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First Thunderstorm Chance of 2015


IsentropicLift

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Models are indicating the possibility of some thunderstorms today. While nothing should come close to reaching severe limits, we will have some factors working in our favor. Heavy downpours and small hail will be possible given decent mid-level lapse rates.

 

laps.gif?1427381960058

 

While SBCAPE is lacking, we do have some MUCAPE to work with

 

mucp.gif?1427382007227

 

 

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
240 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

NYZ078>081-261930-
SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHWEST
SUFFOLK-
240 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SUFFOLK COUNTY...

AT 238 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER GILGO-OAK
BEACH-CAPTREE...OR NEAR BABYLON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... GREAT RIVER...NORTH GREAT RIVER AND FIRE
ISLAND AROUND 245 PM EDT.

RONKONKOMA...HAUPPAUGE...SAYVILLE...HOLBROOK AND DAVIS PARK AROUND
250 PM EDT.

PATCHOGUE...MEDFORD...GORDON HEIGHTS AND FARMINGVILLE
AROUND 255 PM EDT.

SHIRLEY...CENTER MORICHES...MIDDLE ISLAND...BROOKHAVEN NATIONAL
LABORATORY...MASTIC...YAPHANK...MORICHES AND MASTIC BEACH AROUND 300
PM EDT.

MANORVILLE...WESTHAMPTON...WADING RIVER...EASTPORT AND EAST
SHOREHAM AROUND 305 PM EDT.

RIVERHEAD...NORTHAMPTON...CALVERTON AND BAITING HOLLOW AROUND 310 PM
EDT. MATTITUCK...PECONIC AND NEW SUFFOLK AROUND 320 PM EDT.

SOUTHOLD...SAG HARBOR...SHELTER ISLAND...GREENPORT...SHELTER ISLAND
HEIGHTS...GREENPORT WEST...NOYACK...NORTHWEST HARBOR AND WAINSCOTT
AROUND 325 PM EDT.


 
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