Hoosier Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 Like in previous years, a catchall for threats that pop up quickly or are fairly minor, such as the one midweek DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0205 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2015 VALID 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF MO INTO NWRN AR AND ERN OK... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE SLGT RISK FROM SERN OK INTO EXTREME SERN IA/WRN IL... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF MISSOURI INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...MO/AR/OK... STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO NEAR THE MID MO RIVER BY 24/21Z. ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX SHOULD EJECT ACROSS KS INTO NRN MO WITH FLOW EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 100KT AT 500MB BY THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER NRN IL. STRONGEST ASCENT WILL OCCUR WITHIN DIFLUENT FLOW OF EXIT REGION OF THIS SPEED MAX OVER THE MID MS VALLEY. SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION/ELEVATED CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS NEB INTO IA/NRN IL JUST NORTH OF WARM FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ADVANCE NWD AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT ARE NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE BUT GRADUALLY MOISTENING WARM SECTOR SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SFC FRONT/DRY LINE WILL ADVANCE TO THE KS/MO BORDER BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS SFC-BASED CONVECTION PRIOR TO PEAK HEATING. WHILE STRONGEST FORCING WILL BE MAXIMIZED NORTH OF THE WARM SECTOR...LATEST SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGEST A NARROW CORRIDOR OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT WITHIN VEERED BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE MID 70S AND INHIBITION WEAKENS. ANY SUPERCELLS THAT FORM ACROSS THIS REGION SHOULD PROGRESS EAST AT ROUGHLY 35KT. LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY RISKS. ACTIVITY WILL STRUGGLE TO REMAIN ORGANIZED BY 06Z AS LLJ SHIFTS INTO NRN IL/IND. ..DARROW.. 03/22/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 55-60 dews over southern MO with a small area of -6 to -7 lifted index on GFS. Looks like this show at present is from JoMo southeasteard across MO. for the first possible threat of the spring season in our subforum. In the Central forum both Andy and JoMo have mentioned that models are slowing the system down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2015 Author Share Posted March 22, 2015 As mentioned in another thread, if we get past March 23 with no tornadoes this month, that would be a first in the post-1950 era. Also, there's never been a March without tornadoes in that same period of years. Tick tock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 As mentioned in another thread, if we get past March 23 with no tornadoes this month, that would be a first in the post-1950 era. Also, there's never been a March without tornadoes in that same period of years. Tick tock... The former of those I think will happen. The latter, knock on wood, but I think Tuesday and Wednesday have a shot at putting it to rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 As mentioned in another thread, if we get past March 23 with no tornadoes this month, that would be a first in the post-1950 era. Also, there's never been a March without tornadoes in that same period of years. Tick tock... I think the shutout ends either Tuesday or especially Wednesday. Not seeing an outbreak of sorts but both days have a bit of a tornado potential especially Wednesday, southwest of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 I hope this is an end to the boredom... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Hoping for the first thunderstorm of the year on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 29, 2015 Author Share Posted March 29, 2015 Could have a little something on Wednesday, especially in the western areas of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 We will probably end up with a 20 degree dewpoint/temp spread on Wed since I don't think dew points reach the 50's. Winds look like the biggest threat at this time. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 From NWS IND Tues. March 31 a.m. AFD .SHOULD SEEWIDESPREADTHUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. SPC DAY3 SEVERE OUTLOOK WAS BRINGING AMARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TO ALL OF CENTRAL INDIANA. WITH 25KNOT SHEAR FROM 1000-700 MILLIBARS...VEERING WITH HEIGHT...CURVEDHODOGRAPH AND MIXED LAYER CAPE TO AROUND 500 J/KG...WOULD NOT BESURPRISED TO SEE THAT UPGRADED IN LATER OUTLOOKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 A tongue of 55F dew points surge into the TC tomorrow afternoon on the 12z GFS. We should see our first T-storms after a high in the low 70s. Haven't checked the soundings yet for svr potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 A tongue of 55F dew points surge into the TC tomorrow afternoon on the 12z GFS. We should see our first T-storms after a high in the low 70s. Haven't checked the soundings yet for svr potential. There will be wind threat. Storms fire over SC MN and go linear pretty quick. Problem is there will probably only be a few hour window before things weaken. