NRVwxfan. Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Well, i envy you guys getting rain and storms. Everything is turning brown, and the radar looks like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted May 18, 2015 Share Posted May 18, 2015 Wow ! Poor you! You miss out on walking, my whole yard is dying! I was asked to try out for the MetalMan substitute by complaining. Do I sound like him yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 I was asked to try out for the MetalMan substitute by complaining. Do I sound like him yet?No, your good! I would be ecstatic if I would have had four downpours in 2 days! Talking about too much rain or flooding , is something I won't have to discuss for a long time imby! Picked up .08 today after 8 days with 0 rain and about 10 more dry days coming, with upper 80s to boot! Congrats to all that got rain today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Well, i envy you guys getting rain and storms. Everything is turning brown, and the radar looks like crap.We've found Metals replacement ! Sounds like twins, maybe triplets, if we throw in Shetley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 We've found Metals replacement ! Sounds like twins, maybe triplets, if we throw in Shetley! And no, im not moving to Waycross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 I still see nothing to change my thoughts that this summer will be like 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 I still see nothing to change my thoughts that this summer will be like 1993.You must not have seen NOAAs 7-14 day precip outlook! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 or we might not.Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Not liking the 6z GFS for days 9 onward temperature wise. It says summer heat is coming: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=05&model_dd=19&model_init_hh=06&fhour=252¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 If we get to 110 degrees, I will eat my shirt if it isn't stuck to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 If we get to 110 degrees, I will eat my shirt if it isn't stuck to me. It won't happen in the mountains, but it could very well happen in many other parts of the southeast this summer. We did come close in many areas back in June of 2012, and some would have got there that day, but many storms developed and stopped the temp rise. As far as AVL goes, I think they have hit 100 degrees 1 time, back in 1983. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 It won't happen in the mountains, but it could very well happen in many other parts of the southeast this summer. We did come close in many areas back in June of 2012, and some would have got there that day, but many storms developed and stopped the temp rise. As far as AVL goes, I think they have hit 100 degrees 1 time, back in 1983. GSP his their all time high in July 1, 2012 at 107 at the airport. I remember the Huge storms that came though about 6 and stopped it from getting hotter. Does the old saying a hot summer equals a cold winter hold true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Heat wave still coming to the SE for day 9 but it now looks to only last a couple of days before temps get pushed back into the 80s. Yes folks we're getting close to that time of year where 80s for highs is nice weather. 6z GFS at day 9 (...hotter on day 10): http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=05&model_dd=20&model_init_hh=06&fhour=204¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Where's the heatwave coming from? I thought we said it wouldn't come from TX because of all the rain!? Is it just the SE ridge, and some strong downslope! Talking heat waves in May and beginning of June, sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Where's the heatwave coming from? I thought we said it wouldn't come from TX because of all the rain!? Is it just the SE ridge, and some strong downslope! Talking heat waves in May and beginning of June, sucks! I wouldn't call it a heatwave exactly but it does depend on where you are, go here and click through the last GFS run for what it may do....for me it gives me two days in a row with a high of 91 which isn't all that bad but still on the hot side for May... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2015052006&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Where's the heatwave coming from? I thought we said it wouldn't come from TX because of all the rain!? Is it just the SE ridge, and some strong downslope! Talking heat waves in May and beginning of June, sucks! Looking at the GFS, temps for those two days builds over the SE. Texas stays (relatively) cool. So this should tell us that yes we can still get hot but hopefully any hot spells will not be long lasting (...like what we are about to see). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Robert Gamble had this gem of a post earlier today: And, then he double-downed with this little nugget in the comments section: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 GFS says 2-2.5 inches in next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 The NWS does not agree with Robert for late next week, saying rain chances increase with only upper 80's for highs. Hopefully the NWS is right about next week, but if anyone on here remembers 1993, that's how I see this summer playing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 GFS says 2-2.5 inches in next few weeks I don't know that the Euro has, but I'd be willing to bet whatever it has will be closer to what we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 The NWS does not agree with Robert for late next week, saying rain chances increase with only upper 80's for highs. Hopefully the NWS is right about next week, but if anyone on here remembers 1993, that's how I see this summer playing out.Be nice if they were right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 I'll take it! But it's probly like a snow map, we will get a 1/4 of that total , if we are lucky ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 I guess TWC is NOT going withe the GFS !!? I thought that's the only model they used! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 GFS no longer has any 90's on latest run here but it does get in the upper 80's several times but overall a cooler look than it had a few days ago.....and right at the end of the run starting day 12 it pops a low over the lower Bahamas/Cuba and brings it up the coast very similar to how Ana evolved...it is 12 days out though so take it with a grain of salt but the GFS did pretty much nail Ana 10-11 days out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 GFS is breaking down the Bermuda high late next week,Euro isn't. So we know what's probably going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Drought like pattern looks to be establishing itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Drought like pattern looks to be establishing itself. That can't be right! We are only .18 behind for the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 That can't be right! We are only .18 behind for the year! It's down to -0.29 now!! I imagine water rationing will be mandated within a week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 It's down to -0.29 now!! I imagine water rationing will be mandated within a week or so. Well that will probably happening when we get to severe criteria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Well that will probably happening when we get to severe criteria I bet you're right about that. I'm not sure why they'd wait until then tho. This thing is getting scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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