cyclone77 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 For this season I'm keeping track of every severe event that skips over the DVN cwa so we can look back at how many times it happens. Seems like every season the eastern Plains/western MW cash in on severe, while we get sloppy seconds in the DVN cwa, and then areas to the east like eastern IL and IN cash in on severe potential. I've set the over/under at 10. I'm guessing we easily break 10, much like in previous years. This early April event is event number 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 My house hit 72 today. It was another perfect day with blue skies and a TON of sunshine. Hoping for more of the same tomorrow so that we can get some nice boomers tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 For this season I'm keeping track of every severe event that skips over the DVN cwa so we can look back at how many times it happens. Seems like every season the eastern Plains/western MW cash in on severe, while we get sloppy seconds in the DVN cwa, and then areas to the east like eastern IL and IN cash in on severe potential. I've set the over/under at 10. I'm guessing we easily break 10, much like in previous years. This early April event is event number 1. always sucks to get stuck in a bad timing cycle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 some decent shower activity...enough to keep hoosier's drought at bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Windows open all night in the bedroom....thundery start to the day...rain and thunder for the last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 SPC still has svr risk for the southern half of IN and enhanced for southern IL and the Ozarks. What we get IMBY strongly depends on how much sun we get today and advection of much more favorable dews than we currently have here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 The shield of rain almost completely fizzled before reaching eastern Iowa. I only picked up 0.09" and many other places got less. We've been fortunate to get more mild/warm days than many others in the subforum, but boy it sure has been a sleepy pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 .21 of precip here... GFS was a little high on precip amts for most of the runs i looked at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 90 percent sure I heard a rumble of thunder this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Yesterday's high of 84 was the highest temp this early in the year on record at MSP. Some snow in the forecast for this weekend and early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 This is the first real warm day since November, and it feels incredible. Windows are open, birds are chirping, nice breeze coming through my house, ahh, so good! I actually forgot what warmth felt like. I hope a true pattern change can happen soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 This is the first real warm day since November, and it feels incredible. Windows are open, birds are chirping, nice breeze coming through my house, ahh, so good! I actually forgot what warmth felt like. I hope a true pattern change can happen soon. Don't look at the 12z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Had some solid boomers this morning. Yesterday was great. Very warm and somehow shot a 76 on the golf course with those winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Don't look at the 12z NAM. Oh man, I really don't think that happens. Even if it does a pattern change is coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Man, April 2003 ice storm redux on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 First thunderstorm this morning since last October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 First t storm of the season here in the Indy metro area. Spring has sprung. Helped raise our dewpoint up to 55 at present from low 30's early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 This is the first real warm day since November, and it feels incredible. Windows are open, birds are chirping, nice breeze coming through my house, ahh, so good! I actually forgot what warmth felt like. I hope a true pattern change can happen soon. Oh man, I really don't think that happens. Even if it does a pattern change is coming soon. Man, April 2003 ice storm redux on the 12z GFS. I saw that. Next week looks ugly weatherwise. Still, JB has been going on about a pattern change around the 10th for about a month now. Fingers crossed that he is right as I'm tired of the cold now and want it to go away until November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Had some solid boomers this morning. Yesterday was great. Very warm and somehow shot a 76 on the golf course with those winds. Nice! Wind was carrying shots towards my house yesterday. Heard at least two thumps as my house got hit by a stray shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 [confetti]Hit 60 for the first time in 2015.[/confetti] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Huge bust on temperatures here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Huge bust on temperatures here today Yeah, by the way you probably did hear thunder earlier, the morning shift here carried a thunderstorm for about 40 minutes around 10AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2015 Author Share Posted April 2, 2015 Mid 60s now, but not tomorrow... Caught this from the latest LOT discussion. LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST WILL DIG SOUTH ACROSS THE REGIONON FRIDAY AND AS THIS OCCURS...SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL STREAMOVERHEAD OUT AHEAD OF IT. PRECIP TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WILLBLOSSOM AND SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAYMORNING. OVERALL CONDITIONS IN THE MORNING WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OFALL RAIN AS THIS PRECIP MOVES INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS. SIMILARTHOUGHTS CONTINUE WITH REGARD TO THE THERMAL PROFILE COOLING ASPERSISTENT CAA OCCURS ON FRIDAY...BUT WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER NOTQUITE SUPPORTIVE OF A TRANSITION OVER TO A WINTRY MIX.HOWEVER...AM MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FORCING OWINGTO A STRONG AREA OF FRONTOGENESIS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE THROUGH THECWA ON FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THIS PLACEMENT VARIES FROM MODEL TOMODEL...THE SIGNAL IS PRESENT FROM MOST GUIDANCE. THIS STRONGERFORCING ALONG WITH STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY ALOFTTO LIKELY BE IN PLACE ON FRIDAY...AM CONCERNED THAT ENTIRE COLUMNWILL BE DYNAMICALLY COOLED TO SUPPORT EITHER A RAIN SNOW MIX OREVEN A PERIOD OF ALL SNOW BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SO HAVE INCLUDED ARAIN SNOW MIX ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY MIDDAY FRIDAY IN THEGRIDS...AND THEN A PERIOD OF ALL SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON FOR THEREMAINING CWA. NOT OVERLY CONFIDENT ON EXACT PLACEMENT AND TRENDSBUT HAVE GROWING CONFIDENCE OF SOME LOCATIONS OBSERVING AT LEAST ARAIN SNOW MIX. DONT HAVE ANY ACCUMULATION IN THE GRIDS AS I WOULDTHINK THAT IT WOULD BE FAIRLY DIFFICULT TO ACCUMULATE DURING THEDAY AND AT THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. HOWEVER...WILL NEED TO CONTINUETHIS PERIOD AND IF TRENDS WERE TO CONTINUE TOWARDS GREATERCONFIDENCE OF A PERIOD OF ALL SNOW FRIDAY...THEN I WOULD ALSO BECONCERNED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY SNOW AND SOME MINORACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES.RODRIGUEZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Heard a few faint rumbles very early this morning. Only picked up 0.09" of rain, but at least it thundered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 made it up to 56 here locally. only 2 days above freezing during the next 7... hard pill to swallow after today. snow pack took a heavy hit.. snow depth now 22". creeks and rivers are really rushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 We only picked up 0.17" of rain today. We have only had one decent precipitation even this year, and that was 1.08"...which was 16.5" of powder melted down Thought this was a cool pic, taken just after sunrise yesterday. The morning fog left a frosty landscape before temps quickly rose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 Made it to 66° here today with 0.11" of rain. Bo - probably safe to say you're going to have snow cover for a few weeks yet. Especially with you being in the shadier woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ovweather Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 6 inches of rain at my house since yesterday. Major flash-flooding ongoing in Louisville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ovweather Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Media reporting 28 different water rescues. I-65 closed near downtown due to flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Media reporting 28 different water rescues. I-65 closed near downtown due to flooding. Not good, especially since you may see another inch or two of rain today, not to mention a slight severe threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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