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3/20-21 storm observations


dmillz25

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Most data had the jackpotting north of the areas getting it right now...more north central and not burlington. I for one sided with the thought theyd heavily overperform in philly-burlington-ocean area versus what nws had...it was all bsaed on them not turning to rain really, every model had the heavier qpf to the south.

So I had been reading correctly, most forecasts had Mercer to Middlesex doing better, not Burlington. But this has happened a lot the last 5 years or so.

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So I had been reading correctly, most forecasts had Mercer to Middlesex doing better, not Burlington. But this has happened a lot the last 5 years or so.

Southern Middlesex has been doing well, also Monmouth by the Holmdel area. The best banding has been just to our south. I have a bit over 2 inches on lawn.

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So I had been reading correctly, most forecasts had Mercer to Middlesex doing better, not Burlington. But this has happened a lot the last 5 years or so.

 

There were some models that had it right for further south. I think the Canadian/rgem did really well since yesterday painting that. And aside from the nam, those models still had us getting our 3-5 so no harm no foul. Im in a highly urban area and roads are not covered out there, my vis is 0.75 miles as i can see the train station still from my aptmt, its been heavier at times, but waiting on the goods still over all. probably have an inch or a little more at this point on the grass. 

 

But as the fellow from colts neck and pictures from further south are telling us, its a bit of a different world to our south and west

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Euro basically had zero snow south of rt 195 at least if you are using its snow maps. lol pretty bad . Liquid wise time will tell how off that was as welll as the other models.

Which is why the Stormvista snow maps should be ignored.

They over compensate surface temps.

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Wow at these reports as of 2-3PM...and its been 2"/hr there id estimate by the 30-35 dbz bands since these reports...some have 5-6 easily down there at this point and still ripping. Very impressive.

 

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
RIVERTON 3.8 218 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER
MCGUIRE AFB 3.4 200 PM 3/20 OTHER FEDERAL
FLORENCE 3.4 231 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 3.0 200 PM 3/20 NWS OFFICE
BORDENTOWN 2.8 258 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER
TABERNACLE 2.8 230 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER
WESTAMPTON TWP 2.1 1259 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOUNT LAUREL 1.6 1145 AM 3/20 NWS EMPLOYEE

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
SICKLERVILLE 3.5 220 PM 3/20 NWS EMPLOYEE
VOORHEES 3.0 257 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA
LINDENWOLD 2.5 251 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA
PINE HILL 2.0 259 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA

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There were some models that had it right for further south. I think the Canadian/rgem did really well since yesterday painting that. And aside from the nam, those models still had us getting our 3-5 so no harm no foul. Im in a highly urban area and roads are not covered out there, my vis is 0.75 miles as i can see the train station still from my aptmt, its been heavier at times, but waiting on the goods still over all. probably have an inch or a little more at this point on the grass. 

 

But as the fellow from colts neck and pictures from further south are telling us, its a bit of a different world to our south and west

 

Yeah my storm vista maps were pretty bad for this event. Consistently showed areas to my north getting the most while i struggled with bl issues. Turns out the heavy banding ended up just to my south.. The 2 inches looks beautiful here and will prob end around 3, but congrats to snj. Amazingly they jackpot again. When i was a kid it was hard for it to snow south of the art center. lol

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