has over an inch for CNJ and nothing for NNJ. Rain will be convective in nature and tough to nail down. The NAM did jump about 50 miles North from 06z to the 12z run and the 09z SREF got wetter as well. Also we'll have a second chance at heavy rain later in the week. 12z Rgem is even drier and has almost nothing now for anyone north of Trenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 12z Rgem is even drier and has almost nothing now for anyone north of Trenton. The RGEM is not the only model in the arsenal. I bet if it was the wettest model you would be tossing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 The RGEM is not the only model in the arsenal. I bet if it was the wettest model you would be tossing it. If it were the wettest model, the rest of the suite would likely follow. Especially inside of 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Drizzle: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 Drizzle: It's never wise to base a forecast on a single model. While the RGEM is the preferred short term model over the NAM, it's been far from perfect this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 13, 2015 Author Share Posted April 13, 2015 I'll stick with NWS/HPC forecast of 0.25"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 12z GFS has drizzle/light rain for NNJ as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 I'll stick with NWS/HPC forecast of 0.25"+ I would lower the .25"+ shade from NNJ to Central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 I would lower the .25"+ shade from NNJ to Central NJ. Similar to the 12z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 confluence crush. i'll take the under on .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.