DopplerWx Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 heard that nws was talking snow and i had to pop in. if i can see a few flakes ill consider it a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 RAH took away the dangling carrot... FRIDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CROSSES THE REGION...ACCOMPANIEDBY A FEW SHOWERS. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS OF LIFT/MOISTURE DO DEPICTENOUGH SATURATION IN THE ICE NUCLEATION REGION TO CAUSE SNOW TO FORMALOFT. HOWEVER THE LOWER LAYERS ARE DRYING OUT TO SUCH A DEGREE THATANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL LIKELY MELT AND/OR EVAPORATE BEFOREREACHING THE SURFACE. THUS WILL CONFINE MENTION OF PRECIP TO RAINSHOWERS FOR NOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Looks like tomorrow night is going to feature a pretty severe freeze here. A low of 22 is not for the faint of heart. Nice day today... 44/-RN at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Looks like tomorrow night is going to feature a pretty severe freeze here. A low of 22 is not for the faint of heart. Nice day today... 44/-RN at the moment. I'm actually rooting for this. Those hateful whirling seed pods are just coming out on my maples. They are green and only about a quarter inch long. Every now and then we get a year where they get Barney Fifed(nipped in the bud). 22º at this point might do it. It makes up for the years when I have to get them off of my patio with a snow shovel. The only other thing I have blooming are some daffodils. A couple of hours of 22º won't faze them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 I'm actually rooting for this. Those hateful whirling seed pods are just coming out on my maples. They are green and only about a quarter inch long. Every now and then we get a year where they get Barney Fifed(nipped in the bud). 22º at this point might do it. It makes up for the years when I have to get them off of my patio with a snow shovel. The only other thing I have blooming are some daffodils. A couple of hours of 22º won't faze them. Looks like we're going to get it. 32 as of 11 PM, so mid-20s looks likely now. Apparently, RAH doesn't start Frost/Freeze Warnings in our area until April 5th based on today's AFD, so no advisories/warnings have been posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 20.3 in Colfax this morning. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 20.3 in Colfax this morning. TW Looks like KGSO got down to 24, so RAH was right on the dot. Looks like we were below freezing from 11 PM until after 9 AM and below 30 from around 1:30 AM until 8:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Almost 3" inches below normal for the month and year at GSP ! And March is one of the wettest months! Not a great start to the year, precip wise and where's the niño!? Or it's effects!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 Almost 3" inches below normal for the month and year at GSP ! And March is one of the wettest months! Not a great start to the year, precip wise and where's the niño!? Or it's effects!? Looks like we have some good shots of rain coming up. Some on Thursday but a good slug on Saturday and another round on next Monday. If we get 3 good rain shots in about a week, that will cut into that total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 looking at the 12z GFS, I don't see any freezing temps (especially outside the mountains) for the next couple of weeks. (so) There is a good chance that this past weekend's freeze is the last for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 looking at the 12z GFS, I don't see any freezing temps (especially outside the mountains) for the next couple of weeks. (so) There is a good chance that this past weekend's freeze is the last for the year.Had pretty heavy frost this a.m. Winds died down late just in time. In town though it was a nada. Easy to radiate with these low dps this time of year under right circumstances, espeacilly out away from town. But your probably right in regards to hard freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 was noticing weird looking slug of moisture last few days upstream that shows advancing Friday but disappears Sat. Then I read this in Peachtree City AFD BOTH GFS AND NAM GUIDANCE SUGGESTING LOW END RAIN CHANCES WITH THIS FEATURE LATE SAT AM INTO THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE VERY COLD THERMAL PROFILE ACROSS THE AREA...ANY SATURATION OF THE COLUMN WOULD KEEP TEMPS A GOOD 10 DEGREES BELOW CURRENT FORECAST AS A RESULT OF ANY PRECIP FALLING THROUGH THE LAYER. ITS A GOOD THING WE ARE IN LATE MARCH AFTER LOOKING AT THE GFS SOUNDINGS FOR SATURDAY. So it makes me wonder if we might see some kind of surprise in extreme N. Ga Mtns higher elevations saturday. Right now I'm looking at training thunderstorm coming out of the northwest, one right after the other. I'm used to seeing the lines tilted all the way the other way. For years now they tilt from the southwest to the northeast and only train for an hour or so as they move by, but this train just keeps coming head on. I think that line is so confused it'll have a hard time getting orientated... I'm just getting bombed with rain and thunderstorms hard on each others heels. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Hope TWC is right, almost 3 inches below normal for March, our wettest month, and about same for the year! Dusty around here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Looks like the NAM shows a big hit in a few days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Wrong font choice, James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 326 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...FOR EDGECOMBE...WILSON...WAYNE AND JOHNSTON COUNTIES. * TEMPERATURE...MID 30S. * IMPACTS...SCATTERED LIGHT FROST WILL DAMAGE COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS...ESPECIALLY NEWLY GERMINATED SEEDLINGS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 The bullseye is right over my house, James. Well done, sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 The bullseye is right over my house, James. Well done, sir! Snow measured in cm is the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted April 2, 2015 Author Share Posted April 2, 2015 It has begun, I have also attached a lightning picture I took in GA the other day chasing. ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED FROM THE OZARKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ...SYNOPSIS... A BROAD AREA OF WSWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST ACROSS CONUS WITH TWO MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. ONE WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES WITH SURFACE LOW OVER ONTARIO BUT A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SWD ACROSS LOWER MI...IL AND MO BY LATE AFTERNOON. SRN PORTIONS OF THIS FRONT ARE FORECAST TO STALL AND BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER SRN MO. TO THE W...A SECONDARY TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES DURING THE DAY WITH A SFC LOW DEVELOPING OVER SRN CO BY AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS KS/OK AND INTO SWRN MO/NWRN AR BY 12Z FRI AND INTERACT WITH THE BOUNDARY OVER SRN MO. AHEAD OF THESE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES...DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 60S F WILL SPREAD NWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX WITH 60S AS FAR N AS SRN KS INTO SRN INDIANA. THIS WILL CREATE A LARGE AREA OF INSTABILITY BENEATH AMPLE SHEAR PROFILES WITH SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...MID MS INTO THE OH VALLEY... SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ALONG THE DECELERATING COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW COMPOSITE ACROSS IL AND MO WITH SOME MARGINAL WIND/HAIL THREAT ONGOING. THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS DESTABILIZATION OCCURS TO THE E OVER ACROSS SRN IL...INDIANA...WRN KY AND SERN MO. A REJUVENATION OF STORMS IS LIKELY ALONG THE FRONT/OUTFLOW...AND VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND A FEW. Day 2: SPC AC 020558 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1258 AM CDT THU APR 02 2015 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE TN VALLEY AREA SWWD ACROSS NRN MS/NWRN AR/SERN AR/NERN LA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID OH VALLEY SWWD INTO E TX... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE UPPER OH VALLEY SWWD TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF S TX... ...SUMMARY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS FRIDAY; SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS INTO TEXAS. ...SYNOPSIS... WHILE A GULF OF AK UPPER LOW/TROUGH SHIFTS SSEWD ALONG THE BC COAST AND BEGINS AFFECTING THE PAC NW...A SECOND TROUGH IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE ADVANCING EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY AREA DAY 2/FRI./ AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT INITIALLY EXTENDING FROM NEW ENGLAND WSWWD INTO OK/TX IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE TN/MID AND LOWER MS/SABINE RIVER VALLEYS WITH TIME. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THE FRONT SHOULD STRETCH FROM A DEEPENING LOW OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND SWWD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTAL AREAS...WHILE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE ERN 2/3 OF THE COUNTRY. ...MID OH/TN VALLEYS SWWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS/SABINE VALLEYS... CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD INVOF THE COLD FRONT...FROM THE OZARKS EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. SOME LINGERING SEVERE RISK MAY ACCOMPANY THIS CONVECTION -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE OZARKS AREA. MEANWHILE...AS THE FRONT ADVANCES SEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...SOME HEATING OF THE MOIST PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD MODERATE DESTABILIZATION. THIS SHOULD FUEL EVENTUAL/VIGOROUS STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...INITIALLY WITHIN A ZONE ROUGHLY FROM WRN KY SWWD TO NRN LA. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR GIVEN WEAKLY VEERING/INCREASING FLOW WITH HEIGHT YIELD SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION. THOUGH TORNADO RISK SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WITH TIME...UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A MORE LINEAR EVENT WILL SUPPORT ONGOING DAMAGING WIND RISK INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WITH HEATING MUCH MORE UNCERTAIN INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND THUS INSTABILITY LIKELY WEAKER...LOWER/LESS WIDESPREAD RISK FOR HAIL/WIND IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE ACROSS SERN/S TX...STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST ALONG THE BOUNDARY -- WITH MID-LEVEL ASCENT REMAINING WELL TO THE N/NE OF THIS REGION AND THUS LIKELIHOOD FOR CAPPING TO REMAIN IN PLACE THUS HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. STILL...CAPE/SHEAR WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE RISK WITH ANY CELL WHICH COULD BECOME EVOLVE ACROSS THIS AREA. ..GOSS.. 04/02/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Dude, nice pic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Nice one man. Was this with a DSLR or camera phone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted April 2, 2015 Author Share Posted April 2, 2015 Nice one man. Was this with a DSLR or camera phone? it was with a camera phone, here is a few more pictures that day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted April 2, 2015 Author Share Posted April 2, 2015 I wanted to add what I think is the best lightning picture I have ever took, this storm was in conyers and Covington ga, cool fact the surface based cape was like 4000 kg/j that day, several lightning injuries happened that day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Who was it that said we would get our -NAO when it was too late? Looking at the long range modeling, it just might happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Who was it that said we would get our -NAO when it was too late? Looking at the long range modeling, it just might happen... Everyone? It's like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Everyone? It's like clockwork.lol yeah it looks like Mid month the nao takes a dip. The mountains may get something from that type of setup in the perfect conditions but yeah just to late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 lol yeah it looks like Mid month the nao takes a dip. The mountains may get something from that type of setup in the perfect conditions but yeah just to late. too - if you're going to preach the good word at least know the difference between to, too, & two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 too - if you're going to preach the good word at least know the difference between to, too, & two.Too L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 I'd just like to see a good rainfall around here. It's been over a month now since we have really had much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 too - if you're going to preach the good word at least know the difference between to, too, & two.you have something you want to get off your chest MariettaWx. If so then say it. Better yet go to the banter thread and have at it at my expense buddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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