UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 New RAP is amazing for KNYC. 15-17mm of precip as accumulated snow. Next HRRR run should be great: Don't tell that to the radar nay sayers, they won't believe you lol I'm still confident this will overperform for people on the fringe, as well as most 3-6 areas may very well see 4-6/4-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 My bae is reporting ripping snow in Edison though What is bae? ANd it is not doing anything in Colonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 (Quietly whistles to self) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Latest Nam has 4-6 inches for NYC with more to the south and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Latest Nam has 4-6 inches for NYC with more to the south and west. 4k looks like it's gonna be slightly better than 12k too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 (Quietly whistles to self) This looks similar to the last storm in that the storm looks to be getting better the closer we get to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 The evening commute is going to be a mess if these short range models are correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 This looks similar to the last storm in that the storm looks to be getting better the closer we get to the event. Agreed, I was burnt too many times this year, calling for less than what's shown by the rap and Hrrr especially In and around the city, and I took my beatings and learned, season trend alone could have spelt this out, like I said surprises will come out of this. Would not be surprised to see lollies of 6-9" in parts of Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 This is just like March 5th. Short range models like the HRRR increasing snow amounts every run around NYC/LI. I've been saying 3"-6" for days for the NYC metro. Changing that to 4"-7" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 4k nam drops 4-6" by 10 pm tonight for most the nyc and surrounding areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 After an hour of light snow in Bridgewater the total accumulation on grassy surfaces is....a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 After an hour of light snow in Bridgewater the total accumulation on grassy surfaces is....a trace. I wouldn't expect anything else even if it was mid January lol, were u expecting an inch on pavement with "light snow"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 I wouldn't expect anything else even if it was mid January lol, were u expecting an inch on pavement with "light snow"? An hour of snow from 9 to 10am in January would result in something different than what I have right now. Check in with the Philly obs, snow is melting as quick as it is falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 (Quietly whistles to self) looks very elevation driven just looking in my county(Sussex) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Flurries have begun here in Marlboro, NJ Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 An hour of snow from 9 to 10am in January would result in something different than what I have right now. Check in with the Philly obs, snow is melting as quick as it is falling. We don't live in PHILLY, your comparing a locale nearly 100 miles away from nyc, go just 50 miles north of nyc and and the climate is like night and day in terms of snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 The bulk of the accumulation not expected till later this afternoon through the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 LOL. Calm down. 90% of the accumulations come from 1 band this afternoon that will drop 1"-2" an hour for a couple to a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Now a steady light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 We don't live in PHILLY, your comparing a locale nearly 100 miles away from nyc, go just 50 miles north of nyc and and the climate is like night and day in terms of snowstorms Ha! You know the NYC forum covers a lot more than NYC, right? You and I are probably about the same distance from Times Square, just on different sides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Ha! You know the NYC forum covers a lot more than NYC, right? You and I are probably about the same distance from Times Square, just on different sides. My point was that my obs in Somerset County are consistent with there's further south. I am not arguing with the idea of accumulating snow with the bands that are progged, but pointing out that a lot will be wasted until those bands arrive. I don't think the models spitting out 4-7" at 10:1 are subtracting this wasted snow before the heavier bands arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Per webcam first flakes falling in SW Essex county now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Are people really looking at snowfall maps and taking that as verbatim when we know some of this will be melting on contact. Not trolling here but this is not like the storm in early March. For one its two weeks later in a different pattern with a different sun angle and not as dynamic a storm. Now how much we lose to melting is the question and its hard to predict. Ive been around the rodeo more than a few times with March snow events to know they are a little unpredictable and tough to deliver for a reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Ha! You know the NYC forum covers a lot more than NYC, right? You and I are probably about the same distance from Times Square, just on different sides. There is a PHILLY forum, if your gonna take your obs from them, and apply it to this climo, it's not gonna be accurate that's all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Are people really looking at snowfall maps and taking that as verbatim when we know some of this will be melting on contact. Not trolling here but this is not like the storm in early March. For one its two weeks later in a different pattern with a different sun angle and not as dynamic a storm. Now how much we lose to melting is the question and its hard to predict. Ive been around the rodeo more than a few times with March snow events to know they are a little unpredictable and tough to deliver for a reason You said the SAME EXACT THING on March 5th. And NYC metro received 6"-10". Everything has been going right all year for this area, so no reason to expect it not to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Around 5-6 inches on the latest HRRR for the area. The sim radar at 3pm looks great for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 There is a PHILLY forum, if your gonna take your obs from them, and apply it to this climo, it's not gonna be accurate that's all What applies in Mercer County, NJ, applies in Middlesex and Monmouth, in this forum. A weak slp sliding west to east to the south of everybody isn't going to affect the northern Philly zones differently than the southern NYC zones. This isn't a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Its two weeks later and warmer...and are you denying that at times the snow will not stick because it isnt already and wont until we get into heavy stuff and then later we fight the stronger sun 34 here very light snow for past hour...no accum not even on cars or grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Anyway most recent rap and HRRR are still 4-6" for NYC, 3rd straight run for those short terms printing out nearly half a foot for most that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Its two weeks later and warmer...and are you denying that at times the snow will not stick because it isnt already and wont until we get into heavy stuff and then later we fight the stronger sun 34 here very light snow for past hour...no accum not even on cars or grass There's your problem. The storm is just starting. Relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.