stormtrackertf Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Had another solid cell pass through here at the airport, this one had a bit more wind than the last one did. If that convection from Jackson to Fort Wayne holds together, maybe we can pull off a trifecta for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Some impressive damage from that first line in west Ohio. A roof was ripped off, numerous power lines are down and a semi was blown over. Today packed a bit of a punch Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 WBNS reported a "possible tornado" near New Albany, Ohio. This area is mainly warehouses, with two major corporate headquarters complexes nearby (Abercrombie & Fitch, as well as Bob Evans Farms) and interspersed fields, forests, and a few houses.Direct link to video.itself (I wonder if this was really a tornado?) Here is an link to the area shown in the video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 WBNS reported a "possible tornado" near New Albany, Ohio. This area is mainly warehouses, with two major corporate headquarters complexes nearby (Abercrombie & Fitch, as well as Bob Evans Farms) and interspersed fields, forests, and a few houses. Direct link to video.itself (I wonder if this was really a tornado?) Here is an link to the area shown in the video The TCMH radar scans that area at a fairly low height every minute and all I saw by the time the storm hit Pataskala was straight line winds on radar. The video looks like dust getting kicked up by a gust front (it had been dry there until today). I may be wrong but I don't think that was a tornado. We'll see if ILN surveys or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 The TCMH radar scans that area at a fairly low height every minute and all I saw by the time the storm hit Pataskala was straight line winds on radar. The video looks like dust getting kicked up by a gust front (it had been dry there until today). I may be wrong but I don't think that was a tornado. We'll see if ILN surveys or not. Yeah this was my first impression too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 D6 highlights part of the subforum for slight risk...as always, dependent on timing and left over convection. Personally, i give a gentle nod to a better shot at some severe compared to the last weekend up our way. Although parts of the OV faired decently yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 New day 2 for tomorrow is a little more interesting for the southern subforum. SPC extended the marginal risk east to cover most of IL/IN/OH and extreme southern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 The following is very conditional for Sunday in northern Illinois. Though the surface low is much farther north, some of the upper features are not too different from April 9. What lacks upstairs we gain from thermodynamics in May. We absolutely need an OFB to lock in over Illinois; otherwise, WF surges to Green Bay. Current model trends today have a minor piece of upper energy hanging back Saturday night in Kansas, tracking toward Illinois Sunday. 850/925 winds are now better in Illinois than previous progs. While 850 is stronger north of Chicago, 925 and surface progs hint OFB wind / isobar kink in northern Illinois. Thermal gradient is also forecast, but these are just models 60 hours out. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted May 14, 2015 Share Posted May 14, 2015 The following is very conditional for Sunday in northern Illinois. Though the surface low is much farther north, some of the upper features are not too different from April 9. What lacks upstairs we gain from thermodynamics in May. We absolutely need an OFB to lock in over Illinois; otherwise, WF surges to Green Bay. Current model trends today have a minor piece of upper energy hanging back Saturday night in Kansas, tracking toward Illinois Sunday. 850/925 winds are now better in Illinois than previous progs. While 850 is stronger north of Chicago, 925 and surface progs hint OFB wind / isobar kink in northern Illinois. Thermal gradient is also forecast, but these are just models 60 hours out. Time will tell. Good post. Definitely getting more concerned about Sunday. You can see impact of potential OFB on surface winds on 12z Euro over northern IL, with pronounced backing fro SSW to SSE between 18z and 00z. At the same time, Euro is showing 60 H5 jet punching in from west central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 Decent looking setup in IA/vicinity on the GFS for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulie21 Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Decent looking setup in IA/vicinity on the GFS for Monday. Been eye-ing that a bit as well. Still a way out but I'd imagine the GFS might not be backing the low levels as much as it should (at least seems like that's been its bias lately) so we'll see once it gets into the time-frame of the NAM. FWIW 00Z GFS has EHI values nearing 5 in SE IA/NE MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Who wants to come chasing at midnight Monday night? Midnight wedges ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Who wants to come chasing at midnight Monday night? Midnight wedges ftw. Holiday. I'm game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Who wants to come chasing at midnight Monday night? Midnight wedges ftw. ME!!! I'm off Sun-Tues and I have a Met buddy that wants to go chasing with me soon. I'm a chasing newby, teach me the ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Too bad it's at night Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kystormspotter Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 For entertainment purposes. Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois tri-state sounding. 