Geos Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 A new month is almost upon us. What might April bring this year. Probably can bet on a volatile pattern with temperatures for a few weeks. First day of April looks mild, especially the further west you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 The CFS has been indicating much of the US with warmer than average conditions (except the Northeast) on its recent runs. Hoping it's on the right track. Even average temps in April wouldn't be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Easter weekend looks potentially interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornasunder71 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I'm ready for severe weather season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 The final CFS prog for April. The last couple runs have trended toward cooler conditions in parts of the west while maintaining a large area of warmth elsewhere. This look would be a substantial difference from what we've seen lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 12z GFS progs from 90-108 would be a genuine snowstorm in February. In April, however, 2m temps are going to be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 liking the warmth showing up for the middle of the country on the 12z GFS by next Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 The final CFS prog for April. The last couple runs have trended toward cooler conditions in parts of the west while maintaining a large area of warmth elsewhere. This look would be a substantial difference from what we've seen lately. CFSv2_NaT2m_20150331_201504.gif Nice. Maybe I can catch some early season R-O-F action that usually seems to miss me to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 I'm kind of getting excited about the friday night snow chances. If this were to continue trending north and stronger a bit more it could be a nice 6"+ storm here. I love how juicy storms get in early spring with the warmer temps and higher dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro and GFS both want to hammer my area Friday,,, I could take it or leave it. I'd rather it be 75F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 euro april 78.png euro april 84.png euro april snow.png suicidebooth.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 suicidebooth.gif That would be for me if yet another spring snowstorm misses to the south lol. No reason to complain about snow that will melt right away when the alternative is still cold and miserable but gray grass instead of white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Euro and GFS both want to hammer my area Friday,,, I could take it or leave it. I'd rather it be 75F. With it being almost 70 on Thursday, yeah I would leave it at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 12z Euro has 0.4"+ of frozen QPF for YYZ. Some tasty GEFS members as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 12z Euro has 0.4"+ of frozen QPF for YYZ. Some tasty GEFS members as well. YYZ has not officially recorded a 2"+ snowfall in April since 2005. We're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 euro april 78.png euro april 84.png euro april snow.png Seems like pretty good model agreement on this system occurring with some differences in location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Seems like pretty good model agreement on this system occurring with some differences in location. Yeah the NAM continues to be south and the 0z GFS is south of the most bullish run of the GFS which was the 12z run today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Have to go with seasonal trends (with maybe the exception of GHD 2, we have yet to see a set up like the 12z EURO shows this season) and lean towards a less amplified/suppressed solution with Friday's wave, First off, Thursday's convection will likely force the baroclinic zone further SE than the models are progging right now. Second, the trailing shortwave fails to close off and dig enough to support much cold sector precip and a non-progressive solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Going to be a fun day around here...850mb temps support upper 70's to near 80 and SW winds will likely gust close to 40 mph this afternoon. April Fools Day from the RAP.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 ^^ nice! Thanks for posting that Brewers. Was going to just look up the sounding. Rock and roll this afternoon. I'm ready. All of the ice on the lake melted yesterday. 14" melted in about 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Very warm today but typhoon winds... that is the only issue i have with warm spring days...wind. Dust bowl. Oh well.. Could be snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 <looking at Naefs, GFS...sure looks like after the slight cooldown this weekend, we really go into spring mode... very nice. Should start greening up hardcore next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2015 Author Share Posted April 1, 2015 Today is going to be a pretty nice day but SE winds are going to keep things from getting too mild. Still haven't seen any major greening of the lawns yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 72 on the backyard thermometer. Winds really kicking in now. Feels like late spring. There's that feeling in the air like storms are coming. Man I've missed that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2015 Author Share Posted April 1, 2015 Hanging between 45-52° near the lake. I see ORD's wind direction managed to turn southerly and now is up to 66°. Probably going to hit 80° soon out by Cyclone and Hawkeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Loads of lightning in the storms firing just north of the TC. Good energy being primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 bad timing with this one for mby, dying showers and a re-fire to my south next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 We have already soared into the upper 70s, so 80+ is a lock. As always, nws and locals are still playing catch-up on a strong warm advection day. They forecasted upper 60s to low 70s for a while and then yesterday upped the high to mid to upper 70s, but they'll still be too low. I'm not sure why more local mets don't just go high with the temp earlier. Days like this (which the models locked in on days ago) ALWAYS overperform, sometimes by a lot. There was talk of wind rising to 30+ sustained and 40+ in gusts, but so far it's only breezy. I originally posted in the March thread. I forgot it was April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 That warm air sure looks nice down in the s part of the sub! Temp up to 37 with a se wind off superior.... should see rising temps tonight with a chance of rain and in the 50's tomorrow, then back to cold. Snow pack is stubborn, down to 28-30" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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