Indystorm Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 .A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR SCOTT COUNTY... AT 735 PM CDT...A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF DAVENPORT MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BETTENDORF...ELDRIDGE AND LONG GROVE AROUND 745 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. PEOPLE ATTENDING RIVER BANDITS BASEBALL SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Two tor warned cells south of St, Louis look concerning and it seems like cells are becoming more organized from earlier in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Ended up chasing a weak sup northwest of Clinton Iowa earlier this afternoon. Shot time lapse of it's approach, and then followed it north towards Thomson IL until it went into the colder air and became elevated. Went after a weaker cell east of the QC after that, but it didn't do very well. The stuff coming in from the west looked messy, and even when it went tor warned I didn't go after it. Looks like there may have been a rain-wrapped tor south of the Illinois City area. Showed up nicely on CC as well. Here's a shot from the Clinton sup approaching. Time lapse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 25, 2015 Author Share Posted May 25, 2015 Today could be a little sleeper setup over eastern/southeastern Iowa, western IL, and northeast MO. Mid-level lapse rates are terrible, since the corridor of heavy rains over the Plains last night pretty much took care of those. However, ground scraping LCLs, decent wind profiles, and modest cape forming in some clear spots could be enough to make for some interesting storms. Vis sat shows the eastern half of MO up into southeast IA with some clearing. On a day like this we probably won't need too much cape. SPC doesn't have much of this area in any tor risk atm, but I'm thinking there's some potential later this afternoon. Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Ran with with our little elevated cell from roughly Belvidere to Capron. Just a fun ride on a few open country roads. Came across two seperate bridges that were closed and being rebuilt. If things were legit it would have been a pain but we stayed even, and got ahead of southern end just the same. Almost reminded me of a November 2009 track where we witnessed a touchdown from west of Harvard. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 New day 1 has slight risk for southwest quarter of IA and new day 2 has a slight risk for southern two-thirds of IN, southwest quarter of OH and most of KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 26, 2015 Author Share Posted May 26, 2015 EF2 in IL yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 EF2 in IL yesterday. Wow, a strong tornado. Paul Brooks did a hell of a job and captured it on video. No small feat considering the tornado was completely rain-wrapped. You'd have had to have been inside the bears cage to have seen it like he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Pretty big changes on the new day 1 from the previous day 2. Previous day 2 had a slight risk for sw OH and most of KY southward. New day 1 has a slight risk for all of IN/OH,most of MI except the UP,se WI and ne IL. DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKNWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1252 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015VALID 261200Z - 271200Z...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREATLAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY......THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENINGACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS.......THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SURROUNDING AREAS OF THEGREAT LAKES...OHIO VALLEY AND PLAINS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THEGULF COAST REGION......SUMMARY...SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREATLAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY. ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLELATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRALPLAINS....SYNOPSIS...MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT MID/UPPER FLOW MAY TREND A BIT MORE ZONALACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. DURING THIS PERIOD. THE SUBTROPICAL HIGHCENTERED NEAR THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST MAY WEAKEN SOME...BUT A RIDGEAXIS EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD INTO AREAS JUST EAST OF SOUTHERN NEWENGLAND COAST IS EXPECTED TO HOLD FIRM. AT THE SAME TIME RIDGING ISEXPECTED TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THESUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC. WHILE A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ON THENORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS LATTER FEATURE APPROACHES BAJA...SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERNROCKIES AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORT WAVE IMPULSENOW PIVOTING NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS.THIS LEAD IMPULSE APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF MERGING WITH THEREMNANTS OF A MID-LEVEL LOW...WITHIN A BELT OF WESTERLIES TO THENORTH...NOW SHIFTING EAST NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTH CENTRALPLAINS...AHEAD OF ANOTHER BROAD LOW DIGGING INTO THE NORTHERNINTERMOUNTAIN REGION. AS THIS CONTINUES...THE CONSOLIDATING IMPULSEIS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKESREGION...WHERE AT LEAST MODEST DEEPENING OF A SURFACE CYCLONEAPPEARS POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.A TRAILING SURFACE FRONT MAY ADVANCE SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THEUPPER MIDWEST...