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 New day 1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0102 AM CDT THU APR 02 2015 VALID 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE OZARKS EWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN KS/NERN OK EWD ACROSS THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MO...MID MS AND OH VALLEYS AND INTO THE SERN STATES... ..SUMMARY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED FROM THE OZARKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ..SYNOPSIS A BROAD AREA OF WSWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST ACROSS CONUS WITH TWO MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. ONE WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES WITH SURFACE LOW OVER ONTARIO BUT A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SWD ACROSS LOWER MI...IL AND MO BY LATE AFTERNOON. SRN PORTIONS OF THIS FRONT ARE FORECAST TO STALL AND BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER SRN MO. TO THE W...A SECONDARY TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES DURING THE DAY WITH A SFC LOW DEVELOPING OVER SRN CO BY AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS KS/OK AND INTO SWRN MO/NWRN AR BY 12Z FRI AND INTERACT WITH THE BOUNDARY OVER SRN MO. AHEAD OF THESE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES...DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 60S F WILL SPREAD NWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX WITH 60S AS FAR N AS SRN KS INTO SRN INDIANA. THIS WILL CREATE A LARGE AREA OF INSTABILITY BENEATH AMPLE SHEAR PROFILES WITH SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ..MID MS INTO THE OH VALLEY SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ALONG THE DECELERATING COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW COMPOSITE ACROSS IL AND MO WITH SOME MARGINAL WIND/HAIL THREAT ONGOING. THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS DESTABILIZATION OCCURS TO THE E OVER ACROSS SRN IL...INDIANA...WRN KY AND SERN MO. A REJUVENATION OF STORMS IS LIKELY ALONG THE FRONT/OUTFLOW...AND VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND A FEW BOWING SEGMENTS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. ..FAR SERN KS...NERN OK...SRN MO AND NRN AR OVERNIGHT STRONG INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP DUE TO THE ADVECTION/PRODUCTION OF MID TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS INTO ERN OK...AR...AND SRN MO DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THIS AREA WILL REMAIN CAPPED. HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...AND SOME HIGH BASED AND/OR ELEVATED STORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM OVER KS AND CONTINUE EWD N OF THE SFC LOW. AS THIS ENHANCED AREA OF FORCING INTERACTS WITH THE STALLED FRONT OVER SERN KS/NERN OK/SRN MO...AN ERUPTION OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND STRONG INSTABILITY...AS WELL AS STRENGTHENING AND VEERING SHEAR PROFILES. PARTICULARLY DAMAGING WINDS...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH TORNADO THREAT DEPENDENT MAINLY ON THE STABILITY OF THE SURFACE AIR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 It did produce the 1st warned TOR about 15-some minutes ago, the cell is still looking decent. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO409 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015MOC105-022130-/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150402T2130Z/LACLEDE MO-409 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LACLEDE COUNTY UNTIL 430PM CDT...AT 407 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADOWAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TWIN BRIDGES...AND MOVING EASTAT 35 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.[...cut ...]LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...DRY KNOB...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FORT LEONARD WOOD...FALCON ANDLYNCHBURG.[...cut...]LAT...LON 3749 9228 3749 9241 3750 9251 3751 9254 3754 9256 3757 9257 3759 9259 3763 9259 3765 9258 3766 9256 3768 9251 3768 9241 3767 9231 3764 9225 3750 9225TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 276DEG 30KT 3757 9251TORNADO...RADAR INDICATEDHAIL...1.00IN$$CRAMER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 00z 4 km NAM has some very impressive parameters in KY tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 TOR watch being issued for se IL, southern IN, western KY down into TN until 9 p.m. CDT. Strong tornadoes possible. 