ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 the statement was you can't have an epic winter and a warm spring, tell that to 58.83,94,11,13 I agree that warm springs can happen after big winters...they aren't really correlated. Even our warm springs have garbage periods though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 tell that to 58.93,94,11,13 thats why i said generally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 The problem with making statements out of your sphincter is you get called on it in a science forum ,meat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 I agree that warm springs can happen after big winters...they aren't really correlated. Even our warm springs have garbage periods though. of course 76 had 90s in April and 40s and 50s in May, transitions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 of course 76 had 90s in April and 40s and 50s in May, transitions So did 2002 and 2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 The problem with making statements out of your sphincter is you get called on it in a science forum ,meat You weather knowledege knows no bounds. i am in awe You have a great day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 You have a great day everyday that I am on this side of the grass is a great day. You have one too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 What the hell are guys arguing about... gees. There's interesting stuff in the models and going on in the climate -- yet this sojourn through uber pettiness...ultimately, pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 This board FTL in Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 This board Our climo FTL in Spring. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 fixed That too..lol. I just mean the temp talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Average highs don't break 60 for ORH/BOS until May (maybe last 3 days of April for BOS)...so if you are scoffing at highs in the 50s...or even 40s in April, then you need to either move, or learn climo and expect it. May gets better, but it's still quite common to get highs in the 50s with a few 40s mixed in. There's a reason that just about every weather-savvy person in New England talks about how miserable our springs often are. I don't follow .. It's common to have highs in the 40's and 50's in May. It's also common to have highs in the 80's and 90's in May . May is not known as or thought of in any circles as a cool weather month. Most folks expect many nice warm sunny days in May and typically that is what we get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 That too..lol. I just mean the temp talk. At least in the summer, it gets mor einteresting...we have temp talk, dewpoint talk, and faux severe wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 At least in the summer, it gets mor einteresting...we have temp talk, dewpoint talk, and faux severe wx. The excitement builds..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 when looking at phasing storms of the past there are many similarities to some pretty potent systems. Of course being out of cold season yields different outcomes but, Feb 58, April 2006, March 58 had similar setups.more and more convinced big doings incoming. Very familiar evolutions progged to raging storms of the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 At least in the summer, it gets mor einteresting...we have temp talk, dewpoint talk, and faux severe wx. I realize you are in some degree being hyperbolic/sarcastic here... But we have large hail, people and structures hurt by tornadoes, and the occasional hurricane... in reality. We just don't get them as often as in the Plains, agreed. But we get them enough, and I usual film one solid stately mesocyclone a summer. It's not the total downer waste that some people cast the throw-hands attitude about - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 I don't follow .. It's common to have highs in the 40's and 50's in May. It's also common to have highs in the 80's and 90's in May . May is not known as or thought of in any circles as a cool weather month. Most folks expect many nice warm sunny days in May and typically that is what we get If you run a histogram of the high temps in mid-May, 40s/50s are about as twice as likely as 80s/90s in the elevated interior...you are typically too extreme once again with our climo. You should really learn climo before posting about it. You might get better numbers than that in Hartford, closer to a 50/50 split...but not for your backyard or most other people to the east of the CT River Valley. Wait until after week 2 in May, and you increase your chances of 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 5H evolution for the next 12 days is really a thing of beauty for those interested in anamalous storm generation physics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 If you run a histogram of the high temps in mid-May, 40s/50s are about as twice as likely as 80s/90s in the elevated interior...you are typically too extreme once again with our climo. You should really learn climo before posting about it. You might get better numbers than that in Hartford, closer to a 50/50 split...but not for your backyard or most other people to the east of the CT River Valley. Wait until after week 2 in May, and you increase your chances of 80s. Well I fully understand our climo.. I understand there are times when Late Napril and Gay can be cool and wet. That doesn't mean that's the norm or is what one should expect. If you looked at and discussed with folks their "expectations" or ideas on typical month of Gay weather ,, most would say cool mornings , and warm afternoons. I'm talking in general,, not specific site locations in the hills. May probably has more days with highs in the 70's and 80's historically than it does 40's and 50's.. Even at a place such as ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Well I fully understand our climo.. I understand there are times when Late Napril and Gay can be cool and wet. That doesn't mean that's the norm or is what one should expect. If you looked at and discussed with folks their "expectations" or ideas on typical month of Gay weather ,, most would say cool mornings , and warm afternoons. I'm talking in general,, not specific site locations in the hills. May probably has more days with highs in the 70's and 80's historically than it does 40's and 50's.. Even at a place such as ORHMay normal hi temp for BDl is 67 May 1st, ends at 75. min is 43 ends at 52 normal ave is 55 to 64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Well I fully understand our climo.. I understand there are times when Late Napril and Gay can be cool and wet. That doesn't mean that's the norm or is what one should expect. If you looked at and discussed with folks their "expectations" or ideas on typical month of Gay weather ,, most would say cool mornings , and warm afternoons. I'm talking in general,, not specific site locations in the hills. May probably has more days with highs in the 70's and 80's historically than it does 40's and 50's.. Even at a place such as ORH You are talking May in general while complaining about model progs for early May that show nasty weather...there's a huge difference between our climo for Memorial Day and our climo for the first week of May. For model progs and "expectations"...only the first couple weeks of the month are relevant comparing to climo. Sorry, but if you are expecting 80s in early May, then move somewhere else...we're far more likely to get 40s and 50s. Otherwise, wait until late in the month when that weather is far more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 I don't believe and don't think anyone truly does that 40's in early May are common. That is not easy to achieve. It happens sure.. But it's rare. Just like an early Oct snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Meanwhile, amidst the angst, we may well hit 70 here today with bos reporting 66 and a vigorous sw breeze at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Meanwhile, amidst the angst, we may well hit 70 here today with bos reporting 66 and a vigorous sw breeze at noon.beautiful spring day for sure, going to miss this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 I don't believe and don't think anyone truly does that 40's in early May are common. That is not easy to achieve. It happens sure.. But it's rare. Just like an early Oct snowfall U40s on a NE wind at 1k? That's very easy to do. Much easier than 80+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 U40s on a NE wind at 1k? That's very easy to do. Much easier than 80+.Again, regionally ..not specific hill areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 U40s on a NE wind at 1k? That's very easy to do. Much easier than 80+. I just ran the ratio....May 1st through May 5th at ORH going back to 1947...here's the breakdown for high temps: 30s: 2 40s: 33 50s: 89 70s: 56 80s: 11 90s: 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 That confirms what we were discussing. 70's are more common than 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 That confirms what we were discussing. 70's are more common than 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 That confirms what we were discussing. 70's are more common than 40's I love how 80s and 90s became 70s. Lol. What a piece of work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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