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April Discussion


IsentropicLift

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Rain sucks but it'll keep it cool so I can be happy about that. Most of the snowpack in New England is gone so there won't be a flood threat anywhere at this point. Maine should get some good snows the next couple of weeks before the cold air retreats to Canada. What a beautiful day 56 degrees in midtown with a light breeze and sunny skies. Almost perfect. Though 65 sounds a bit better' enjoy it folks

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Rain sucks but it'll keep it cool so I can be happy about that. Most of the snowpack in New England is gone so there won't be a flood threat anywhere at this point. Maine should get some good snows the next couple of weeks before the cold air retreats to Canada. What a beautiful day 56 degrees in midtown with a light breeze and sunny skies. Almost perfect. Though 65 sounds a bit better' enjoy it folks

http://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow_depth_im

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Ambrose Jet

 

https://ams.confex.com/ams/89annual/techprogram/paper_144401.htm

 

http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/nrow/nrowx/presentations/COLLE/Colle.ppt

 

 

 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS LATE TODAY...

NYZ075-178-179-022000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.150402T1800Z-150403T0000Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...KINGS...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTIES
  IN NEW YORK.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF
  35 TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SOME MINOR WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. IN
  ADDITION...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...
OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.


 

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Ambrose Jet

https://ams.confex.com/ams/89annual/techprogram/paper_144401.htm

http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/nrow/nrowx/presentations/COLLE/Colle.ppt

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS LATE TODAY...

NYZ075-178-179-022000-

/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.150402T1800Z-150403T0000Z/

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT

THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND

ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM

EDT THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...KINGS...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTIES

IN NEW YORK.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF

35 TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SOME MINOR WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. IN

ADDITION...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR

HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...

OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS

STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE

VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

This was really interesting. Thanks for posting. I didnt know that "65 and pleasant in manhattan but 40 with crappy fog and wind on the south shore" had an offical name.

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Ambrose Jet

https://ams.confex.com/ams/89annual/techprogram/paper_144401.htm

http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/nrow/nrowx/presentations/COLLE/Colle.ppt

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS LATE TODAY...

NYZ075-178-179-022000-

/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.150402T1800Z-150403T0000Z/

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

325 AM EDT THU APR 2 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT

THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND

ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM

EDT THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...KINGS...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTIES

IN NEW YORK.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF

35 TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SOME MINOR WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. IN

ADDITION...DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR

HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...

OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS

STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE

VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Thanks!!! I now have a new term!!!

The advisory today is very unusual for Upton but right on the money. If you ever want to see the results of the Ambross jet take a trip down to the southern end of Wantagh park. The trees right on the bay resemble the more famous ones in Aruba with all foliage on the NE side.

Super nice in Manhattan today what a diffrence 25 miles makes

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Third  spring in a row with no 70 degree readings for NYC by March 31st.

NYC will need a day where the back door front potential the models have over the 

next 10 days can get just far enough to let it happen.

 

 

 

First 70 degree readings in NYC since 1980:

 

2014....4-11

2013....4-8

2012....3-8

2011....3-18

2010....3-19

2009....3-7

2008....4-10

2007....3-14

2006....3-10

2005....4-6

2004...3-27

2003...4-15*

2002...3-30

2001...4-9

2000...4-6

1999...3-18

1998...3-27

1997...4-7

1996...4-12

1995...3-15

1994...3-23

1993....4-19*

1992....4-10

1991...3-28

1990...3-13

1989...3-17

1988...3-24

1987...3-8

1986...3-19

1984...4-26*

1983...4-23*

1982....4-16*

1981....3-29

1980....4-13

 
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Second spring in a row with no 70 degree readings for NYC by March 31st.

NYC will need a day where the back door front potential the models have over the

next 10 days can get just far enough to let it happen.

M7D7.jpg

First 70 degree readings in NYC since 1980:

2014....4-11

2013....4-8

According to your stats isn't this the third March in a row with no 70 degree days?

I believe the streak of consecutive days not reaching 70 in NYC is now 156?

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Elevated convection potential out ahead of the cold front with possible wind gusts in excess of

40 mph around and after the time of frontal passage later tonight into tomorrow. We could

see a wind advisory if the stronger LLJ lags the front by a few hours with CAA and steeping

low level lapse rates.

 

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Elevated convection potential out ahead of the cold front with possible wind gusts in excess of

40 mph around and after the time of frontal passage later tonight into tomorrow. We could

see a wind advisory if the stronger LLJ lags the front by a few hours with CAA and steeping

low level lapse rates.

Looks like Albany and Boston have both posted wind advisories for tomorrow, highlighting the potential for 50 mph gusts.

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I can't say I like this weather too much but at least it's not summer with 92% humidity so it could be worse. I wish I lived in a drier environment I guess but humidity doesn't bother me when it's below freezing! It's usually drier than cause there isn't a transition between the precipitation, aka snow. I wish I lived in like Calgary, Canada during the summer and lived in Lake Tahoe region during winter but even there it's been so dry! Valdez, AK is too cold for me during winter, wouldn't mind the snow though

Current obs. 4b229831965f9e5ca767711c6842986b.jpg

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Third April in a row for NYC with a record high minimum. But we couldn't close the deal

on a high above 70 yesterday  like we did 4/14/14 when it was 75/59 and 4/10/13 at 74/55.

NYC could only top out at 67 and 64 the last two days.

 

4/10 55 in 2013

4/14 59 in 2014

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yesterdays minimum in Central Park was 59 tying the record high minimum set in 1892...

 

 

Seems like a rather low record high minimum for this time of year. Checking the records, we've seen record high minima in the mid/upper 50s even in early January. It appears they got lucky with a rather low record to beat. April 2nd and 4th's record high minima are in the 60s.

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