70/50 prob for tors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Watch even mentions intense tornadoes possible. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 22NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1215 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS FAR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS SOUTHERN INDIANA WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLETHE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTEMILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONTENNESSEE TO 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY. FOR ACOMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINEUPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FORTORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCHAREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FORTHREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTSAND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.&&DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTHWITH SFC HEATING ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM SEIL INTO NE AR. AIR MASS RECOVERY IN WAKE OF EARLIER MCV ANDCONTINUED INFLOW OF SEASONABLY WARM/MOIST AIR BENEATHFAST...LOW-AMPLITUDE CYCLONIC FLOW EXPECTED TO FOSTER SCTD SUSTAINEDSTORMS/SUPERCELLS GIVEN RELATIVELY MODEST LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE. SETUPCOULD SUPPORT ONE OR TWO STRONGER TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGEHAIL/DMGG WIND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 SPC already has a Day 6 30% threat roughly from Chicago to Texarkana for Thursday:http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/ ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 040858 SPC AC 040858 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0358 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2015 VALID 071200Z - 121200Z ...DISCUSSION... LATEST RUNS OF THE MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS EXHIBIT DECENT AGREEMENT INTO THE DAY 6 /THU. 4-9/ TIME PERIOD...PROJECTING THE WRN U.S. TROUGH TO BECOME PROGRESSIVE AND TRAVERSE THE ROCKIES THROUGH DAY 5 BEFORE SHIFTING INTO THE PLAINS DAY 6. FROM LATE IN THE DAY 6 PERIOD ONWARD...SPREAD IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS INCREASES SUCH THAT LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE PREVAILS DAYS 7 AND 8. SEVERE-WEATHER RISK APPEARS RELATIVELY LOW EARLY IN THE PERIOD -- BUT A GRADUAL RAMP-UP IN RISK EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING THROUGH DAY 6 APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS THE U.S. AS THE WRN TROUGH APPROACHES -- AND EVENTUALLY REACHES -- THE CENTRAL CONUS. THOUGH AIRMASS ACROSS THE OK/ERN KS/MO/AR/N TX VICINITY DURING THE AFTERNOON ON DAY 4 /TUE. 4-7/ WILL LIKELY BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE...WEAK RIDGING PERSISTING ALOFT -- AND ASSOCIATED/WEAK SUBSIDENCE -- SHOULD PERMIT CAPPING AT THE BOTTOM OF THE EML LAYER TO PERSIST IN MOST AREAS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT STORM INITIATION /AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE RISK/ SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY ISOLATED. SLIGHTLY MORE WIDESPREAD STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON ON DAY 5 /WED. 4-8/...AS WEAK HEIGHT FALLS BEGIN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM. WHILE EJECTION OF ANY APPRECIABLE LEAD WAVE IS NOT EVIDENT ATTM...A LESS SUBSIDENT/MORE NEUTRAL BACKGROUND LARGE-SCALE UVV SUGGESTS GREATER POTENTIAL FOR CAP BREACHES/STORM INITIATION -- PRIMARILY ACROSS THE ERN KS/MO/OK VICINITY. WITH STRONG INSTABILITY AND MODERATELY STRONG SHEAR EXPECTED...ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS...AND ASSOCIATED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. WHILE ONGOING CONVECTION OVERNIGHT DAY 5 AND INTO EARLY DAY 6 LIKELY...ASCERTAINING DEGREE AND LOCATION OF SEVERE RISK DAY 6 PRESENTS SOME DIFFICULTY ATTM. WITH THAT SAID...THE ADVANCE OF THE WRN TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED UVV INTO THE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL PERMIT WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE INITIATION -- FOCUSED INVOF THE COLD FRONT FORECAST TO BE ADVANCING ACROSS ERN KS/CENTRAL OK NEAR PEAK HEATING. WITH SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY LIKELY TO BE PRESENT AND A FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...A FAIRLY BROAD AFTERNOON AND EVENING ZONE OF RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES IS EVIDENT -- EXTENDING FROM IL SWWD ACROSS MO/AR INTO SERN KS/ERN OK AND POSSIBLY INTO N CENTRAL/NERN TX. ..GOSS.. 04/04/2015 CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Strong couplet/excellent hook on the discrete TW cell in KY west of Irvine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Severe warned storm NW of Indy has a decent hail core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Boone