Met1985 Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 6z GFS has a cold look at day 12: 850: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_288_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=288&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150416+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Dew point: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=04&model_dd=16&model_init_hh=06&fhour=288¶meter=DPTF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false YeP euro has a big trough for much of the east next week. Will be very nice temp wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Full blown flash flood occurring here. My garden is getting washed away along with the 60 yard long gravel driveway up a hill. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Full blown flash flood occurring here. My garden is getting washed away along with the 60 yard long gravel driveway up a hill. Ugh Just up the road, my total is 0.16" for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Of course...now it happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Of course...now it happens! nao_sprd2.gif I'll take a -NAO all summer to keep it cool, then be happy to watch it go positive in Nov. for about 5 months! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 ECMWF announcing plans today to go to ~9 km resolution for their deterministic model and ~18 km for ensembles by early 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 ECMWF announcing plans today to go to ~9 km resolution for their deterministic model and ~18 km for ensembles by early 2016 What is it currently? 15/30ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 RAH not too excited about frost Thursday night but they'll keep monitoring: WINDS WILLDIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH DECOUPLING LIKELY... AND FORECASTSOUNDINGS ARE SUFFICIENTLY DRY FOR CLEAR SKIES AND GOOD RADIATIONALCOOLING. WITH THICKNESSES DROPPING TO UNDER 1325 M OVER MUCH OF THEAREA THU NIGHT... EXPECT CHILLY LOWS FROM 36-42... WITH THESE COOLERREADINGS IN THE RURAL OUTLYING AREAS. LOW DEWPOINTS SHOULD LIMIT THEFORMATION OF FROST... HOWEVER WILL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT THIS INLATER FORECASTS. BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THIS WOULDN`T BE AWIDESPREAD EVENT ANYWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Looks like a wet period starting this weekend and into next week! Cool and wedgy, as well next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 This pattern we are in of rain on the weekends sucks. Not digging the cooler weather, either. It's like a repeat of what we had all winter, but just a little warmer. My daughter is playing t-ball this year and had practice rained out this past Monday, and looks like the same for Saturday. My son is supposed to have baseball practice, too. Also looks like I'll have to cut the grass after work Friday before the rain gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 This pattern we are in of rain on the weekends sucks. Not digging the cooler weather, either. It's like a repeat of what we had all winter, but just a little warmer. My daughter is playing t-ball this year and had practice rained out this past Monday, and looks like the same for Saturday. My son is supposed to have baseball practice, too. Also looks like I'll have to cut the grass after work Friday before the rain gets here. Brick, My son also has T-ball this year through the Wake Forest Parks and Rec. His team is the Reds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 Brick, My son also has T-ball this year through the Wake Forest Parks and Rec. His team is the Reds. Baseball doesn't get any better than T-ball. The batters are as likely to run toward third base as they are first. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 Baseball doesn't get any better than T-ball. The batters are as likely to run toward third base as they are first. Good times.Yep and any hit past the pitcher, will likely turn into a home run !! Have missed three baseball games in a row here, due to rainouts! Tomorrow looks like game on, finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 I love this cool and occasionally wet weather. I hope it extends thru the next couple of weeks. The longer I can keep the AC off, the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Will it snow up top on the hills next werk? Never forget May early 90s coming home for the summer from WCU and driving in tracks across Balsam pass. Snowed like 50 plus inches up on Mount Pisgah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Great write up by Isohomey and the GSP boys this AM! Sounds like a good rain for tomorrow and some possible severe threat , outside of the wedge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 This sucks, the weather is wonderful all week while I work from 7 am to 7:30pm everyday and then its gonna be cool and rain the entire weekend....at least I am not running the a/c or heat hardly so my utility bill will be low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 TWC made one of the stupidest maps I've ever seen regarding temps from May to July.Below average temps across almost the entire eastern part of the country except for GA, SC, and FL. I'm in the above average area while 15 miles to my west in AL is below average. Like 15 miles is going to make a big difference ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 TWC made one of the stupidest maps I've ever seen regarding temps from May to July.Below average temps across almost the entire eastern part of the country except for GA, SC, and FL. I'm in the above average area while 15 miles to my west in AL is below average. Like 15 miles is going to make a big difference ! They can't get the forecast right 2 days out, I wouldn't worry about a 2-3 month forecast. Carrollton is in it's own little bubble anyway. This summers will be avg to below for temps , when all is said and done. Precip above avg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 TWC made one of the stupidest maps I've ever seen regarding temps from May to July.Below average temps across almost the entire eastern part of the country except for GA, SC, and FL. I'm in the above average area while 15 miles to my west in AL is below average. Like 15 miles is going to make a big difference ! What's so weird about that? No matter where they put their line (which doesn't really matter anyway), somebody would be in the below average zone, while 15 miles away someone else would be in the above average zone. There's no conspiracy against Carrolton, GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 What's so weird about that? No matter where they put their line (which doesn't really matter anyway), somebody would be in the below average zone, while 15 miles away someone else would be in the above average zone. There's no conspiracy against Carrolton, GA. I found it odd how the boundary between above normal and below normal was literally the entire GA/AL line, as if the weather follows state boundaries. You would think there would be an area of "normal" in between the above normal and below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 I found it odd how the boundary between above normal and below normal was literally the entire GA/AL line, as if the weather follows state boundaries. You would think there would be an area of "normal" in between the above normal and below normal.It follows I 85, and you can bank on that! Try living in GSP area, many a busted snowstorm S of 85! Last February , prime example! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 I wonder if there is a correlation between how much rain falls in the spring and summer temperatures ? It's been a very wet spring yet they are calling for above normal temps this summer. I would think that with us having such a wet spring, there would be less chances of summer being above normal for temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 I wonder if there is a correlation between how much rain falls in the spring and summer temperatures ? It's been a very wet spring yet they are calling for above normal temps this summer. I would think that with us having such a wet spring, there would be less chances of summer being above normal for temps. Maybe late spring, but it's still pretty early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 Euro and GFS both bring a Miller-A type of system from the Gulf to off the SC coastline from late Tuesday into Wednesday...could be another cool and damp day across a significant portion of the Southeast on Wednesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 At least the weather the next two days and after Thursday looks nice. Hopefully we will break this pattern then and have a long stretch of sunny and warm days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 At least the weather the next two days and after Thursday looks nice. Hopefully we will break this pattern then and have a long stretch of sunny and warm days. But not too warm. No upper 80's or 90's until mid June would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 But not too warm. No upper 80's or 90's until mid June would be nice. No upper 80s or 90s until 2016 would be nice. It was in the low 80s today and it was a bit warm for my liking. I'll be glad when fall gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted April 27, 2015 Share Posted April 27, 2015 6z GFS says first heat wave to occur at day 14 or so: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=04&model_dd=27&model_init_hh=06&fhour=348¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false lets hope this is as unreliable as a cold shot showing at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 27, 2015 Share Posted April 27, 2015 All these springtime Cads are killing our storm chances. I haven't heard thunder since like January. I was at the beach when we had the severe storms earlier in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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