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS BY LATETONIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT MAY NOT BE PARTICULARLYWELL-DEFINED...DUE TO CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVELY PROCESSED AIR TO ITSSOUTHEAST. PERHAPS MOST PROMINENT IS THE CONGLOMERATE SURFACE COLDPOOL ACCOMPANYING THE EXTENSIVE WEAKENING SQUALL LINE NOW ADVANCINGTHROUGH THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.ALTHOUGH A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE AROUND THE EASTERNPERIPHERY OF WESTERN ATLANTIC/SOUTHEASTERN U.S. SURFACERIDGING...MOISTURE ADVECTION OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO MAY BEDISRUPTED...AND THE STABILIZING INFLUENCE OF THIS AIR MASS ON MUCHOF THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MAY BECONSIDERABLE THROUGH THIS PERIOD....GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGION...ALTHOUGH SUBSTANTIVE STEEPENING OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES APPEARSUNLIKELY...DAYTIME HEATING OF A MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER /AHEAD OFTHE AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE WARMSECTOR OF THE DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE/ PROBABLY WILL BE SUFFICIENTTO SUPPORT WEAK TO MODEST MIXED LAYER CAPE BY THIS AFTERNOON. THISINSTABILITY...COINCIDENT WITH STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHERLY TOSOUTHWESTERLY LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS TO 30-50 KT...ISEXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A MIXTURE OF ORGANIZEDCONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS WIDELY SCATTERED DISCRETESUPERCELLS. STRONGEST ACTIVITY MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATEDTORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AS ITSPREADS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON ANDEARLY EVENING HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Gravity waves over southern Michigan right now. Atmosphere is pretty ripe around Gaylord as well and it looks like a Tornado Watch may go up for the region Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Looks like a watch coming soon for E IN/W OH. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0784NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1224 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015AREAS AFFECTED...SRN UPPER GREAT LAKES/MID OH VALLEY VICINITYCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLEVALID 261724Z - 261930ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENTSUMMARY...RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAILCONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS A BROAD PORTION OF THEMIDWEST. WW MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.DISCUSSION...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS BROKEN CLOUD COVER FROMSRN LOWER MI SWD ACROSS OH AND PORTIONS OF INDIANA INTO KY. GIVENTHE RELATIVELY MOIST /MID 60S DEWPOINTS/ BOUNDARY LAYER INPLACE...HEATING THROUGH THE CLOUD BREAKS IS ALLOWING THE AIRMASS TOGRADUALLY DESTABILIZE...WITH 500 TO 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE NOWINDICATED DESPITE THE RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT.AS THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM SHIFTS NEWD TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKESREGION...A BROAD BELT OF ENHANCED /AROUND 50 KT/ MID LEVEL SSWLYSARE CURRENTLY OBSERVED ACROSS THIS REGION. WHILE FLOW IS RELATIVELYUNIDIRECTIONAL WITH HEIGHT...SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZEDUPDRAFTS. THUS -- EXPECT SOME RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ANDPOSSIBLY MARGINAL HAIL TO EVOLVE AS STORMS INCREASE IN INTENSITY INCONJUNCTION WITH CONTINUED AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION. RISK MAYWARRANT WW ISSUANCE WITH IN THE NEXT HOUR...GOSS/MEAD.. 05/26/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Gravity waves over southern Michigan right now. Atmosphere is pretty ripe around Gaylord as well and it looks like a Tornado Watch may go up for the region Sent from my iPhone Blue or orange outlines from the SPC typically (though there are exceptions) implies that a severe thunderstorm watch may be issued, while a red outline implies a tornado watch will be issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Gravity waves over southern Michigan right now. Atmosphere is pretty ripe around Gaylord as well and it looks like a Tornado Watch may go up for the region Sent from my iPhone Blue or orange outlines from the SPC typically (though there are exceptions) imply that a severe thunderstorm watch may be issued, while a red outline implies a tornado watch will be issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 New t-storm watch for E IN/W OH until 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Blue or orange outlines from the SPC typically (though there are exceptions) imply that a severe thunderstorm watch may be issued, while a red outline implies a tornado watch will be issued. I know but they talked about a tornado threat so it may just go to that Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 New t-storm watch for E IN/W OH until 10pm. Here it is. