Brian5671 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 the one thing we can hope for is that should the NAO drop negative as that chart shows, looks like a quick bounceback into positive territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 the one thing we can hope for is that should the NAO drop negative as that chart shows, looks like a quick bounceback into positive territory. The Euro ensemble freebie from WSI retrogrades the block back to north of Alaska day 11-15 with the trough staying put over the NE. This would be a gorgeous winter pattern that would get the snow geese honking. https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/588278994832859136 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Light showers for Friday. 0.10-0.25" areawide, more North, less South. Only other rain day on the Euro is Monday into Tuesday. Euro shows 1.50"+ for everyone with 1.75"+ SW of NYC. We can do well with spring overunning warm frontal set ups north of the triple point low like the Euro is showing. The neg tilt trough is something that has been missing with recent events that fizzled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Current temps: 71 at NYC 69 at LGA 70 at JFK 70 at EWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 if that trough sets up shop, we're cool and maybe damp regardless of the NAO...at least we're a few weeks later and that probably means 50 instead of 40. Last week was brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 71 high for me..my third 70 + day....I keep hearing all this stuff about cool and no 70s but so far that intel has not come to fruition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 if that trough sets up shop, we're cool and maybe damp regardless of the NAO...at least we're a few weeks later and that probably means 50 instead of 40. Last week was brutal. Damp and 50s is not what most people want to hear as we end April and enter May. I wonder if frost will become an issue. I don't see it on the OP runs yet. The blocking looks legit this time. I assume the NAO doesn't work the same as it would mid winter but the EPO should be negative as well, which is probably why things will likely trend cooler than normal. Still don't think it'll be enough to make April below normal though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Damp and 50s is not what most people want to hear as we end April and enter May. I wonder if frost will become an issue. I don't see it on the OP runs yet. The blocking looks legit this time. I assume the NAO doesn't work the same as it would mid winter but the EPO should be negative as well, which is probably why things will likely trend cooler than normal. Still don't think it'll be enough to make April below normal though. only way we're going to see a big frost is with a big shot of cold air and clear skies...damp and maritime flow ain't going to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 72 at KNYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 While we have dry conditions here, Chicago set the record. https://twitter.com/nwschicago The lowest relative humidity on record for Chicago of 13% tied this afternoon at O'Hare. Ties Apr 8 1971, Apr 11 1956, & May 10 1934 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 ...got to 69* here on the usually chilly east end..thats what a NW wind will get you..beautiful day in deed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 only way we're going to see a big frost is with a big shot of cold air and clear skies...damp and maritime flow ain't going to do it. Spring frost is one of my favorite things. But you're right, you need a really good radiator with some cold air in place to do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 While we have dry conditions here, Chicago set the record. https://twitter.com/nwschicago The lowest relative humidity on record for Chicago of 13% tied this afternoon at O'Hare. Ties Apr 8 1971, Apr 11 1956, & May 10 1934 Had a 14% reading on the vantagepro here this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Had a 14% reading on the vantagepro here this afternoon. 12% now at the park (70/15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Had a 14% reading on the vantagepro here this afternoon. I can remember some of the crazy dry records out west during the 2011 record heat and drought. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/las-vegas-sets-himidity-record-but-its-a-dry-heat/51705 The National Weather Service in Las Vegas, Nevada issued a statement yesterday saying they had reached a record "dew point depression" of 129 degrees (or: low humidity of 1%) when their temperature was 107 with a dew point of -22 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 I can remember some of the crazy dry records out west during the 2011 record heat and drought. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/las-vegas-sets-himidity-record-but-its-a-dry-heat/51705 The National Weather Service in Las Vegas, Nevada issued a statement yesterday saying they had reached a record "dew point depression" of 129 degrees (or: low humidity of 1%) when their temperature was 107 with a dew point of -22 F. That. Is. Awesome!!!!!!!! I noticed my skin was dry and cranking today and I never ever concern myself with those sorts of things. I'll take the dry skin for perfect low 70s and the first sun dresses of the season on Broadway any day!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 12% now at the park (70/15) I wonder what the record lowest % is at KNYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 I can remember some of the crazy dry records out west during the 2011 record heat and drought. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/las-vegas-sets-himidity-record-but-its-a-dry-heat/51705 The National Weather Service in Las Vegas, Nevada issued a statement yesterday saying they had reached a record "dew point depression" of 129 degrees (or: low humidity of 1%) when their temperature was 107 with a dew point of -22 F. That is completely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Saturday looks like the warmest day of the month so far with a warm downslope flow. We could see temps overshooting guidance again by several degrees which could put NYC in the 75-77 degree range and close to the maxes for April 2014 and 2000. April max temperatures in NYC since 2000: 15...72....so far 14...77...April temperature departure....-0.7 13...82 12...88 11...83 10...92 09...92 08...84 07...86 06...83 05...87 04...85 03...88 02...96 01...87 00...75.....April temperature departure...-1.5 I wouldn't be surprised if it hit 78-79. But a good bit cooler today than yesterday but it think we'll hit 65 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 16, 2015 Author Share Posted April 16, 2015 The 00z Euro didn't back off for Monday into Tuesday. Roughly 2" areawide with SW areas seeing slightly more than northeast areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Wouldn't be surprised to notch my first 80 on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Pretty rare for our area to have relative humidities in the 20% range with an easterly wind. Wind is light though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Today is perfect outside 63 degrees outside my office and light and variable winds very dry humidity levels at or around 20%. Tomorrow should be a decent rain but I think it'll be drier than the models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 16, 2015 Author Share Posted April 16, 2015 The 12z GGEM has 2.5"+ of rain areawide on Monday night. The models have been very consistent showing widespread 1.5"+ amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 16, 2015 Author Share Posted April 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Temps keep trending warmer as we get closer so an 80F wouldn't surprise me this Saturday. I hope we torch to death this summer. If it's gonna be hot then let's destroy records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Temps keep trending warmer as we get closer so an 80F wouldn't surprise me this Saturday. I hope we torch to death this summer. If it's gonna be hot then let's destroy records. Too much suffering. I'd rather beat the 1815 cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 Too much suffering. I'd rather beat the 1815 cold. Suffering? lol. Didnt thousands of people starve to death from the 1815 cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 was the 1815 cold caused by the eruption of mount tambora... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted April 16, 2015 Share Posted April 16, 2015 was the 1815 cold caused by the eruption of mount tambora... Yes. And to keep it relevant to this thread, it happend 200 years ago this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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