Co. IN probably gonna need a svr storm warning soon from a rapidly developing cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 State Police announced a T-storm warning for Boone County around the 6 o'clock hour. Just heard a high wind report in Thorntown just now. Had some solid nickel sized hail for quite awhile. A lot more than I expected from the look of the radar. A potent little sucker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Had a nice couple of cells with vivid lightning and heavy rain roll through here this past hour. Svr was nw of me. Expect to have more waves traverse the area over the night hours into tomorrow morning. As the old song goes, I love a rainy night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 State Police announced a T-storm warning for Boone County around the 6 o'clock hour. Just heard a high wind report in Thorntown just now. Had some solid nickel sized hail for quite awhile. A lot more than I expected from the look of the radar. A potent little sucker. That was a somewhat unexpected wicked storm. I was down at Trophy Club GC for golf league (just north of Lebanon). Had a garden variety storm blow through the course with heavy rain and t&l...and then they cancelled. So we drove back north to LAF on 52, and it was kinda scary for a time. 0 visibility and hail raining on my car for about 10 minutes...no damage though. Ended up pulling off the road at the 47 intersection and waited for the worst to pass. Fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 That was a somewhat unexpected wicked storm. I was down at Trophy Club GC for golf league (just north of Lebanon). Had a garden variety storm blow through the course with heavy rain and t&l...and then they cancelled. So we drove back north to LAF on 52, and it was kinda scary for a time. 0 visibility and hail raining on my car for about 10 minutes...no damage though. Ended up pulling off the road at the 47 intersection and waited for the worst to pass. Fun times. Core punched eh? I don't know if I'd want to chase with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Core punched eh? I don't know if I'd want to chase with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 That was a somewhat unexpected wicked storm. I was down at Trophy Club GC for golf league (just north of Lebanon). Had a garden variety storm blow through the course with heavy rain and t&l...and then they cancelled. So we drove back north to LAF on 52, and it was kinda scary for a time. 0 visibility and hail raining on my car for about 10 minutes...no damage though. Ended up pulling off the road at the 47 intersection and waited for the worst to pass. Fun times. Just saw this from around my time of "chase". Sounds about right. 0624 PM HAIL 7 NW LEBANON 40.12N 86.57W 05/04/2015 E1.25 INCH BOONE IN EMERGENCY MNGR AMATUER RADIO REPORTED TO EMA. LOCATED AT SR 47 AND US 52. VISIBILITY WAS NEAR ZERO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 5, 2015 Author Share Posted May 5, 2015 Just saw this from around my time of "chase". Sounds about right. Sounds like you had an experience. Even small hail sounds really loud in the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Sounds like you had an experience. Even small hail sounds really loud in the car. Indeed it does. Nothing quite like the crack of ice balls hitting glass and metal. Just happy no damage to my ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 SPC's D5 15% risk area (Sunday/Mother's Day) does reach as far east as the Bloomington-Decatur US-51 corridor in central Illinois: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/ ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060900 SPC AC 060900 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0400 AM CDT WED MAY 06 2015 VALID 091200Z - 141200Z ...SUNDAY/D5... AS THE SFC LOW LIFTS NEWD TO NR THE NEB/IA BORDER...SVR TSTMS APPEAR POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW INTO ERN OK/N TX...AND NEAR/SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL/NRN IL. A PLUME OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY BE IN PLACE SUPPORTING MODERATE-STRONG BUOYANCY AS HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE AREA. A MIX OF STORM MODES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND LINES/CLUSTERS APPEARS PROBABLE. ...MONDAY/D5 AND BEYOND... UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DURING THIS TIME AS TIMING/LOCATION DIFFERENCES IN SFC AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES RENDERS INSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE TO OUTLINE RISK AREAS...THOUGH SOME SVR POTENTIAL MAY EXIST FROM PORTIONS OF LOWER MI SWD ACROSS THE OH/TN VALLEY REGION...AND POTENTIALLY AS FAR SOUTH AS LWR MS VALLEY. WILL DEFER TO LATER OUTLOOKS FOR POSSIBLE AREAL DELINEATION OF SVR RISK AREAS. ..BUNTING.. 05/06/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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