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 220 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 225 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN INDIANA EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WESTERN OHIO * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CINCINNATI OHIO TO 70 MILES NORTH OF FORT WAYNE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030. ...MEAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The G Man Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 My weather radio just gave me an alert a few moments ago: SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 221NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK300 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 221 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDTFOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONSMIC001-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-025-035-037-039-045-049-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-099-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-155-157-159-161-163-165-270200-/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0221.150526T1900Z-150527T0200Z/MI. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED AREALCONA ALLEGAN ALPENAANTRIM ARENAC BARRYBAY BENZIE CALHOUNCLARE CLINTON CRAWFORDEATON GENESEE GLADWINGRAND TRAVERSE GRATIOT HURONINGHAM IONIA IOSCOISABELLA JACKSON KALAMAZOOKALKASKA KENT LAKELAPEER LEELANAU LENAWEELIVINGSTON MACOMB MANISTEEMASON MECOSTA MIDLANDMISSAUKEE MONROE MONTCALMMONTMORENCY MUSKEGON NEWAYGOOAKLAND OCEANA OGEMAWOSCEOLA OSCODA OTSEGOOTTAWA ROSCOMMON SAGINAWSANILAC SHIAWASSEE ST. CLAIRTUSCOLA VAN BUREN WASHTENAWWAYNE WEXFORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 I see the SPC just popped a tstorm watch for most of MI. Nice to actually have some partial sunshine today and some CAPE. Potential gusts to 70mph sounds fun anyways URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 221 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 300 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN LAKE ERIE LAKE HURON * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 The line of tstorms just SW of grand rapids seems to be intensifying faster than most models have said they would all day, already some 40kft + echotops going on, might get interesting here in a couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Starting to look very interesting for all of Lower Michigan as storms line up from the western part of the state all the way down to KY, moving northeast.I'm feeling optimistic we'll at least get some heavy downpours, which I welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Just had a storm with no thunder and lightning but had torrential rain and 50mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Decent winds on the line thats coming through. I estimate 40-45 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 possible damaging winds in NW Ohio, Van Wert, Lima, Sidney, area may have 40-60mph wind gusts with this line of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Looks like the 12z 4km NAM did an ok job for my area today, was predicting the few small cells in front of the main line, one of which it says was headed to MBY and it will be close, looks like it underdid the main line though, fun times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Going to head out in a bit. Storms are racing across NW Ohio right now and winds have really picked up as well. Might get a little dicey across the area here Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 haha 12z 4km NAM totally nailed it for my area, the cell in front of the main line it said was coming is right over me right now with torrential rain and a few thunders, hope the main line is more exciting in 30mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 possible damaging winds in NW Ohio, Van Wert, Lima, Sidney, area may have 40-60mph wind gusts with this line of storms. Took a direct hit from this line in Columbus Grove. Thin but photogenic shelf cloud followed by 50-55mph wind gusts and heavy rains. Leading edge winds kicked up some heavy dust due to lack of rain, and there are small branches down all over town. Pretty intense lightning on the rear end as well. Further to my SW, Delphos saw 60+mph gusts and some heavy tree damage. Photos later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Shelf as it moved across the field Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Sounds like a brief tornado touched down a couple of miles south of me. Quite a bit of damage done. At least a dozen cars damaged as well as several buildings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 26, 2015 Share Posted May 26, 2015 Getting reports of 1.5" hail here in Ottawa County Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.