02z NAM F074 I know the wind profile isn't the best but the 21.3 Supercell jumped at me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 New day 3 has a slight risk for se IL, southern half maybe two-thirds of IN, west-central and sw OH and most of KY. DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 VALID 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE LOWER/MIDDLE MS VALLEY TO OH/TN VALLEYS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE APPALACHIANS VICINITY... ..SUMMARY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MIDWEST ON TUESDAY. OTHER POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS. ..LOWER/MIDDLE MS VALLEY TO OH/TN VALLEYS IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT ONGOING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A FACTOR ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH REGION AND PORTIONS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH DESTABILIZATION/RELATED SEVERE RISK EXPECTED TO THE EAST OF THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY. WHILE THERE IS GUIDANCE VARIABILITY...THERE IS GENERAL CONSENSUS THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND RELATED MID/UPPER JET WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE MIDWEST DURING THE PERIOD WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AS STORMS INCREASE/INTENSIFY INTO THE AFTERNOON...AT LEAST WEAK TO MODERATE BUOYANCY AND A RELATIVELY STRONG WIND FIELD /PARTICULARLY TN VALLEY NORTHWARD/ COULD SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM MODES WITH DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Today could be a little sleeper setup over eastern/southeastern Iowa, western IL, and northeast MO. Mid-level lapse rates are terrible, since the corridor of heavy rains over the Plains last night pretty much took care of those. However, ground scraping LCLs, decent wind profiles, and modest cape forming in some clear spots could be enough to make for some interesting storms. Vis sat shows the eastern half of MO up into southeast IA with some clearing. On a day like this we probably won't need too much cape. SPC doesn't have much of this area in any tor risk atm, but I'm thinking there's some potential later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Severe weather today seems like it would be confined in the southern part of IL today. Can see that clearing pocket in west-central right now, but with more clouds back further west. Definitely not thunderstorm weather in northern IL with stratus and RN-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Watch coming for MO soon. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0740NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1254 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN MOCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELYVALID 241754Z - 241930ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENTSUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY DURINGTHE AFTERNOON WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. ATORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 1830Z.DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ALONG THE NRN PORTIONOF A QLCS ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL MO...WITH A PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVELCIRCULATION EVIDENT OVER ERN HENRY COUNTY. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATIONOF THIS LINE IS EXPECTED...IN PART ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE-SCALEASCENT FROM A CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED VORT MAX LIFTING NEWD OVER THEDISCUSSION AREA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS MODEST...0-1 KM SRH INTHE RANGE OF 100 TO 200 M2/S2 WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED RISK FORQLCS CIRCULATIONS. BOWING SEGMENTS MAY ALSO POSE A RISK FORDAMAGING GUSTS.A WW IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 1830Z...BUNTING/GOSS.. 05/24/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Still think southeast IA and western IL is underrated. Wind profiles are solid below H5, and cape is increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Watch coming for MO soon. And there it is. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 203 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 120 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI...WHILE ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF ARKANSAS AND ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU. RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THESE INTENSIFYING STORMS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Still think southeast IA and western IL is underrated. Wind profiles are solid below H5, and cape is increasing. Nice call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK530 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OFEASTERN IOWAWESTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHERN ILLINOISFAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 530 PMUNTIL 100 AM CDT.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLESCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLEISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLESUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUSTAINED STORMSAND SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCHAREA THOUGH LATE EVENING...POSING A RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL...LOCALLYDAMAGING WIND...AND TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 24, 2015 Share Posted May 24, 2015 Those central and northern IL storms are moving into an area of enhanced helicity along the warm front but lapse rates are fairly poor as is typical with this somewhat tropical system as JoMo mentioned in the Central thread. Unusual situation to be sure in this neck of the woods with relatively small cells having the opportunity to turn tornadic on occasion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 704 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... ROCK ISLAND COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT * AT 702 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF ILLINOIS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... HAMLET AROUND 710 PM CDT. ANDALUSIA...REYNOLDS AND TAYLOR RIDGE AROUND 715 PM CDT. BUFFALO AROUND 720 PM CDT. MILAN AND OAK GROVE AROUND 725 PM CDT. MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...EAST MOLINE...SILVIS...COAL VALLEY AND RIVERDALE AROUND 730 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 718 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA... * UNTIL 745 PM CDT * AT 717 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MONTPELIER... OR 10 MILES WEST OF ROCK ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... WALCOTT AROUND 730 PM CDT. ROCK ISLAND AROUND 735 PM CDT. DAVENPORT AROUND 740 PM CDT. BETTENDORF...ELDRIDGE AND LONG GROVE AROUND 745 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Just wrapped up a dinner excursion in Union at railway museum. Making a play on little Belvidere cell for the heck of it. Nice backlit base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Hopefully Joel's on those warned cells and can grab some shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 25, 2015 Share Posted May 25, 2015 Hopefully Joel's on those warned cells and can grab some shots. Hope so, Butch. But came up rather suddenly and with the holiday weekend who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.