Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Just counting the days to the first Sonoran heat-release... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 12z Euro says basically NAPErville, Illinois comes to stay Saturday onwards..even with a severe threat around day 7-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Looks like our instant flip to summer will occur after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Looks like our instant flip to summer will occur after all um you might want to look at the Euro yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 um you might want to look at the Euro yourself it's a mild to warm look no doubt past Friday this week..Might be one coolish day mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 it's a mild to warm look no doubt past Friday this week..Might be one coolish day mixed inhmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Was liking my chances for a couple inches this evening, until 12z GFS did its usual late-in-game thing and cut qpf by half. Maybe 1", maybe a coating. Thursday still has a chance, but 72 hr seems always to "has a chance." Thinking we don't see much of any accumulating snow up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 hmm Are you looking at the Euro? How is that not mild to at times warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Are you looking at the Euro? How is that not mild to at times warm?Whinemester said flip to summer, there's a mild spell but there's also backdoors and generally meh climo level temps.looks meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 It's crazy how much the NAO was positive this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Whinemester said flip to summer, there's a mild spell but there's also backdoors and generally meh climo level temps.looks meh Well in his defense, a week of normal temps would feel like full blown summer compared to what we have been dealing with the past few months. Remember when people would say that normal is the new cold a few years ago? Well now normal is the new torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 I'd also add that it FLIPs... No question... The thermal fields are no comparison after ~ Thursday. What that entails, we'll see... Can it all change and not come to pass... ? of course -- but for the time being, the models are for the most part on the same page, and it's heavily backed by the teleconnections. If anything, it may end up warmer. I know that seems hard to envision, but it looks to me like we're about to enter a transitional pattern that goes from neutral to above, as opposed to these unending below, transitioning right back to below. I wouldn't call that summer, no, and I agree with Will, that's entering a whole new sensible ballpark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 I'd also add that it FLIPs... No question... The thermal fields are no comparison after ~ Thursday. What that entails, we'll see... Can it all change and not come to pass... ? of course -- but for the time being, the models are for the most part on the same page, and it's heavily backed by the teleconnections. If anything, it may end up warmer. I know that seems hard to envision, but it looks to me like we're about to enter a transitional pattern that goes from neutral to above, as opposed to these unending below. I wouldn't call that summer, no. he said Flips to summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 he said Flips to summer I'd call it late winter to late spring...perhaps inside of a week.. But it's a dopey petty discussion, and I don't want to get into it. I'll just exit by saying that we could put up some modestly positive depatures by the middle of next week if the tele's are right. Time will tell - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Yea weekend looks like 60s like today even NE Mass might join in. 10-15 on all Ens is pretty cool though, probably near or slightly below normal. Looks wet too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Get the AC units into windows I think for late month and May. Looks toasty and dewy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Weenie was getting a little restless so I looked at the 18z GFS long-term for SBcape output...shows 500 J of cape next Thursday! It's fun looking long-term to see what models peg for Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Get the AC units into windows I think for late month and May. Looks toasty and dewyit's funny when you act like two face from Batman, snowing in one thread and oddly telling people to put ACs in in April in another. Especially when no model indicates anything remotely summer like. What's the basis of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 it's funny when you act like two face from Batman, snowing in one thread and oddly telling people to put ACs in in April in another. Especially when no model indicates anything remotely summer like. What's the basis of this?I just see lots of signs of a quick turn to early summer Wx late month. Massive changes underway even now. I not allowed to express ideas based on models and pattern recognition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 I just see lots of signs of a quick turn to early summer Wx late month. Massive changes underway even now. I not allowed to express ideas based on models and pattern recognition?of course just say that, what pattern does this resemble? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Yea weekend looks like 60s like today even NE Mass might join in. 10-15 on all Ens is pretty cool though, probably near or slightly below normal. Looks wet toogoodbye snow piles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Weenie was getting a little restless so I looked at the 18z GFS long-term for SBcape output...shows 500 J of cape next Thursday! It's fun looking long-term to see what models peg for Cape.what do you use for modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 what do you use for modeling I've been using weather.cod a great deal the past few years. IMO it's one of the most user-friendly modeling sites out there. The fact that you can view a regional sector and there is minimal effort to change products and it's so easy to scroll through the various hours. However, I have found myself to actually get quite lazy the past year plus with just looking at certain products and not looking at the picture as a whole and I think that has lead to a huge decline in my forecasting the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Driving through Mansfield today. Most areas bare. But, wow some more secluded areas still completely snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 No model posts in nearly 24 hours. Yup. Spring time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 No model posts in nearly 24 hours. Yup. Spring time wrong thread there sonny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 No model posts in nearly 24 hours. Yup. Spring time Wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Well, this thread is done for the year winterwise, technically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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